Friday , 28 August 2026

Sweden vs Italy, Women World Cup 2023 GROUP STAGE

5 0
Full Time
Sat 29 Jul 2023 · 07:30 UTC Wellington Regional Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sweden vs ItalyWomen World Cup at Wellington Regional Stadium.

  • Sweden 0 games · 0 pts (2023/23)
  • Italy 0 games · 0 pts (2023/23)

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Fritz
  • Referee Cheryl Foster (Wales)
5 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 5.2 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
Sweden 1 games · Avg 5.0 goals Italy

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jul Italy H 5–0 W
23 Jul South Africa H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jul Sweden A 0–5 L
24 Jul Argentina H 1–0 W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
Sweden this season
33% Clean Sheets
Italy this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sweden
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
4/
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Italy
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
1/3
46-60
/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Wellington Regional Stadium!
  • 5' Italy come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 10' Sweden is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Sofia Cantore, as he is very good at scoring at Wellington Regional Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Barbara Bonansea made 8 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 25' Italy have won 10 goals from 8 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 30' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Sweden winning 100% of all matches.
  • 35' international Stina Blackstenius has been a key figure this campaign — 4 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
  • 39' The Amanda Ilestedt breaks the deadlock on 39 minutes. 1-0!
  • 44' What a moment for Fridolina Rolfo! That strike on 44 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 45' Stina Blackstenius has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 45 minutes.
  • 50' Goal! Amanda Ilestedt scores his 4 goal in 11 matches.
  • 55' It looks surprising Italy does not make any changes. Annamaria Serturini has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 59' The Italy bench stirs into life. Giulia Dragoni is withdrawn and Giada Greggi gets his opportunity.
  • 62' The whistle greets Kosovare Asllani as he departs to be replaced by Madelen Janogy.
  • 67' Valentina Cernoia has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 71' Valentina Cernoia has so much to prove this time. He replaces Arianna Caruso on 71 minute.
  • 75' Sweden manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Sofia Jakobsson is hanging Johanna Rytting Kaneryd on the field on 75 minute.
  • 80' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sweden and Italy are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 85' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 89' The Sweden manager makes a substitution. Stina Blackstenius departs to be replaced by Rebecka Blomqvist.
  • 90' Magnificent from Rebecka Blomqvist! That is 3 goals in 11 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • Sweden celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.03 Sweden xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.6 Italy xG
I would bet for: Sweden to win 75% + Over 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sweden75% Draw15% Italy10%
Actual: Sweden win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 3.63
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

Sweden or Draw
90%
Draw or Italy
25%
Sweden or Italy
85%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sweden64% Draw31% Italy5%
Actual: Sweden win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12.4%
3 – 0
12.1%
4 – 0
9%
1 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
7.2%
3 – 1
7.2%
4 – 1
5.5%
5 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
5.4%
0 – 0
3.8%
5 – 1
3.4%
6 – 0
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Sweden

Handicap Sweden covers Push Italy covers
-2.5 44% 56%
-2 44% 22% 34%
-1.5 66% 34%
-1 66% 18% 16%
-0.5 84% 16%
+0.5 96% 4%
+1 96% 3% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Sweden keeps clean sheet
55%
Italy keeps clean sheet
6%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.