Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Stevenage FC vs Wrexham AFC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Tue 1 Oct 2024 · 18:45 UTC Lamex Stadium 5,704 HT 45' · FT 45'
Louis Thompson 10' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Stevenage FC vs Wrexham AFC — League One at Lamex Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Will Finnie
  • Assistant 1 Michael Webb
  • Assistant 2 Paul Kelly
5 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 12.4 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Head-to-Head

2
Stevenage FC 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Wrexham AFC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct Wrexham AFC H 1–0 W
28 Sep Charlton Athletic FC H 1–0 W
24 Sep Wigan Athletic FC A 0–0 D
21 Sep Exeter City FC A 0–2 L
14 Sep Barnsley FC H 3–0 W
31 Aug Lincoln City FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct Stevenage FC A 0–1 L
28 Sep Leyton Orient FC A 0–0 D
21 Sep Crawley Town FC H 2–1 W
16 Sep Birmingham City FC A 1–3 L
07 Sep Shrewsbury Town FC H 3–0 W
31 Aug Peterborough United FC A 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Stevenage FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Stevenage FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Stevenage FC
Daniel Kemp 3 G 1 A
Oliver Sanderson 3 G
Josh Magennis 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Stevenage FC launch into their encounter with Wrexham AFC.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Louis Thompson made 376 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Louis Thompson makes it 1-0.
  • 15' Stevenage FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
  • 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Stevenage FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 27' Dan Butler has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 27.
  • 32' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 37' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 39' A moment of madness from Thomas O'Connor on 39 minutes earns him a card. Wrexham AFC will be frustrated.
  • 44' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 45' It is a substitution in Wrexham AFC team. George Evans is replaced by Andrew Cannon on 45 minute.
  • 50' Stevenage FC currently sit 11 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 55' The 32-year-old Jamie Reid has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 60' Time for substitution for Stevenage FC. Jake Young is replaced by Daniel Kemp.
  • 65' A tactical swap from Wrexham AFC — Elliot Lee on, James McClean off on 65 minutes.
  • 66' The Wrexham AFC manager makes a substitution. Steven Fletcher departs to be replaced by Paul Mullin.
  • 68' Poor challenge from Andrew Cannon. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 73' Supporters expect more eagerness from Daniel Phillips, as he is very good at scoring at Lamex Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 74' The Stevenage FC manager makes a substitution. Jamie Reid departs to be replaced by Tyreece Simpson.
  • 75' Stevenage FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Harvey White is hanging Eli King on the field on 75 minute.
  • 80' It is a cagey affair so far. Stevenage FC in their trying to find a way past Wrexham AFC's compact .
  • 84' Wrexham AFC make a change. Sebastian Revan trudges off to be replaced by Jacob Mendy on 84 minutes.
  • 88' That is a card for Stevenage FC. Jordan Roberts will be fuming at that decision.
  • 90' Eoghan O'Connell picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 1-0 the final result. Wrexham AFC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.2 Stevenage FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.64 Wrexham AFC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 72% + Under — clean sheet likely 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Stevenage FC49% Draw31% Wrexham AFC20%
Actual: Stevenage FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes34% 0% No66%
Avg goals/match: 1.84
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 55%
45%
± 2.5 28%
72%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Stevenage FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Wrexham AFC
51%
Stevenage FC or Wrexham AFC
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Stevenage FC31% Draw56% Wrexham AFC13%
Actual: Stevenage FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18.3%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13%
2 – 0
10.9%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
7.2%
3 – 0
4.3%
1 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3%
3 – 1
3%
2 – 2
2.4%
4 – 0
1.3%

Asian Handicap — Stevenage FC

Handicap Stevenage FC covers Push Wrexham AFC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 26% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 13% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Stevenage FC keeps clean sheet
53% ✓
Wrexham AFC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.