Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Stevenage FC vs Guiseley AFC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 1

FA Cup · 2024-25
Sat 2 Nov 2024 · 15:00 UTC Lamex Stadium 2,224 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jamie Reid 53' 1–0
1–1 83' Will Longbottom

Overview

Match Preview

Stevenage FC vs Guiseley AFC — FA Cup at Lamex Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee
  • Assistant 1 David Nicholson (England)
  • Assistant 2

Head-to-Head

1
Stevenage FC 1 games · Avg 9.0 goals Guiseley AFC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov Guiseley AFC H 5–4 W
29 Oct Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–4 L
26 Oct Rotherham United FC A 0–2 L
22 Oct Cambridge United FC H 0–2 L
19 Oct Mansfield Town FC A 1–0 W
05 Oct Peterborough United FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov Stevenage FC A 4–5 L
03 Sep Avro FC H 2–1 W
06 Nov AFC Wimbledon A 0–1 L
19 Oct Brackley Town FC H 2–1 W
16 Oct Brackley Town FC A 1–1 D
24 Oct FC United of Manchester A 1–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Stevenage FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Lamex Stadium. Stevenage FC are looking to make home advantage count against Guiseley AFC.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nick Freeman suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' Stevenage FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 15' Stevenage FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 20' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Stevenage FC and Guiseley AFC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 25' Stevenage FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
  • 30' Guiseley AFC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 33' Jack Emmett gets the nod from Guiseley AFC. He replaces Leo Farrell and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 38' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 43' With 0 assists to his name this season, Adriano Moke is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Guiseley AFC.
  • 45' Controversy at the stadium! Will Longbottom argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 50' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 53' Jamie Reid makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Stevenage FC are in front.
  • 55' Adriano Moke catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 55.
  • 60' It is a substitution in Stevenage FC team. Aaron Pressley is replaced by Jake Young on 60 minute.
  • 65' Stevenage FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 70' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 70 minutes.
  • 75' Kane Smith needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 78' Daniel Kemp was booked on 78.
  • 83' Magnificent from Will Longbottom! That is 1 goals in 16 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 88' The travelling Guiseley AFC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 90' Jake Young picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Stevenage FC 5-4 Guiseley AFC.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.39 Stevenage FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.18 Guiseley AFC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Stevenage FC45% Draw22% Guiseley AFC33%
Actual: Stevenage FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes80% 0% No20%
Avg goals/match: 4.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 82%
18%
± 3.5 66%
34%
± 4.5 47%
53%

Double Chance

Stevenage FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Guiseley AFC
55%
Stevenage FC or Guiseley AFC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Stevenage FC35% Draw35% Guiseley AFC30%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–4 not predicted
5 – 4
Actual
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.4%
1 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
5%
2 – 3
4.9%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 3
3.9%
4 – 2
3.2%
2 – 0
3.1%
4 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — Stevenage FC

Handicap Stevenage FC covers Push Guiseley AFC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 13% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 17% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 16% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 11% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Stevenage FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
Guiseley AFC keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.