Saturday , 14 November 2026

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs OGC Nice, Champions League Q 2025 ROUND 3

Tue 12 Aug 2025 · 19:00 UTC Estadio da Luz HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs OGC Nice — Champions League Q at Estadio da Luz.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Guida
9 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 12.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals OGC Nice

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug OGC Nice H 2–0 W
06 Aug OGC Nice A 2–0 W
28 Jun Chelsea FC H 1–4 L
24 Jun FC Bayern München H 1–0 W
20 Jun Auckland City FC H 6–0 W
16 Jun CA Boca Juniors A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–2 L
06 Aug Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 0–2 L
17 May Stade Brestois 29 H 6–0 W
10 May Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 0–2 L
02 May Stade de Reims H 1–0 W
25 Apr Paris Saint-Germain FC A 3–1 W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Sport Lisboa e Benfica and OGC Nice is underway.
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sport Lisboa e Benfica that had 478 games and scored 850 goals.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. OGC Nice needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 18' Fredrik Aursnes puts Sport Lisboa e Benfica on the lead.
  • 23' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 27' The Norway Andreas Schjelderup breaks the deadlock on 27 minutes. 2-0!
  • 32' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 37' Sport Lisboa e Benfica is showing some good football. However, Sport Lisboa e Benfica are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 42' It looks like no one’s ball. OGC Nice is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 47' Over 47 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 52' OGC Nice come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 57' Isak Jansson has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 62' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sport Lisboa e Benfica side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 67' OGC Nice started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 67.
  • 72' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 77' Djibril Coulibaly is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for OGC Nice so far.
  • 82' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 87' Sport Lisboa e Benfica currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 2-0 the final result. OGC Nice will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.7 Sport Lisboa e Benfica xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8 OGC Nice xG
I would bet for: Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win 59% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sport Lisboa e Benfica59% Draw25% OGC Nice16%
Actual: Sport Lisboa e Benfica win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Sport Lisboa e Benfica or Draw
84%
Draw or OGC Nice
41%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica or OGC Nice
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sport Lisboa e Benfica40% Draw47% OGC Nice13%
Actual: Sport Lisboa e Benfica win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.2%
1 – 1
12%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
9.2%
3 – 0
6.4%
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
4.3%
2 – 2
3.7%
4 – 0
2.7%
0 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Handicap Sport Lisboa e Benfica covers Push OGC Nice covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 18% 68%
-1.5 32% — 68%
-1 32% 25% 43%
-0.5 57% — 43%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 11% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Sport Lisboa e Benfica keeps clean sheet
45% ✗
OGC Nice keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.