Sunday , 16 August 2026

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs OGC Nice, Champions League Q 2025 ROUND 3

Tue 12 Aug 2025 · 19:00 UTC Estadio da Luz HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs OGC NiceChampions League Q at Estadio da Luz.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Guida
11 games this season 🟨 1.5/game 5.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals OGC Nice

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug OGC Nice H 2–0 W
06 Aug OGC Nice A 2–0 W
28 Jun Chelsea FC H 1–4 L
24 Jun FC Bayern München H 1–0 W
20 Jun Auckland City FC H 6–0 W
16 Jun CA Boca Juniors A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–2 L
06 Aug Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 0–2 L
17 May Stade Brestois 29 H 6–0 W
10 May Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 0–2 L
02 May Stade de Reims H 1–0 W
25 Apr Paris Saint-Germain FC A 3–1 W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Sport Lisboa e Benfica launch into their encounter with OGC Nice.
  • 5' Algeria international Badredine Bouanani has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 10' OGC Nice fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 15' Antonio Silva needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 2 Red cards this season.
  • 18' What a moment for Fredrik Aursnes! That strike on 18 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 23' Sport Lisboa e Benfica are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined OGC Nice backline.
  • 27' Andreas Schjelderup has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 27 minutes.
  • 32' Sport Lisboa e Benfica is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 37' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Franjo Ivanovic suffering a number of foals already.
  • 42' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 47' Sport Lisboa e Benfica started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 47.
  • 52' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 57' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 62' Over 62 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 67' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 67 minutes.
  • 72' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sport Lisboa e Benfica and OGC Nice are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 77' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 82' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sport Lisboa e Benfica that had 467 games and scored 818 goals.
  • 87' Sport Lisboa e Benfica seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.7 Sport Lisboa e Benfica xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8 OGC Nice xG
I would bet for: Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win 59% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sport Lisboa e Benfica59% Draw25% OGC Nice16%
Actual: Sport Lisboa e Benfica win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Sport Lisboa e Benfica or Draw
84%
Draw or OGC Nice
41%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica or OGC Nice
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sport Lisboa e Benfica40% Draw47% OGC Nice13%
Actual: Sport Lisboa e Benfica win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.2%
1 – 1
12%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
9.2%
3 – 0
6.4%
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
4.3%
2 – 2
3.7%
4 – 0
2.7%
0 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Handicap Sport Lisboa e Benfica covers Push OGC Nice covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 18% 68%
-1.5 32% 68%
-1 32% 25% 43%
-0.5 57% 43%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 11% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Sport Lisboa e Benfica keeps clean sheet
45%
OGC Nice keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.