Spain vs Poland, European Championship 2021 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Spain vs Poland — European Championship at Estadio de La Cartuja.
Match Details
- Referee Marco Di Bello
- Referee Alessandro Giallatini
- Referee Daniele Orsato
- Referee Massimiliano Irrati
- Referee Fabiano Preti
- Referee Stephanie Frappart
3 games this season
🟨 3.7/game
⚽ 12.0 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
Spain this season
Spain this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Poland this season
Poland this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Spain
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
3/–
61-75
1/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Poland
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Spain
| Dani Olmo | 3 G | 2 A |
| Fabian Ruiz | 2 G | 2 A |
| Nico Williams | 2 G | 1 A |
| Alvaro Morata | 1 G | |
| Dani Carvajal | 1 G |
Poland
| Krzysztof Piatek | 1 G |
| Adam Buksa | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Spain have kicked off against Poland. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Spain have won 64 goals from 126 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 15' Robert Lewandowski, a Poland forward, has 37 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 20' Jan Bednarek needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 25' What composure from Alvaro Morata! The Spain international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 30' Spain currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 35' Spain are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 36' Mateusz Klich catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 36.
- 41' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 46' Spain seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 51' Pawel Dawidowicz is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Poland so far.
- 54' Robert Lewandowski is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 6 goals this season for the forward.
- 55' It is a substitution in Poland team. Mateusz Klich is replaced by Kacper Kozlowski on 55 minute.
- 57' The referee has no hesitation. Jakub Moder is booked for Poland — Yellow card on 57.
- 59' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Kamil Jozwiak.
- 61' It is a substitution in Spain team. Dani Olmo is replaced by Ferran Torres on 61 minute.
- 62' Spain make a change. Dani Olmo trudges off to be replaced by Ferran Torres on 62 minutes.
- 67' The travelling Poland supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 68' Time for substitution for Poland. Karol Swiderski is replaced by Przemyslaw Frankowski.
- 73' The 32-year-old Aymeric Laporte has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 78' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 81' Spain player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 85' Time for substitution for Poland. Jan Bednarek is replaced by Pawel Dawidowicz.
- 87' Another change for Spain made on 87 minute. Alvaro Morata leaves to be changed by Mikel Oiarzabal.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Robert Lewandowski on 90 minutes.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Spain Lineups
Starting XI
-
7
Alvaro Morata ↓ Mikel Oiarzabal 87'
- 24
-
8
Koke ↓ Pablo Sarabia 68'
- 16
- 23
- 18
- 6
-
9
Gerard Moreno ↓ Fabian Ruiz 68'
- 4
-
19
Dani Olmo ↓ Ferran Torres 61'
- 26
Bench
- 2
- 1
- 20
- 10
- 14
-
11
Ferran Torres ↑ 61'
- 3
-
21
Mikel Oiarzabal ↑ 87'
-
22
Pablo Sarabia ↑ 68'
-
17
Fabian Ruiz ↑ 68'
- 12
- 13
Coach
Luis Enrique
Poland Lineups
Starting XI
-
5
Jan Bednarek ↓ Pawel Dawidowicz 85'
- 14
- 15
- 9
- 1
- 20
- 18
- 11
- 21
- 26
-
16
Jakub Moder ↓ Karol Linetty 85'
Bench
- 22
-
3
Pawel Dawidowicz ↑ 85'
- 12
-
8
Karol Linetty ↑ 85'
- 23
- 4
- 13
- 24
- 25
- 17
-
19
Przemyslaw Frankowski ↑ 68'
-
6
Kacper Kozlowski ↑ 55'
Coach
Paulo Sousa
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.11
Spain xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19
Poland xG
I would bet for:
Spain or Poland 70% + Under 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Spain or Draw
66%
Draw or Poland
64%
Spain or Poland
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Spain win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12.3%
0 – 1
10.7%
1 – 0
10%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
3%
0 – 3
2.7%
3 – 1
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Spain
| Handicap | Spain covers | Push | Poland covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 19% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 20% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 11% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Spain keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Poland keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.