SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 vs SC Paderborn 07 — 2. Bundesliga at Sportpark Ronhof | Thomas Sommer.
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 11 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Lars Erbst
- Assistant 1 Manuel Bergmann
- Assistant 2 Cengiz Kabalakli (Germany)
6 games this season
🟨 3.0/game
⚽ 15.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 11 | 20 |
| 5 | VfL Wolfsburg | 11 | 19 |
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 11 | 17 |
| 7 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 11 | 16 |
| 8 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 11 | 14 |
| 9 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 11 | 12 |
| 10 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | 11 | 12 |
| 11 | Hannover 96 | 11 | 12 |
| 12 | FC Energie Cottbus | 11 | 11 |
| 13 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 11 | 11 |
| 14 | VfL Osnabruck | 11 | 11 |
| 15 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 11 | 11 |
| 16 | Karlsruher SC | 11 | 11 |
| 17 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 11 | 9 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 11 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr | SC Paderborn 07 | H | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Mar | Karlsruher SC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Mar | SV 07 Elversberg | H | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Mar | Hannover 96 | A | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Feb | FC Schalke 04 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Feb | Arminia Bielefeld | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | SG Dynamo Dresden | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | Arminia Bielefeld | A | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Mar | Eintracht Braunschweig | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Feb | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Feb | Hertha BSC | H | 5–2 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 this season
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903
0-15
–/3
16-30
2/2
31-45
3/5
46-60
1/3
61-75
3/4
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903
| Felix Klaus | 7 G | 1 A |
| Omar Sillah | 2 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 and SC Paderborn 07 get this one started.
- 5' SC Paderborn 07 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Ralf Kettemann might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 20' It’s high time Ralf Kettemann made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 30' It looks like no one’s ball. SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 35' SC Paderborn 07 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 40' Branimir Hrgota is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 so far.
- 45' SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SC Paderborn 07 backline.
- 50' The 26-year-old Filip Bilbija has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 51' What a moment for Stefano Marino! That strike on 51 puts his side firmly in control.
- 56' The home supporters are growing impatient. SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 61' Over 61 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 64' SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 make a change. Jannik Dehm trudges off to be replaced by Lukas Reich on 64 minutes.
- 65' A change in the SC Paderborn 07 ranks — Ruben Muller exits the field as Filip Bilbija enters on 65.
- 67' That is a card for SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903. Philipp Ziereis will be fuming at that decision.
- 68' The referee shows SC Paderborn 07 player a card on 68.
- 69' The crowd applauds Mattes Hansen as he leaves the pitch. Santiago Castaneda steps in for SC Paderborn 07.
- 74' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SC Paderborn 07 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 75' Another change for SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 made on 75 minute. Maximilian Dietz leaves to be changed by Marco John.
- 80' The travelling SC Paderborn 07 supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 81' SC Paderborn 07 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jonah Sticker is hanging Tjark Scheller on the field on 81 minute.
- 82' Another change for SC Paderborn 07 made on 82 minute. Stefano Marino leaves to be changed by Nick Batzner.
- 84' Santiago Castaneda catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 84.
- 86' Against the run of play, Filip Bilbija has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 87' Aiman Dardari gets the nod from SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903. He replaces Philipp Ziereis and will look to change the dynamic.
- 90' A moment of madness from Filip Bilbija on 90 minutes earns him a card. SC Paderborn 07 will be frustrated.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-2.
Lineups
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 23
- 13
- 30
- 10
- 4
- 15
- 9
- 47
- 33
- 5
- 43
Bench
- 26
- 37
- 18
- 28
- 24
- 2
- 16
- 25
- 11
Coach
Heiko Vogel
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 20
- 23
- 26
-
30
Stefano Marino ↓ Nick Batzner 82'
- 4
- 41
- 17
- 22
- 14
-
25
Tjark Scheller ↓ Jonah Sticker 81'
-
2
Ruben Muller ↓ Filip Bilbija 65'
Bench
- 8
- 1
- 11
-
27
Steffen Tigges ↑ 64'
-
7
Filip Bilbija ↑ 65'
-
9
Nick Batzner ↑ 82'
-
5
Santiago Castaneda ↑ 69'
-
3
Jonah Sticker ↑ 81'
- 10
Coach
Ralf Kettemann
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Branimir Hrgota | 3 |
| Armindo Sieb | 2 |
| Adriano Grimaldi | 2 |
| Noah Loosli | 1 |
| Filip Bilbija | 1 |
| Stefano Marino | 1 |
| Tim Lemperle | 1 |
| Damian Michalski | 1 |
Head to Head
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 Form
2026-04-05
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903
0–2
SC Paderborn 07
L
2026-03-20
Karlsruher SC
3–1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903
L
2026-03-13
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903
2–0
SV 07 Elversberg
W
2026-03-08
Hannover 96
1–2
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903
W
2026-02-28
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903
1–1
FC Schalke 04
D
2026-02-20
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903
2–1
Arminia Bielefeld
W
SC Paderborn 07 Form
2026-04-05
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903
0–2
SC Paderborn 07
W
2026-03-21
SC Paderborn 07
2–1
SG Dynamo Dresden
W
2026-03-14
Arminia Bielefeld
2–2
SC Paderborn 07
D
2026-03-07
SC Paderborn 07
1–1
Eintracht Braunschweig
D
2026-02-28
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1–2
SC Paderborn 07
W
2026-02-22
SC Paderborn 07
5–2
Hertha BSC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.16
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26
SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for:
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 or SC Paderborn 07 70% + Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Paderborn 07 win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 or Draw
63%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
67%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 or SC Paderborn 07
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11%
0 – 1
10%
1 – 0
9.1%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
2.8%
0 – 3
2.8%
Asian Handicap — SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903
| Handicap | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 covers | Push | SC Paderborn 07 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 19% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 20% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

