SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 vs SC Paderborn 07 — 2. Bundesliga at Sportpark Ronhof | Thomas Sommer.
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 34 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Lars Erbst
- Assistant 1 Manuel Bergmann
- Assistant 2 Cengiz Kabalakli (Germany)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | SV 07 Elversberg | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 60 |
| 5 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 52 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 51 |
| 8 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 34 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 39 |
| 14 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 39 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 37 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | 34 | 37 |
| 17 | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | SC Preußen Münster | 34 | 30 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr | SC Paderborn 07 | H | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Mar | Karlsruher SC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Mar | SV 07 Elversberg | H | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Mar | Hannover 96 | A | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Feb | FC Schalke 04 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Feb | Arminia Bielefeld | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | SG Dynamo Dresden | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | Arminia Bielefeld | A | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Mar | Eintracht Braunschweig | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Feb | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Feb | Hertha BSC | H | 5–2 | W |
Season Stats
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | SC Paderborn 07 | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #3 |
| 37 | Points | 62 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 7 / 17 | W / D / L | 18 / 8 / 8 |
| 49 | Scored | 59 |
| 68 | Conceded | 45 |
| -19 | GD | +14 |
| 1.09 | PPG | 1.82 |
| 29% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 are 16th (37 pts). SC Paderborn 07 are 3rd (62 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Sportpark Ronhof | Thomas Sommer. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 20' A quiet spell here at Sportpark Ronhof | Thomas Sommer. SC Paderborn 07 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 25' SC Paderborn 07 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 30' Reno Munz has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 541 appearances.
- 35' Felix Gotze has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 40' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 45' With 0 assists to his name this season, Silas Prufrock is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903.
- 50' Santiago Castaneda, a USA , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 51' What a moment for Stefano Marino! That strike on 51 puts his side firmly in control.
- 56' Felix Klaus is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 tonight.
- 61' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 64' Lukas Reich has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jannik Dehm on 64 minute.
- 65' Filip Bilbija has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ruben Muller on 65 minute.
- 67' That looks like a foul for a card for Philipp Ziereis.
- 68' Mattes Hansen is having his name booked by the referee on 68.
- 69' Mattes Hansen makes way for Santiago Castaneda at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from SC Paderborn 07.
- 74' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Calvin Brackelmann suffering a number of foals already.
- 75' The crowd applauds Maximilian Dietz as he leaves the pitch. Marco John steps in for SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903.
- 80' SC Paderborn 07 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 80.
- 81' The supporters are chanting for Jonah Sticker. He replaces Tjark Scheller on 81 minute.
- 82' The SC Paderborn 07 manager makes a substitution. Stefano Marino departs to be replaced by Nick Batzner.
- 84' Poor challenge from Santiago Castaneda. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 86' Brilliant from the ! Filip Bilbija makes it 0-2 with a superb finish on 86.
- 87' It is a substitution in SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 team. Philipp Ziereis is replaced by Aiman Dardari on 87 minute.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Filip Bilbija.
- With this win, SC Paderborn 07 is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 23
- 13
- 30
- 10
- 4
- 15
- 9
- 47
- 33
- 5
- 43
Bench
- 26
- 37
- 18
- 28
- 24
- 2
- 16
- 25
- 11
Coach
Heiko Vogel
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 20
- 23
- 26
-
30
Stefano Marino ↓ Nick Batzner 82'
- 4
- 41
- 17
- 22
- 14
-
25
Tjark Scheller ↓ Jonah Sticker 81'
-
2
Ruben Muller ↓ Filip Bilbija 65'
Bench
- 8
- 1
- 11
-
27
Steffen Tigges ↑ 64'
-
7
Filip Bilbija ↑ 65'
-
9
Nick Batzner ↑ 82'
-
5
Santiago Castaneda ↑ 69'
-
3
Jonah Sticker ↑ 81'
- 10
Coach
Ralf Kettemann
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Branimir Hrgota | 3 |
| Armindo Sieb | 2 |
| Adriano Grimaldi | 2 |
| Stefano Marino | 1 |
| Tim Lemperle | 1 |
| Damian Michalski | 1 |
| Gian-Luca Itter | 1 |
| Noah Loosli | 1 |
Head to Head
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 Form
2026-04-05
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903
0–2
SC Paderborn 07
L
2026-03-20
Karlsruher SC
3–1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903
L
2026-03-13
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903
2–0
SV 07 Elversberg
W
2026-03-08
Hannover 96
1–2
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903
W
2026-02-28
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903
1–1
FC Schalke 04
D
2026-02-20
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903
2–1
Arminia Bielefeld
W
SC Paderborn 07 Form
2026-04-05
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903
0–2
SC Paderborn 07
W
2026-03-21
SC Paderborn 07
2–1
SG Dynamo Dresden
W
2026-03-14
Arminia Bielefeld
2–2
SC Paderborn 07
D
2026-03-07
SC Paderborn 07
1–1
Eintracht Braunschweig
D
2026-02-28
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1–2
SC Paderborn 07
W
2026-02-22
SC Paderborn 07
5–2
Hertha BSC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.26
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.87
SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Paderborn 07 win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 or Draw
54%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
72%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 or SC Paderborn 07
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
7.4%
2 – 1
6.3%
0 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.8%
1 – 3
5.8%
1 – 0
4.7%
0 – 3
4.6%
2 – 3
3.7%
2 – 0
3.5%
Asian Handicap — SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903
| Handicap | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 covers | Push | SC Paderborn 07 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 7% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +1 | 50% | 21% | 29% |
| +1.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +2 | 71% | 15% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
29%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.