Sunday , 16 August 2026

Southampton FC vs Grimsby Town FC, FA Cup 2022-23 ROUND 5

FA Cup · 2022-23
Wed 1 Mar 2023 · 19:15 UTC St. Mary's Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Grimsby Town FCFA Cup at St. Mary's Stadium.

Head-to-Head

1
Southampton FC 1 games · Avg 3.0 goals Grimsby Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Grimsby Town FC H 1–2 L
25 Feb Leeds United FC A 0–1 L
18 Feb Chelsea FC A 1–0 W
11 Feb Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 1–2 L
04 Feb Brentford FC A 0–3 L
28 Jan Blackpool FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Southampton FC A 2–1 W
07 Feb Luton Town FC H 3–0 W
28 Jan Luton Town FC A 2–2 D
07 Jan Burton Albion FC H 1–0 W
05 Nov Plymouth Argyle FC H 5–1 W
06 Nov Kidderminster Harriers FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season
25% Clean Sheets
Grimsby Town FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Southampton FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Grimsby Town FC
Jaze Kabia 3 G
Kieran Green 2 G
Danny Rose 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds St. Mary's Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Southampton FC and Grimsby Town FC.
  • 5' Southampton FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Southampton FC and Grimsby Town FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 18' A stunning finish from Sekou Mara — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 23' Grimsby Town FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 28' It is a cagey affair so far. Southampton FC in their trying to find a way past Grimsby Town FC's compact .
  • 32' Poor challenge from Alex Hunt. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 37' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 42' It looks like no one’s ball. Grimsby Town FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 46' A stunning finish from Gavan Holohan — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 49' Duje Caleta-Car picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 50' The Ireland Gavan Holohan breaks the deadlock on 50 minutes. 1-2!
  • 55' The travelling Grimsby Town FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 59' A change in the Southampton FC ranks — Mislav Orsic exits the field as Samuel Edozie enters on 59.
  • 60' Southampton FC make a change. Romeo Lavia trudges off to be replaced by James Ward-Prowse on 60 minutes.
  • 65' Magnificent from Duje Caleta-Car! That is 10 goals in 465 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 67' Joe Aribo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Adam Armstrong at the 67 minute mark.
  • 72' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 73' Grimsby Town FC make a change. Harry Clifton trudges off to be replaced by Otis Khan on 73 minutes.
  • 75' Alex Hunt makes way for Bryn Morris at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from Grimsby Town FC.
  • 80' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Theo Walcott makes no mistake. 3-2!
  • 83' Evan Khouri has so much to prove this time. He replaces John McAtee on 83 minute.
  • 86' The whistle greets Moussa Djenepo as he departs to be replaced by Dominic Ballard.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.26 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46 Grimsby Town FC xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC or Grimsby Town FC 72% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC31% Draw28% Grimsby Town FC41%
Actual: Grimsby Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Grimsby Town FC
69%
Southampton FC or Grimsby Town FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC24% Draw47% Grimsby Town FC29%
Actual: Grimsby Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 1
8.7%
0 – 0
8.5%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 0
7.3%
0 – 2
6.9%
2 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.2%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Grimsby Town FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 17% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 59% 41%
+1 59% 20% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
24%
Grimsby Town FC keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.