Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Southampton FC vs Grimsby Town FC, FA Cup 2022-23 ROUND 5

FA Cup · 2022-23
Wed 1 Mar 2023 · 19:15 UTC St. Mary's Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Grimsby Town FC — FA Cup at St. Mary's Stadium.

Head-to-Head

1
Southampton FC 1 games · Avg 3.0 goals Grimsby Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Grimsby Town FC H 1–2 L
25 Feb Leeds United FC A 0–1 L
18 Feb Chelsea FC A 1–0 W
11 Feb Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 1–2 L
04 Feb Brentford FC A 0–3 L
28 Jan Blackpool FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Southampton FC A 2–1 W
07 Feb Luton Town FC H 3–0 W
28 Jan Luton Town FC A 2–2 D
07 Jan Burton Albion FC H 1–0 W
05 Nov Plymouth Argyle FC H 5–1 W
06 Nov Kidderminster Harriers FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season
25% Clean Sheets
Grimsby Town FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Southampton FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Grimsby Town FC
Jaze Kabia 3 G
Kieran Green 2 G
Danny Rose 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at St. Mary's Stadium as Southampton FC face off against Grimsby Town FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 15' Southampton FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 18' What composure from Sekou Mara! The France international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 23' Romeo Lavia is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Southampton FC so far.
  • 28' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 32' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Alex Hunt.
  • 37' Southampton FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 42' The travelling Grimsby Town FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 46' GOAL! Gavan Holohan scores on 45.
  • 49' Controversy at the stadium! Duje Caleta-Car argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 50' Against the run of play, Gavan Holohan has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 55' It is a cagey affair so far. Southampton FC in their trying to find a way past Grimsby Town FC's compact .
  • 59' Samuel Edozie is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mislav Orsic at the 59 minute mark.
  • 60' Southampton FC ring the changes. Romeo Lavia has done his job and it is now time for James Ward-Prowse to step up.
  • 65' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Duje Caleta-Car makes it 2-2.
  • 67' Another substitution for Southampton FC to replace Adam Armstrong by Joe Aribo on 67 minute.
  • 72' Grimsby Town FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 72.
  • 73' Fresh legs for Grimsby Town FC! Otis Khan comes on to replace Harry Clifton.
  • 75' The Grimsby Town FC manager makes a substitution. Alex Hunt departs to be replaced by Bryn Morris.
  • 80' Theo Walcott adds to his 0 season tally! Southampton FC lead 3-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 83' Another change for Grimsby Town FC made on 83 minute. John McAtee leaves to be changed by Evan Khouri.
  • 86' Dominic Ballard is ready to make an impact after coming on for Moussa Djenepo at the 86 minute mark.
  • Another three points for Grimsby Town FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.26 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46 Grimsby Town FC xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC or Grimsby Town FC 72% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC31% Draw28% Grimsby Town FC41%
Actual: Grimsby Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Grimsby Town FC
69%
Southampton FC or Grimsby Town FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC24% Draw47% Grimsby Town FC29%
Actual: Grimsby Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 1
8.7%
0 – 0
8.5%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 0
7.3%
0 – 2
6.9%
2 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.2%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Grimsby Town FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 17% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 20% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
Grimsby Town FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.