Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Luton Town FC vs Grimsby Town FC, FA Cup 2022-23 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2022-23
Sat 28 Jan 2023 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Grimsby Town FC — FA Cup .

Head-to-Head

1
1
Luton Town FC 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals Grimsby Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jan Grimsby Town FC H 2–2 D
21 Jan Wigan Athletic FC A 2–0 W
17 Jan Wigan Athletic FC A 2–1 W
14 Jan West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–3 L
07 Jan Wigan Athletic FC H 1–1 D
01 Jan Huddersfield Town AFC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jan Luton Town FC A 2–2 D
07 Jan Burton Albion FC H 1–0 W
05 Nov Plymouth Argyle FC H 5–1 W
06 Nov Kidderminster Harriers FC A 0–1 L
16 Oct Bromsgrove Sporting FC A 5–0 W
07 Nov Dagenham & Redbridge FC A 1–3 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Luton Town FC this season
25% Clean Sheets
Grimsby Town FC this season

Top Scorers (This Season)

Luton Town FC
Nahki Wells 2 G 1 A
Grimsby Town FC
Jaze Kabia 3 G
Kieran Green 2 G
Danny Rose 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at . Luton Town FC are looking to make home advantage count against Grimsby Town FC.
  • 5' Grimsby Town FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 10' Luton Town FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 15' Alex Hunt, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 25' Luke Waterfall is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Luton Town FC tonight.
  • 30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Grimsby Town FC that had 21 games and scored 30 goals.
  • 35' Carlton Morris needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 40' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 43' Gavan Holohan adds to his 0 season tally! Grimsby Town FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 44' Gavan Holohan makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and Grimsby Town FC are in front.
  • 45' It’s a booking for Grimsby Town FC player. Harry Clifton gets a Yellow card.
  • 49' GOAL! Elijah Adebayo scores on 49.
  • 54' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Max Crocombe suffering a number of foals already.
  • 59' The supporters are chanting for Cauley Woodrow. He replaces Allan Campbell on 59 minute.
  • 60' Luton Town FC make a change. Harry Cornick trudges off to be replaced by Carlton Morris on 60 minutes.
  • 65' Danilo Orsi-Dadomo picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 66' GOAL! Jordan Clark scores on 66.
  • 67' Sensational shot from Harry Clifton. Grimsby Town FC is back in the lead.
  • 72' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Luton Town FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 73' The referee shows Grimsby Town FC player a Yellow card on 73.
  • 74' Luton Town FC make a change. Daniel Potts trudges off to be replaced by Fred Onyedinma on 74 minutes.
  • 79' Grimsby Town FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 82' The Luton Town FC manager makes a substitution. Pelly Ruddock departs to be replaced by Luke Berry.
  • 87' Grimsby Town FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 88' The referee calls foul for Gavan Holohan. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 90' Max Crocombe is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.57 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.57 Grimsby Town FC xG
I would bet for: Luton Town FC or Grimsby Town FC 74% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Luton Town FC40% Draw26% Grimsby Town FC34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.14
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Grimsby Town FC
60%
Luton Town FC or Grimsby Town FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Luton Town FC28% Draw43% Grimsby Town FC29%
Actual: Grimsby Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
6%
0 – 1
6%
0 – 0
6%
2 – 0
5.3%
0 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Grimsby Town FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 11% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 18% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 18% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
Grimsby Town FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.