Saturday , 14 November 2026

Southampton FC vs Grimsby Town FC, FA Cup 2022-23 ROUND 5

FA Cup · 2022-23
Wed 1 Mar 2023 · 19:15 UTC St. Mary's Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Grimsby Town FC — FA Cup at St. Mary's Stadium.

Head-to-Head

1
Southampton FC 1 games · Avg 3.0 goals Grimsby Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Grimsby Town FC H 1–2 L
25 Feb Leeds United FC A 0–1 L
18 Feb Chelsea FC A 1–0 W
11 Feb Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 1–2 L
04 Feb Brentford FC A 0–3 L
28 Jan Blackpool FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Southampton FC A 2–1 W
07 Feb Luton Town FC H 3–0 W
28 Jan Luton Town FC A 2–2 D
07 Jan Burton Albion FC H 1–0 W
05 Nov Plymouth Argyle FC H 5–1 W
06 Nov Kidderminster Harriers FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Grimsby Town FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Grimsby Town FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.26 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46 Grimsby Town FC xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC or Grimsby Town FC 72% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC31% Draw28% Grimsby Town FC41%
Actual: Grimsby Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Grimsby Town FC
69%
Southampton FC or Grimsby Town FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC24% Draw47% Grimsby Town FC29%
Actual: Grimsby Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 1
8.7%
0 – 0
8.5%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 0
7.3%
0 – 2
6.9%
2 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.2%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Grimsby Town FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 17% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 20% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
Grimsby Town FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.