Shimizu S-Pulse vs FC Tōkyō, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2025

Shimizu S-Pulse

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Full Time

FC Tōkyō

Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 04:00 UTC IAI Stadium Nihondaira HT 45' · FT 45'

Sodai Hasukawa 60' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Shimizu S-Pulse vs FC Tōkyō — J. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.

Shimizu S-Pulse 18 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
FC Tōkyō 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Shimizu S-Pulse 20 games · Avg 2.5 goals FC Tōkyō

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-04 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–1 FC Tōkyō 2025-04-29 FC Tōkyō 0–2 Shimizu S-Pulse 2022-08-07 FC Tōkyō 0–2 Shimizu S-Pulse 2022-05-25 Shimizu S-Pulse 0–3 FC Tōkyō 2021-11-03 FC Tōkyō 4–0 Shimizu S-Pulse

Recent Form

Shimizu S-Pulse

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	FC Tōkyō	H	1–1	D
27 Sep	Vissel Kobe	A	1–2	L
23 Sep	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	0–0	D
20 Sep	Kyōto Sanga FC	A	1–0	W
13 Sep	Albirex Niigata	A	1–0	W
31 Aug	Kashima Antlers	H	1–1	D

FC Tōkyō

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	1–1	D
28 Sep	Yokohama F·Marinos	H	2–3	L
23 Sep	Avispa Fukuoka	H	1–0	W
20 Sep	Kawasaki Frontale	A	1–0	W
15 Sep	Tōkyō Verdy	H	1–0	W
31 Aug	Nagoya Grampus	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

Shimizu S-Pulse		FC Tōkyō
#7	Position	#12
24	Points	37
18	Played	18
8 / 0 / 10	W / D / L	13 / 0 / 5
40	Scored	55
42	Conceded	42
-2	GD	+13
1.33	PPG	2.06
44%	Win %	72%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season

50% Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season

Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). FC Tōkyō are 12th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Tōkyō

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/1

46-60

–/–

61-75

2/–

76+

1/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at IAI Stadium Nihondaira!
5' FC Tokyo started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
10' A quiet spell here at IAI Stadium Nihondaira. Shimizu S-Pulse seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
15' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
20' Shimizu S-Pulse are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Tokyo backline.
25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Shimizu S-Pulse and FC Tokyo are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
30' Seung-Gyu Kim, a South Korea , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
34' The deadlock is broken! Toshiki Takahashi gets on the scoresheet on 34 minutes.
39' The travelling FC Tokyo supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
44' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yutaka Yoshida, as he is very good at scoring at IAI Stadium Nihondaira with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
49' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
54' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
59' Shimizu S-Pulse seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
60' It’s gonna be a card for Sodai Hasukawa.
61' FC Tokyo make a change. Marcos Guilherme trudges off to be replaced by Kota Tawaratsumida on 61 minutes.
66' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Shimizu S-Pulse side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
67' A change in the Shimizu S-Pulse ranks — Kazuki Kozuka exits the field as Kai Matsuzaki enters on 67.
72' Keita Yamashita needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
73' Shimizu S-Pulse make a change. Toshiki Takahashi trudges off to be replaced by Koya Kitagawa on 73 minutes.
76' GOAL! Kein Sato scores on 76. Assisted by Kota Tawaratsumida
81' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
83' Shinya Yajima has so much to prove this time. He replaces Takashi Inui on 83 minute.
84' Sen Takagi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yutaka Yoshida on 84 minute.
87' Teppei Oka is replacing Masato Morishige for the FC Tokyo side.
It finishes all square. Shimizu S-Pulse and FC Tokyo share the spoils 1-1.

Lineups

Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups

Starting XI

33
Takashi Inui ↓ Shinya Yajima 83'
28
Yutaka Yoshida ↓ Sen Takagi 84'
8
Kazuki Kozuka ↓ Kai Matsuzaki 67'
16
Togo Umeda
98
Matheus Bueno
4
Sodai Hasukawa
14
Reon Yamahara
66
Jelani Sumiyoshi
38
Toshiki Takahashi ↓ Koya Kitagawa 73'
24
Min-tae Kim
17
Masaki Yumiba ↓ Zento Uno 67'

Bench

7
Capixaba
21
Shinya Yajima ↑ 83'
50
Alfredo Stephens
1
Yuya Oki
23
Koya Kitagawa ↑ 73'
41
Kento Haneda
19
Kai Matsuzaki ↑ 67'
36
Zento Uno ↑ 67'
70
Sen Takagi ↑ 84'

Coach Tadahiro Akiba

FC Tōkyō Lineups

Starting XI

5
Yuto Nagatomo
3
Masato Morishige ↓ Teppei Oka 87'
2
Sei Muroya
22
Keita Endo ↓ Leon Nozawa 61'
8
Takahiro Ko
37
Kei Koizumi
40
Marcos Guilherme ↓ Kota Tawaratsumida 61'
19
Marcelo Ryan
81
Seung-Gyu Kim
32
Kanta Doi
16
Kein Sato ↓ Keita Yamashita 87'

Bench

Coach Rikizo Matsuhashi

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Diego Oliveira	4
Adailton	4
Thiago Santana	4
Koya Kitagawa	3
Kensuke Nagai	3
Ronaldo	2
Ryoya Ogawa	2
Shuto Abe	2

Head to Head

Shimizu S-Pulse Form

2025-10-04 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–1 FC Tōkyō D 2025-09-27 Vissel Kobe 2–1 Shimizu S-Pulse L 2025-09-23 Shimizu S-Pulse 0–0 Urawa Red Diamonds D 2025-09-20 Kyōto Sanga FC 0–1 Shimizu S-Pulse W 2025-09-13 Albirex Niigata 0–1 Shimizu S-Pulse W 2025-08-31 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–1 Kashima Antlers D

FC Tōkyō Form

2025-10-04 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–1 FC Tōkyō D 2025-09-28 FC Tōkyō 2–3 Yokohama F·Marinos L 2025-09-23 FC Tōkyō 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka W 2025-09-20 Kawasaki Frontale 0–1 FC Tōkyō W 2025-09-15 FC Tōkyō 1–0 Tōkyō Verdy W 2025-08-31 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 FC Tōkyō D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.79 Shimizu S-Pulse xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.16 FC Tōkyō xG

I would bet for: Shimizu S-Pulse or FC Tōkyō 77% + Over 2.5 goals 74%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Shimizu S-Pulse36% Draw23% FC Tōkyō41%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes73% 0% No27%

Avg goals/match: 3.95

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	90%	10%
± 2.5	74%	26%
± 3.5	55%	45%
± 4.5	36%	64%

Double Chance

Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw

59%

Draw or FC Tōkyō

64%

Shimizu S-Pulse or FC Tōkyō

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Shimizu S-Pulse26% Draw38% FC Tōkyō36%

Actual: Shimizu S-Pulse win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

7.8%

2 – 2

6.9%

2 – 1

6.5%

1 – 3

5.6%

2 – 3

4.9%

0 – 2

4.6%

3 – 2

4.1%

3 – 1

3.9%

0 – 1

3.7%

0 – 3

3.2%

2 – 0

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse

Handicap	Shimizu S-Pulse covers	Push	FC Tōkyō covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	10%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	15%	68%
-0.5	32%	—	68%
+0.5	54%	—	46%
+1	54%	19%	27%
+1.5	73%	—	27%
+2	73%	14%	14%
+2.5	86%	—	14%

Clean Sheet

Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.