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Sao Paulo FC vs SE Palmeiras, 2018

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2018
Sat 6 Oct 2018 · 21:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Marcio Soares Maciel
  • Referee Kleber Lucio Gil
  • Referee Rodrigo Figueiredo Henrique Correa
  • Referee Wilton Pereira Sampaio

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Oct SE Palmeiras H 0–2 L
30 Sep Botafogo FR A 2–2 D
22 Sep America FC H 1–1 D
16 Sep Santos FC A 0–0 D
08 Sep EC Bahia H 1–0 W
06 Sep CA Mineiro A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Oct Sao Paulo FC A 2–0 W
30 Sep Cruzeiro EC H 3–1 W
23 Sep SC Recife A 1–0 W
16 Sep EC Bahia A 1–1 D
09 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–0 W
06 Sep CA Paranaense H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Sao Paulo FC SE Palmeiras
#12 Position #1
27 Points 48
22 Played 23
7 / 6 / 9 W / D / L 14 / 6 / 3
27 Scored 40
26 Conceded 19
+1 GD +21
1.23 PPG 2.09
32% Win % 61%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
39% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

Sao Paulo FC are 12th (27 pts). SE Palmeiras are 1st (48 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
5/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 7 G 1 A
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A
SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 6 G 3 A
Ramon Sosa 4 G 2 A
Allan 4 G 2 A
Mauricio 4 G 1 A
Jhon Arias 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Sao Paulo FC host SE Palmeiras — let the battle begin!
  • 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sao Paulo FC and SE Palmeiras are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 20' Sao Paulo FC is showing some good football. However, Sao Paulo FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
  • 30' A quiet spell here at . Sao Paulo FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 35' The travelling SE Palmeiras supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 40' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 45' Victor Luis is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sao Paulo FC tonight.
  • 50' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 55' It looks like no one’s ball. Sao Paulo FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 60' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SE Palmeiras needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 65' Moises, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 70' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Deyverson made 389 appearances and scored 57 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 75' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 80' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 85' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sao Paulo FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 90' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Gustavo Gomez suffering a number of foals already.
  • Full Time. SE Palmeiras beats Sao Paulo FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.82 Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.66 SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sao Paulo FC21% Draw27% SE Palmeiras52%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw
47%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
79%
Sao Paulo FC or SE Palmeiras
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sao Paulo FC14% Draw47% SE Palmeiras39%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
13%
1 – 1
12.2%
0 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
10.4%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 3
6.1%
1 – 0
5.9%
1 – 3
5.1%
2 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
3.8%
2 – 0
2.7%
0 – 4
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap Sao Paulo FC covers Push SE Palmeiras covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 12% 83%
-0.5 17% 83%
+0.5 44% 56%
+1 44% 25% 31%
+1.5 69% 31%
+2 69% 17% 14%
+2.5 86% 14%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
20%
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
44%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.