Sagan Tosu FC vs Shimizu S-Pulse, 2018
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Shimizu S-Pulse — J. League .
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Shimizu S-Pulse 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Hideaki Nishio
- Referee Toshiyuki Wazumi
- Referee Ryosuke Yamaoka
- Referee Yusuke Shiotsu
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 3–1 | W |
| 06 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 3–0 | W |
| 02 May | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Apr | Vegalta Sendai | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Gamba Osaka | A | 0–3 | L |
| 25 Apr | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 02 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | A | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Apr | FC Tōkyō | H | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Shimizu S-Pulse
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Sagan Tosu FC have kicked off against Shimizu S-Pulse. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Shimizu S-Pulse are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 10' Yuji Rokutan is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Shimizu S-Pulse so far.
- 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 20' Ahn Yongwoo has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 25' Shimizu S-Pulse have won 286 goals from 367 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 35' Sagan Tosu FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Shimizu S-Pulse backline.
- 40' It looks surprising Shimizu S-Pulse does not make any changes. Leandro Freire has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 45' It’s high time Jan Jonsson made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 50' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 55' Hideki Ishige has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 367 appearances.
- 60' A quiet spell here at . Shimizu S-Pulse seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 65' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and Shimizu S-Pulse are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 70' Kim Minhyeok needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 75' Hwang Seokho is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sagan Tosu FC tonight.
- 80' Ko Matsubara, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 85' The 33-year-old Ryohei Shirasaki has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 90' Shimizu S-Pulse is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- It finishes all square. Sagan Tosu FC and Shimizu S-Pulse share the spoils 3-1.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 5
- 23
- 13
- 3
- 14
- 4
- 40
- 36
-
27
Kyosuke Tagawa ↓ Victor Ibarbo 75'
-
25
Ahn Yongwoo ↓ Masato Fujita 72'
Bench
- 21
- 18
- 2
-
8
Masato Fujita ↑ 72'
- 7
- 22
-
32
Victor Ibarbo ↑ 75'
Coach
Massimo Ficcadenti
Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups
Starting XI
- 13
- 25
-
4
Leandro Freire ↓ Kazuya Murata 84'
- 27
- 3
- 6
- 17
-
29
Hideki Ishige ↓ Mitch Duke 61'
- 30
- 23
- 9
Bench
- 1
- 26
- 28
-
11
Kazuya Murata ↑ 84'
- 37
-
10
Ryohei Shirasaki ↑ 61'
-
19
Mitch Duke ↑ 61'
Coach
Jan Jonsson
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Thiago Santana | 3 |
| Douglas | 3 |
| Riki Harakawa | 3 |
| Yuto Iwasaki | 2 |
| Fernando Torres | 2 |
| Ryohei Shirasaki | 1 |
| Ahn Yongwoo | 1 |
| Douglas | 1 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Shimizu S-Pulse Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.53
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19
Shimizu S-Pulse xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sagan Tosu FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Shimizu S-Pulse
53%
Sagan Tosu FC or Shimizu S-Pulse
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 0
8.5%
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Shimizu S-Pulse covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 21% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 16% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.