Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Lille OSC vs SM Caen, Ligue 1 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2018-19
1 – 0
Full Time
Sat 27 Oct 2018 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Lille OSC vs SM Caen — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Mehdi Rahmouni
  • Referee Nicolas Danos
  • Referee Florent Batta
  • Referee Franck Schneider
  • Referee Alexandre Perreau Niel

Head-to-Head

2
Lille OSC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals SM Caen

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Oct SM Caen H 1–0 W
20 Oct Dijon Football Cote d'Or A 2–1 W
06 Oct AS Saint-Étienne H 3–1 W
30 Sep Olympique de Marseille H 3–0 W
26 Sep FC Girondins de Bordeaux A 0–1 L
22 Sep FC Nantes H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Oct Lille OSC A 0–1 L
20 Oct En Avant Guingamp H 0–0 D
07 Oct Olympique de Marseille A 0–2 L
29 Sep Amiens SC H 1–0 W
26 Sep Montpellier HSC H 2–2 D
22 Sep AS Saint-Étienne A 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
60% Clean Sheets
Lille OSC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Lille OSC
0-15
1/–
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Lille OSC
Ayase Ueda 2 G
Tiago Santos 2 G
Olivier Giroud 1 G 2 A
Dilane Bakwa 1 G 1 A
Hakon Haraldsson 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between Lille OSC and SM Caen.
  • 5' Brazil international Thiago Mendes has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 10' Lille OSC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Adama Soumaoro suffering a number of foals already.
  • 20' Lille OSC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 26' Emmanuel Imorou was booked on 26.
  • 31' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Lille OSC and SM Caen are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 33' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Prince Oniangue.
  • 38' Lille OSC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against SM Caen's shape.
  • 39' It is a substitution in SM Caen team. Emmanuel Imorou is replaced by Adama Mbengue on 39 minute.
  • 44' It looks like no one’s ball. Lille OSC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 49' Nicolas Pepe needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 54' Lille OSC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 56' Goal! Rafael Leao scores his 79 goal in 472 matches.
  • 58' Casimir Ninga makes way for Enzo Crivelli at the 58 minute mark. A tactical switch from SM Caen.
  • 63' Xeka has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 67' The Lille OSC manager makes a substitution. Rafael Leao departs to be replaced by Rui Fonte.
  • 70' Jessy Deminguet makes way for Saif-Eddine Khaoui at the 70 minute mark. A tactical switch from SM Caen.
  • 75' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SM Caen needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 80' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Alexander Djiku made 399 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 82' Lille OSC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jeremy Pied is hanging Jonathan Ikone on the field on 82 minute.
  • 87' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 90' The Lille OSC manager makes a substitution. Nicolas Pepe departs to be replaced by Kouadio Yves Dabila.
  • Lille OSC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.44 Lille OSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.63 SM Caen xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Lille OSC57% Draw27% SM Caen16%
Actual: Lille OSC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 2.07
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Lille OSC or Draw
84%
Draw or SM Caen
43%
Lille OSC or SM Caen
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Lille OSC36% Draw52% SM Caen12%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
14.9%
2 – 0
12.6%
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 1
8.1%
0 – 1
6.8%
3 – 0
5.9%
3 – 1
4%
1 – 2
3.4%
2 – 2
2.6%
0 – 2
2.3%
4 – 0
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Lille OSC

Handicap Lille OSC covers Push SM Caen covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 17% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 27% 45%
-0.5 55% — 45%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 11% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
54% ✓
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.