Sunday , 16 August 2026

Lille OSC vs SM Caen, Ligue 1 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2018-19
1 0
Full Time
Sat 27 Oct 2018 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Lille OSC vs SM CaenLigue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Mehdi Rahmouni
  • Referee Nicolas Danos
  • Referee Florent Batta
  • Referee Franck Schneider
  • Referee Alexandre Perreau Niel

Head-to-Head

2
Lille OSC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals SM Caen

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Oct SM Caen H 1–0 W
20 Oct Dijon Football Cote d'Or A 2–1 W
06 Oct AS Saint-Étienne H 3–1 W
30 Sep Olympique de Marseille H 3–0 W
26 Sep FC Girondins de Bordeaux A 0–1 L
22 Sep FC Nantes H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Oct Lille OSC A 0–1 L
20 Oct En Avant Guingamp H 0–0 D
07 Oct Olympique de Marseille A 0–2 L
29 Sep Amiens SC H 1–0 W
26 Sep Montpellier HSC H 2–2 D
22 Sep AS Saint-Étienne A 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Lille OSC have kicked off against SM Caen. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Alexander Djiku suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 20' Saif-Eddine Khaoui has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 25' Jose Fonte is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SM Caen so far.
  • 26' That is a Yellow card for SM Caen. Emmanuel Imorou will be fuming at that decision.
  • 31' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Lille OSC and SM Caen are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 33' Prince Oniangue was booked on 33.
  • 38' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 39' A tactical swap from SM CaenAdama Mbengue on, Emmanuel Imorou off on 39 minutes.
  • 44' Adama Mbengue needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 49' Lille OSC have won 483 goals from 466 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 54' Mike Maignan has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 466 appearances.
  • 56' GOAL! Rafael Leao scores on 56. Assisted by Nicolas Pepe
  • 58' The whistle greets Casimir Ninga as he departs to be replaced by Enzo Crivelli.
  • 63' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Lille OSC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 67' Lille OSC make a change. Rafael Leao trudges off to be replaced by Rui Fonte on 67 minutes.
  • 70' Another substitution for SM Caen to replace Jessy Deminguet by Saif-Eddine Khaoui on 70 minute.
  • 75' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 80' SM Caen come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 82' The whistle greets Jonathan Ikone as he departs to be replaced by Jeremy Pied.
  • 87' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 90' Lille OSC make a change. Nicolas Pepe trudges off to be replaced by Kouadio Yves Dabila on 90 minutes.
  • Full Time. Lille OSC beats SM Caen

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.44 Lille OSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.63 SM Caen xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Lille OSC57% Draw27% SM Caen16%
Actual: Lille OSC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 2.07
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Lille OSC or Draw
84%
Draw or SM Caen
43%
Lille OSC or SM Caen
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Lille OSC36% Draw52% SM Caen12%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
14.9%
2 – 0
12.6%
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 1
8.1%
0 – 1
6.8%
3 – 0
5.9%
3 – 1
4%
1 – 2
3.4%
2 – 2
2.6%
0 – 2
2.3%
4 – 0
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Lille OSC

Handicap Lille OSC covers Push SM Caen covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 17% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 27% 45%
-0.5 55% 45%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 11% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
54%
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.