Thursday , 2 July 2026

Lille OSC vs SM Caen, Ligue 1 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2018-19
1 0
Full Time
Sat 27 Oct 2018 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Lille OSC vs SM CaenLigue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Mehdi Rahmouni
  • Referee Nicolas Danos
  • Referee Florent Batta
  • Referee Franck Schneider
  • Referee Alexandre Perreau Niel

Head-to-Head

2
Lille OSC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals SM Caen

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Oct SM Caen H 1–0 W
20 Oct Dijon Football Cote d'Or A 2–1 W
06 Oct AS Saint-Étienne H 3–1 W
30 Sep Olympique de Marseille H 3–0 W
26 Sep FC Girondins de Bordeaux A 0–1 L
22 Sep FC Nantes H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Oct Lille OSC A 0–1 L
20 Oct En Avant Guingamp H 0–0 D
07 Oct Olympique de Marseille A 0–2 L
29 Sep Amiens SC H 1–0 W
26 Sep Montpellier HSC H 2–2 D
22 Sep AS Saint-Étienne A 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Lille OSC is hosting SM Caen for another epic battle.
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Paul Baysse made 399 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
  • 26' The referee shows SM Caen player a Yellow card on 26.
  • 31' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Casimir Ninga suffering a number of foals already.
  • 33' SM Caen player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 38' Claudio Beauvue has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 39' The SM Caen manager makes a substitution. Emmanuel Imorou departs to be replaced by Adama Mbengue.
  • 44' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 49' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 54' Mike Maignan needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 56' Rafael Leao puts Lille OSC on the lead.
  • 58' SM Caen manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Enzo Crivelli is hanging Casimir Ninga on the field on 58 minute.
  • 63' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 67' Rui Fonte is replacing Rafael Leao for the Lille OSC side.
  • 70' Another substitution for SM Caen to replace Jessy Deminguet by Saif-Eddine Khaoui on 70 minute.
  • 75' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SM Caen needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 80' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 82' Lille OSC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jeremy Pied is hanging Jonathan Ikone on the field on 82 minute.
  • 87' SM Caen seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Kouadio Yves Dabila. He replaces Nicolas Pepe on 90 minute.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for Lille OSC and SM Caen (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.44 Lille OSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.63 SM Caen xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Lille OSC57% Draw27% SM Caen16%
Actual: Lille OSC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 2.07
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Lille OSC or Draw
84%
Draw or SM Caen
43%
Lille OSC or SM Caen
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Lille OSC36% Draw52% SM Caen12%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
14.9%
2 – 0
12.6%
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 1
8.1%
0 – 1
6.8%
3 – 0
5.9%
3 – 1
4%
1 – 2
3.4%
2 – 2
2.6%
0 – 2
2.3%
4 – 0
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Lille OSC

Handicap Lille OSC covers Push SM Caen covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 17% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 27% 45%
-0.5 55% 45%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 11% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
54%
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.