Lille OSC vs SM Caen, Ligue 1 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Mehdi Rahmouni
- Referee Nicolas Danos
- Referee Florent Batta
- Referee Franck Schneider
- Referee Alexandre Perreau Niel
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Nantes | 34 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Metz | 34 | 17 |
| 3 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Racing Club de Lens | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Lille OSC | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Olympique Lyonnais | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Olympique de Marseille | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | AS Monaco FC | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Toulouse FC | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | FC Lorient | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Stade Brestois 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | ES Troyes AC | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Angers SCO | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Le Mans FC | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Le Havre AC | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | AJ Auxerre | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | OGC Nice | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct | SM Caen | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Oct | Dijon Football Cote d'Or | A | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Oct | AS Saint-Étienne | H | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Sep | Olympique de Marseille | H | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | FC Girondins de Bordeaux | A | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Sep | FC Nantes | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct | Lille OSC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Oct | En Avant Guingamp | H | 0–0 | D |
| 07 Oct | Olympique de Marseille | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Sep | Amiens SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | Montpellier HSC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Sep | AS Saint-Étienne | A | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Lille OSC have kicked off against SM Caen. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Alexander Djiku suffering a number of foals already.
- 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 20' Saif-Eddine Khaoui has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 25' Jose Fonte is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SM Caen so far.
- 26' That is a Yellow card for SM Caen. Emmanuel Imorou will be fuming at that decision.
- 31' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Lille OSC and SM Caen are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 33' Prince Oniangue was booked on 33.
- 38' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 39' A tactical swap from SM Caen — Adama Mbengue on, Emmanuel Imorou off on 39 minutes.
- 44' Adama Mbengue needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 49' Lille OSC have won 483 goals from 466 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 54' Mike Maignan has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 466 appearances.
- 56' GOAL! Rafael Leao scores on 56. Assisted by Nicolas Pepe
- 58' The whistle greets Casimir Ninga as he departs to be replaced by Enzo Crivelli.
- 63' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Lille OSC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 67' Lille OSC make a change. Rafael Leao trudges off to be replaced by Rui Fonte on 67 minutes.
- 70' Another substitution for SM Caen to replace Jessy Deminguet by Saif-Eddine Khaoui on 70 minute.
- 75' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 80' SM Caen come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 82' The whistle greets Jonathan Ikone as he departs to be replaced by Jeremy Pied.
- 87' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 90' Lille OSC make a change. Nicolas Pepe trudges off to be replaced by Kouadio Yves Dabila on 90 minutes.
- Full Time. Lille OSC beats SM Caen
Lineups
Lille OSC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
12
Jonathan Ikone ↓ Jeremy Pied 82'
- 16
- 5
- 23
- 25
-
19
Nicolas Pepe ↓ Yves Dabila 90'
- 14
- 8
-
7
Rafael Leao ↓ Rui Fonte 67'
- 17
Bench
-
10
Rui Fonte ↑ 67'
-
26
Jeremy Pied ↑ 82'
- 1
-
22
Yves Dabila ↑ 90'
- 20
- 24
- 11
Coach
Christophe Galtier
SM Caen Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 10
- 30
- 24
- 21
- 17
-
11
Casimir Ninga ↓ Enzo Crivelli 58'
- 2
- 6
-
15
Emmanuel Imorou ↓ Adama Mbengue 39'
- 12
Bench
- 14
-
7
Saif-Eddine Khaoui ↑ 70'
-
22
Adama Mbengue ↑ 39'
- 3
- 8
-
27
Enzo Crivelli ↑ 58'
- 1
Coach
Fabien Mercadal
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 2 |
| Nicolas Pepe | 1 |
| Luiz Araujo | 1 |
| Casimir Ninga | 1 |
Head to Head
Lille OSC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.44
Lille OSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.63
SM Caen xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Lille OSC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.07
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 2.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
Lille OSC or Draw
84%
Draw or SM Caen
43%
Lille OSC or SM Caen
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
14.9%
2 – 0
12.6%
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 1
8.1%
0 – 1
6.8%
3 – 0
5.9%
3 – 1
4%
1 – 2
3.4%
2 – 2
2.6%
0 – 2
2.3%
4 – 0
2.2%
Asian Handicap — Lille OSC
| Handicap | Lille OSC covers | Push | SM Caen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 17% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 27% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 11% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
54%
✓
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

