SM Caen vs Lille OSC, Ligue 1 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Thomas Leonard
- Referee Frederic Hebrard
- Referee Gilles Lang
- Referee Cedric Dos Santos
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Monaco FC | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Olympique Lyonnais | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Lille OSC | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 5 | 8 |
| 7 | Angers SCO | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Le Mans FC | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | AJ Auxerre | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Stade Brestois 29 | 5 | 5 |
| 12 | FC Lorient | 5 | 5 |
| 13 | Toulouse FC | 5 | 5 |
| 14 | OGC Nice | 5 | 5 |
| 15 | Racing Club de Lens | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | ES Troyes AC | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | Olympique de Marseille | 5 | 3 |
| 18 | Le Havre AC | 5 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan | Lille OSC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Dec | Stade de Reims | A | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Dec | Toulouse FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Dec | RC Strasbourg Alsace | A | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Dec | Nimes Olympique | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Dec | Angers SCO | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan | SM Caen | A | 3–1 | W |
| 22 Dec | Toulouse FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Dec | Nimes Olympique | A | 3–2 | W |
| 09 Dec | Stade de Reims | H | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Dec | Montpellier HSC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Dec | Olympique Lyonnais | H | 2–2 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
60%
Clean Sheets
Lille OSC this season
Lille OSC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Lille OSC
0-15
1/–
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Lille OSC
| Ayase Ueda | 2 G | |
| Tiago Santos | 2 G | |
| Olivier Giroud | 1 G | 2 A |
| Dilane Bakwa | 1 G | 1 A |
| Hakon Haraldsson | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and SM Caen launch into their encounter with Lille OSC.
- 5' SM Caen are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 8' Lille OSC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Nicolas Pepe on 8.
- 13' Lille OSC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 15' Adama Soumaoro is having his name booked by the referee on 15.
- 20' Rafael Leao doubles the advantage! 0-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 21' That is a Yellow card for SM Caen. Enzo Crivelli will be fuming at that decision.
- 26' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SM Caen side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 31' A quiet spell here at Stade Michel d'Ornano. Lille OSC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 36' SM Caen are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Lille OSC's shape.
- 41' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 41 minutes.
- 42' Ismael Diomande has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 42.
- 44' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Frederic Guilbert.
- 49' Over 49 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 54' It looks surprising Lille OSC does not make any changes. Saif-Eddine Khaoui has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 59' SM Caen is showing some good football. However, SM Caen are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 64' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Christophe Galtier will be considering his options from the bench.
- 65' Another change for SM Caen made on 65 minute. Claudio Beauvue leaves to be changed by Yacine Bammou.
- 70' France international Yoel Armougom has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 75' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 76' Time for substitution for Lille OSC. Thiago Mendes is replaced by Boubakary Soumare.
- 78' The SM Caen bench stirs into life. Saif-Eddine Khaoui is withdrawn and Christian Kouakou gets his opportunity.
- 81' Luiz Araujo is replacing Jonathan Ikone for the Lille OSC side.
- 82' Zeki Celik picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 84' Zeki Celik is having his name booked by the referee on 84.
- 88' Lille OSC ring the changes. Rafael Leao has done his job and it is now time for Jeremy Pied to step up.
- 89' SM Caen ring the changes. Ismael Diomande has done his job and it is now time for Malik Tchokounte to step up.
- 90' Against the run of play, Luiz Araujo has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- With this win, Lille OSC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
SM Caen Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 10
- 30
- 24
- 21
- 3
- 4
- 27
- 11
- 2
-
12
Claudio Beauvue ↓ Yacine Bammou 65'
Bench
- 14
-
19
Malik Tchokounte ↑ 89'
-
18
Yacine Bammou ↑ 65'
- 5
- 22
-
13
Christian Kouakou ↑ 78'
- 1
Coach
Fabien Mercadal
Lille OSC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 6
-
12
Jonathan Ikone ↓ Luiz Araujo 81'
- 16
- 5
- 23
- 20
- 19
- 14
-
7
Rafael Leao ↓ Jeremy Pied 88'
- 17
Bench
- 9
-
26
Jeremy Pied ↑ 88'
- 1
- 15
- 22
-
24
Boubakary Soumare ↑ 76'
-
11
Luiz Araujo ↑ 81'
Coach
Christophe Galtier
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 2 |
| Nicolas Pepe | 1 |
| Luiz Araujo | 1 |
| Casimir Ninga | 1 |
SM Caen Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.13
SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.67
Lille OSC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Lille OSC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
SM Caen or Draw
54%
Draw or Lille OSC
73%
SM Caen or Lille OSC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Lille OSC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
0 – 1
9.3%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
8.3%
0 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
6.2%
1 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
4.5%
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
3%
Asian Handicap — SM Caen
| Handicap | SM Caen covers | Push | Lille OSC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +1 | 52% | 22% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.