Thursday , 2 July 2026

SM Caen vs GFC Ajaccio, 2017

Ligue 1 2017/18 · 2017
2 0
Full Time
Sat 14 Oct 2017 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs GFC Ajaccio — Ligue 1 .

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Oct GFC Ajaccio H 2–0 W
29 Sep Nimes Olympique A 1–1 D
23 Sep FC Girondins de Bordeaux H 0–0 D
16 Sep AS Beziers A 1–0 W
09 Sep Red Star FC H 0–1 L
26 Aug US Orleans Loiret A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Oct SM Caen A 0–2 L
01 Oct FC Sochaux-Montbeliard H 2–4 L
22 Sep Chamois Niortais FC H 2–2 D
17 Sep Valenciennes FC A 1–0 W
09 Sep Nimes Olympique H 4–0 W
26 Aug RC Strasbourg Alsace A 0–3 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

SM Caen Lineups

GFC Ajaccio Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.21 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.85 GFC Ajaccio xG
I would bet for: SM Caen or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen44% Draw31% GFC Ajaccio25%
Actual: SM Caen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.06
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
75%
Draw or GFC Ajaccio
56%
SM Caen or GFC Ajaccio
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen29% Draw54% GFC Ajaccio17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.1%
1 – 0
14.1%
1 – 1
14%
0 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
3.5%
2 – 2
3.4%
3 – 1
3.2%
1 – 3
1.6%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push GFC Ajaccio covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 13% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 23% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 16% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
43%
GFC Ajaccio keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.