Thursday , 2 July 2026

GFC Ajaccio vs SM Caen, 2016

Ligue 1 2016/17 · 2016
2 1
Full Time
Fri 24 Feb 2017 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

GFC Ajaccio vs SM Caen — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

GFC Ajaccio 2.05
Draw 3.30
SM Caen 3.80

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Feb SM Caen H 2–1 W
18 Feb VfR Wormatia 08 Worms A 1–0 W
12 Feb Valenciennes FC A 2–2 D
08 Feb La Berrichonne de Chateauroux H 1–0 W
04 Feb Nimes Olympique A 0–3 L
29 Jan AC Ajaccio H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Feb GFC Ajaccio A 1–2 L
19 Feb La Berrichonne de Chateauroux H 2–1 W
11 Feb SV Wehen Wiesbaden A 3–0 W
07 Feb Nimes Olympique H 1–2 L
04 Feb Senegal H 2–1 W
27 Jan FC Sochaux-Montbeliard A 1–5 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — GFC Ajaccio and SM Caen get this one started.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. GFC Ajaccio take all three points.

Lineups

GFC Ajaccio Lineups

SM Caen Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.55 GFC Ajaccio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 SM Caen xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
GFC Ajaccio51% Draw26% SM Caen23%
Actual: GFC Ajaccio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

GFC Ajaccio or Draw
77%
Draw or SM Caen
49%
GFC Ajaccio or SM Caen
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
GFC Ajaccio33% Draw47% SM Caen20%
Actual: SM Caen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — GFC Ajaccio

Handicap GFC Ajaccio covers Push SM Caen covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 22% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

GFC Ajaccio keeps clean sheet
35%
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.