Saturday , 14 November 2026

SM Caen vs En Avant Guingamp, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
Fri 24 Jan 2025 · 19:00 UTC Michel-d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs En Avant Guingamp — Ligue 2 at Michel-d'Ornano.

Match Details

  • Referee Thierry Bouille (France)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan En Avant Guingamp H 0–1 L
17 Jan AC Ajaccio A 1–2 L
11 Jan Grenoble Foot 38 H 0–1 L
03 Jan Clermont Foot 63 H 0–1 L
16 Dec USL Dunkerque A 1–3 L
06 Dec Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan SM Caen A 1–0 W
17 Jan Rodez Aveyron Football H 3–0 W
10 Jan FC Annecy A 4–1 W
04 Jan USL Dunkerque H 1–1 D
13 Dec SC Bastia A 1–3 L
06 Dec FC Martigues A 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
En Avant Guingamp this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

En Avant Guingamp
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/3
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

En Avant Guingamp
Brandon Bokangu 4 G
Samir Ben Brahim 3 G 1 A
Stanislas Kielt 3 G
Donatien Gomis 2 G 2 A
Albin Demouchy 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Michel-d'Ornano. SM Caen are looking to make home advantage count against En Avant Guingamp.
  • 5' It looks surprising En Avant Guingamp does not make any changes. Alex Moucketou-Moussounda has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SM Caen and En Avant Guingamp are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 15' The 31-year-old Donatien Gomis has been sensational this season — 2 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 20' SM Caen are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 35' With 1 assists to his name this season, Noe Lebreton is clearly more than just a goal scorer for En Avant Guingamp.
  • 40' The home supporters are growing impatient. SM Caen must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 44' Brighton Labeau puts En Avant Guingamp on the lead.
  • 45' It’s gonna be a card for Sabri Guendouz.
  • 50' SM Caen is showing some good football. However, SM Caen are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 55' SM Caen currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 56' En Avant Guingamp ring the changes. Sabri Guendouz has done his job and it is now time for Junior Mendes to step up.
  • 61' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 66' The travelling En Avant Guingamp supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 68' Time for substitution for SM Caen. Mickael Le Bihan is replaced by Tidiam Gomis.
  • 73' En Avant Guingamp make a change. Taylor Luvambo trudges off to be replaced by Rayan Touzghar on 73 minutes.
  • 74' SM Caen make a change. Ilyes Najim trudges off to be replaced by Godson Kyeremeh on 74 minutes.
  • 75' Quentin Lecoeuche has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 75.
  • 80' Lorenzo Rajot has so much to prove this time. He replaces Noe Lebreton on 80 minute.
  • 83' Rayan Touzghar catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 83.
  • 88' Tieri Godame is ready to make an impact after coming on for Brighton Labeau at the 88 minute mark.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. En Avant Guingamp take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.91 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26 En Avant Guingamp xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen25% Draw30% En Avant Guingamp45%
Actual: En Avant Guingamp win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
55%
Draw or En Avant Guingamp
75%
SM Caen or En Avant Guingamp
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SM Caen18% Draw52% En Avant Guingamp30%
Actual: En Avant Guingamp win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
13.8%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.2%
0 – 2
8.7%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 1
5.7%
2 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
3.7%
0 – 3
3.6%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
1.8%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push En Avant Guingamp covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 16% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 57% — 43%
+1 57% 23% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 13% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
En Avant Guingamp keeps clean sheet
41% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.