Sunday , 16 August 2026

SM Caen vs En Avant Guingamp, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
Fri 24 Jan 2025 · 19:00 UTC Michel-d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs En Avant GuingampLigue 2 at Michel-d'Ornano.

Match Details

  • Referee Thierry Bouille (France)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan En Avant Guingamp H 0–1 L
17 Jan AC Ajaccio A 1–2 L
11 Jan Grenoble Foot 38 H 0–1 L
03 Jan Clermont Foot 63 H 0–1 L
16 Dec USL Dunkerque A 1–3 L
06 Dec Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan SM Caen A 1–0 W
17 Jan Rodez Aveyron Football H 3–0 W
10 Jan FC Annecy A 4–1 W
04 Jan USL Dunkerque H 1–1 D
13 Dec SC Bastia A 1–3 L
06 Dec FC Martigues A 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
En Avant Guingamp this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

En Avant Guingamp
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
1/2
61-75
/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.91 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26 En Avant Guingamp xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen25% Draw30% En Avant Guingamp45%
Actual: En Avant Guingamp win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
55%
Draw or En Avant Guingamp
75%
SM Caen or En Avant Guingamp
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SM Caen18% Draw52% En Avant Guingamp30%
Actual: En Avant Guingamp win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
13.8%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.2%
0 – 2
8.7%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 1
5.7%
2 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
3.7%
0 – 3
3.6%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
1.8%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push En Avant Guingamp covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 16% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 23% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 13% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
29%
En Avant Guingamp keeps clean sheet
41%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.