Thursday , 2 July 2026

SM Caen vs AC Ajaccio, 2016

Ligue 1 2016/17 · 2016
1 1
Full Time
Sat 4 Mar 2017 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs AC Ajaccio — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

SM Caen 2.00
Draw 3.50
AC Ajaccio 3.80

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar AC Ajaccio H 1–1 D
24 Feb GFC Ajaccio A 1–2 L
19 Feb La Berrichonne de Chateauroux H 2–1 W
11 Feb SV Wehen Wiesbaden A 3–0 W
07 Feb Nimes Olympique H 1–2 L
04 Feb Senegal H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar SM Caen A 1–1 D
25 Feb Nimes Olympique H 1–2 L
19 Feb Grenoble Foot 38 A 0–3 L
11 Feb ES Troyes AC H 2–1 W
08 Feb FC Sochaux-Montbeliard A 0–2 L
04 Feb AS Nancy-Lorraine H 0–1 L

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

SM Caen Lineups

AC Ajaccio Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.5 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 AC Ajaccio xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SM Caen50% Draw27% AC Ajaccio23%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
77%
Draw or AC Ajaccio
50%
SM Caen or AC Ajaccio
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen33% Draw48% AC Ajaccio19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.4%
0 – 0
10.4%
2 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 0
4.5%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push AC Ajaccio covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 23% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
38%
AC Ajaccio keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.