Sunday , 15 November 2026

SM Caen vs AC Ajaccio, 2016

Ligue 1 2016/17 · 2016
1 – 1
Full Time
Sat 4 Mar 2017 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs AC Ajaccio — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

SM Caen 2.00
Draw 3.50
AC Ajaccio 3.80

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar AC Ajaccio H 1–1 D
24 Feb GFC Ajaccio A 1–2 L
19 Feb La Berrichonne de Chateauroux H 2–1 W
11 Feb SV Wehen Wiesbaden A 3–0 W
07 Feb Nimes Olympique H 1–2 L
04 Feb Senegal H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar SM Caen A 1–1 D
25 Feb Nimes Olympique H 1–2 L
19 Feb Grenoble Foot 38 A 0–3 L
11 Feb ES Troyes AC H 2–1 W
08 Feb FC Sochaux-Montbeliard A 0–2 L
04 Feb AS Nancy-Lorraine H 0–1 L

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for SM Caen to score. At the same time, AC Ajaccio does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

SM Caen Lineups

AC Ajaccio Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.5 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 AC Ajaccio xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SM Caen50% Draw27% AC Ajaccio23%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
77%
Draw or AC Ajaccio
50%
SM Caen or AC Ajaccio
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen33% Draw48% AC Ajaccio19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.4%
0 – 0
10.4%
2 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 0
4.5%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push AC Ajaccio covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 23% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
AC Ajaccio keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.