SK Sturm Graz vs PSV, Champions League Q 2023 ROUND 3
Overview
Match Preview
SK Sturm Graz vs PSV — Champions League Q at Merkur Arena.
- SK Sturm Graz 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- PSV 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Srdan Jovanovic
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug | PSV | H | 1–3 | L |
| 08 Aug | PSV | A | 1–4 | L |
| 03 Nov | FC Midtjylland | A | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Oct | Feyenoord Rotterdam | H | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Oct | SS Lazio | A | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Oct | SS Lazio | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug | SK Sturm Graz | A | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Aug | FC Utrecht | H | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Aug | SK Sturm Graz | H | 4–1 | W |
| 28 May | AZ | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 May | SC Heerenveen | H | 3–3 | D |
| 14 May | Fortuna Sittard | H | 2–1 | W |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
67%
Clean Sheets
SK Sturm Graz this season
SK Sturm Graz this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
SK Sturm Graz
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
2/1
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. SK Sturm Graz host PSV — let the battle begin!
- 5' It looks surprising PSV does not make any changes. Jordan Teze has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 15' SK Sturm Graz are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against PSV's shape.
- 20' SK Sturm Graz are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined PSV backline.
- 25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 26' Brilliant from the ! William Boving makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 26.
- 31' A quiet spell here at Merkur Arena. PSV seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 32' Joey Veerman doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 37' David Affengruber has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 142 appearances.
- 39' Luuk de Jong does the damage! The net is bulging and PSV surge ahead!
- 44' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SK Sturm Graz that had 142 games and scored 38 goals.
- 46' PSV make a change. Luuk de Jong trudges off to be replaced by Ricardo Pepi on 46 minutes.
- 51' SK Sturm Graz have won 38 goals from 142 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 56' PSV come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 59' Another substitution for SK Sturm Graz to replace Bryan Silva Teixeira by Szymon Wlodarczyk on 59 minute.
- 60' Guus Til gets the nod from PSV. He replaces Johan Bakayoko and will look to change the dynamic.
- 65' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 70' That looks like a foul for a card for Stefan Hierlander.
- 71' The crowd applauds Jusuf Gazibegovic as he leaves the pitch. Max Johnston steps in for SK Sturm Graz.
- 76' The 25-year-old Ismael Saibari has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 80' A change in the SK Sturm Graz ranks — Alexander Prass exits the field as Jakob Jantscher enters on 80.
- 85' Goal! Ricardo Pepi scores his 57 goal in 281 matches.
- 85' Gregory Wuthrich catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 85.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Javier Serrano on 90 minutes.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — SK Sturm Graz 1-3 PSV.
Lineups
SK Sturm Graz Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 1
- 25
- 10
- 17
- 44
- 22
- 42
- 8
- 4
- 15
Bench
-
13
Jakob Jantscher ↑ 80'
- 19
- 28
- 35
-
9
Szymon Wlodarczyk ↑ 59'
- 14
- 31
- 40
- 21
- 29
-
2
Max Johnston ↑ 71'
- 33
PSV Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Luuk de Jong ↓ Ricardo Pepi 46'
- 3
- 30
- 6
- 18
- 1
- 5
- 23
- 34
- 32
-
11
Johan Bakayoko ↓ Guus Til 60'
Bench
-
20
Guus Til ↑ 60'
- 21
- 7
- 16
- 29
- 24
-
14
Ricardo Pepi ↑ 46'
- 2
- 37
- 26
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luuk de Jong | 3 |
| Ibrahim Sangare | 2 |
| Isaac Babadi | 1 |
| William Boving | 1 |
| Jon Gorenc-Stankovic | 1 |
| Ricardo Pepi | 1 |
| Joey Veerman | 1 |
| Philipp Max | 1 |
Head to Head
SK Sturm Graz Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.13
SK Sturm Graz xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77
PSV xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: PSV win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
SK Sturm Graz or Draw
49%
Draw or PSV
76%
SK Sturm Graz or PSV
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: PSV win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 1
8.9%
0 – 2
8.5%
0 – 0
7.3%
2 – 1
6%
1 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 3
4.9%
2 – 0
3.5%
2 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — SK Sturm Graz
| Handicap | SK Sturm Graz covers | Push | PSV covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +1 | 49% | 22% | 29% |
| +1.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +2 | 71% | 16% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
SK Sturm Graz keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
PSV keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.