SK Sturm Graz vs PSV, Champions League Q 2023 ROUND 3
Overview
Match Preview
SK Sturm Graz vs PSV — Champions League Q at Merkur Arena.
- SK Sturm Graz 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- PSV 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Srdan Jovanovic
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug | PSV | H | 1–3 | L |
| 08 Aug | PSV | A | 1–4 | L |
| 03 Nov | FC Midtjylland | A | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Oct | Feyenoord Rotterdam | H | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Oct | SS Lazio | A | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Oct | SS Lazio | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug | SK Sturm Graz | A | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Aug | FC Utrecht | H | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Aug | SK Sturm Graz | H | 4–1 | W |
| 28 May | AZ | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 May | SC Heerenveen | H | 3–3 | D |
| 14 May | Fortuna Sittard | H | 2–1 | W |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
67%
Clean Sheets
SK Sturm Graz this season
SK Sturm Graz this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
SK Sturm Graz
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
2/1
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' SK Sturm Graz have kicked off against PSV. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 10' SK Sturm Graz currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 20' The home supporters are growing impatient. SK Sturm Graz must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 26' William Boving has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 26 minutes.
- 31' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 32' Assisted by Luuk de Jong with the perfectly-timed delivery and Joey Veerman makes no mistake. 1-1!
- 37' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SK Sturm Graz and PSV are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 39' Magnificent from Luuk de Jong! That is 135 goals in 449 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 44' It looks like no one’s ball. SK Sturm Graz is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 46' Another substitution for PSV to replace Luuk de Jong by Ricardo Pepi on 46 minute.
- 51' Jakob Jantscher, a Austria , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 56' PSV is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 59' The crowd applauds Bryan Silva Teixeira as he leaves the pitch. Szymon Wlodarczyk steps in for SK Sturm Graz.
- 60' Another change for PSV made on 60 minute. Johan Bakayoko leaves to be changed by Guus Til.
- 65' Austria international Stefan Hierlander has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 70' The referee calls foul for Stefan Hierlander. He receives a card.
- 71' SK Sturm Graz make a change. Jusuf Gazibegovic trudges off to be replaced by Max Johnston on 71 minutes.
- 76' SK Sturm Graz are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 80' Alexander Prass makes way for Jakob Jantscher at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from SK Sturm Graz.
- 85' GOAL! Ricardo Pepi fires home to make it 1-3!
- 85' The referee has no hesitation. Gregory Wuthrich is booked for SK Sturm Graz — card on 85.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Javier Serrano.
- Another three points for PSV.
Lineups
SK Sturm Graz Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 1
- 25
- 10
- 17
- 44
- 22
- 42
- 8
- 4
- 15
Bench
-
13
Jakob Jantscher ↑ 80'
- 19
- 28
- 35
-
9
Szymon Wlodarczyk ↑ 59'
- 14
- 31
- 40
- 21
- 29
-
2
Max Johnston ↑ 71'
- 33
PSV Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Luuk de Jong ↓ Ricardo Pepi 46'
- 3
- 30
- 6
- 18
- 1
- 5
- 23
- 34
- 32
-
11
Johan Bakayoko ↓ Guus Til 60'
Bench
-
20
Guus Til ↑ 60'
- 21
- 7
- 16
- 29
- 24
-
14
Ricardo Pepi ↑ 46'
- 2
- 37
- 26
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luuk de Jong | 3 |
| Ibrahim Sangare | 2 |
| Jon Stankovic | 1 |
| Isaac Babadi | 1 |
| William Boving | 1 |
| Jon Gorenc-Stankovic | 1 |
| Ricardo Pepi | 1 |
| Joey Veerman | 1 |
Head to Head
SK Sturm Graz Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.13
SK Sturm Graz xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77
PSV xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: PSV win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
SK Sturm Graz or Draw
49%
Draw or PSV
76%
SK Sturm Graz or PSV
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: PSV win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 1
8.9%
0 – 2
8.5%
0 – 0
7.3%
2 – 1
6%
1 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 3
4.9%
2 – 0
3.5%
2 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — SK Sturm Graz
| Handicap | SK Sturm Graz covers | Push | PSV covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +1 | 49% | 22% | 29% |
| +1.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +2 | 71% | 16% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
SK Sturm Graz keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
PSV keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.