SE Palmeiras vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2021 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SE Palmeiras vs Fluminense FC — Serie A .
- SE Palmeiras 28 games · 57 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 28 games · 48 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul | Fluminense FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Jul | AC Goianiense | A | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Jul | Santos FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 07 Jul | Gremio FBPA | H | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Jul | SC Recife | A | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Jun | SC Internacional | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Jul | Gremio FBPA | H | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Jul | SC Recife | A | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Jul | Ceará SC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Jul | CR Flamengo | A | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Jun | CA Paranaense | H | 1–4 | L |
Season Stats
| SE Palmeiras | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #4 |
| 57 | Points | 48 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 16 / 9 / 3 | W / D / L | 13 / 9 / 6 |
| 47 | Scored | 44 |
| 21 | Conceded | 36 |
| +26 | GD | +8 |
| 2.04 | PPG | 1.71 |
| 57% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
21%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
SE Palmeiras are 2nd (57 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (48 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 8 G | 4 A |
| Mauricio | 7 G | 1 A |
| Vitor Roque | 5 G | |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
| Gustavo Gomez | 4 G | 2 A |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 4 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 5 G | 3 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 G | 5 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between SE Palmeiras and Fluminense FC is underway.
- 5' It’s high time Roger Machado made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fluminense FC that had 394 games and scored 427 goals.
- 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Fluminense FC winning 50% of all matches.
- 25' Fluminense FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 28' Poor challenge from Fred. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 33' The travelling Fluminense FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 38' It looks like no one’s ball. SE Palmeiras is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 43' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 48' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 51' Fluminense FC ring the changes. Caio Paulista has done his job and it is now time for Luiz Henrique to step up.
- 54' Brilliant from the ! Manoel Messias makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 54.
- 59' SE Palmeiras are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 60' It is a substitution in SE Palmeiras team. Deyverson is replaced by Willian on 60 minute.
- 61' The SE Palmeiras bench stirs into life. Wesley is withdrawn and Breno Lopes gets his opportunity.
- 66' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 71' Abel Hernandez gets the nod from Fluminense FC. He replaces Fred and will look to change the dynamic.
- 75' A moment of madness from Felipe Melo on 75 minutes earns him a Yellow card. SE Palmeiras will be frustrated.
- 76' A change in the SE Palmeiras ranks — Raphael Veiga exits the field as Patrick Carreiro enters on 76.
- 81' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SE Palmeiras side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 83' The crowd applauds Gabriel Teixeira as he leaves the pitch. Kayky steps in for Fluminense FC.
- 88' Fluminense FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker German Cano scoring 1 goals.
- 90' SE Palmeiras ring the changes. Ze Rafael has done his job and it is now time for Victor Luis to step up.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for SE Palmeiras players.
Lineups
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
-
8
Ze Rafael ↓ Victor Luis 90'
- 23
- 21
- 2
- 30
- 16
- 15
-
14
Gustavo Scarpa ↓ Dudu 61'
-
11
Wesley ↓ Breno Lopes 61'
- 28
- 3
Bench
- 42
- 12
-
26
Victor Luis ↑ 90'
-
43
Dudu ↑ 61'
- 20
-
29
Willian ↑ 60'
- 18
- 4
- 27
-
19
Breno Lopes ↑ 61'
-
5
Patrick Carreiro ↑ 76'
Coach
Abel Ferreira
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 44
- 6
-
9
Fred ↓ Abel Hernandez 71'
-
20
Yago Felipe ↓ Paulo Ganso 83'
- 2
- 1
-
77
Nene ↓ Juan Cazares 71'
-
70
Caio Paulista ↓ Luiz Henrique 51'
- 38
-
39
Gabriel Teixeira ↓ Kayky 83'
- 26
Bench
- 3
-
11
Juan Cazares ↑ 71'
- 5
- 14
-
32
Abel Hernandez ↑ 71'
- 27
- 7
- 31
- 35
-
34
Luiz Henrique ↑ 51'
-
37
Kayky ↑ 83'
-
10
Paulo Ganso ↑ 83'
Coach
Roger Machado
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luiz Adriano | 4 |
| German Cano | 3 |
| Gustavo Gomez | 2 |
| Breno Lopes | 2 |
| Raphael Veiga | 2 |
| Kevin Serna | 2 |
| Yago Felipe | 2 |
| Mauricio | 2 |
Head to Head
SE Palmeiras Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.64
SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.75
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
SE Palmeiras to win 60% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
SE Palmeiras or Draw
84%
Draw or Fluminense FC
40%
SE Palmeiras or Fluminense FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 0
12%
0 – 0
11.3%
2 – 1
8.9%
3 – 0
6.4%
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
5%
1 – 2
4%
2 – 2
3.4%
4 – 0
2.7%
0 – 2
2.5%
Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras
| Handicap | SE Palmeiras covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 18% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 25% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 11% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
48%
✗
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

