SE Palmeiras vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2021 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2021

SE Palmeiras

1 – 0

Full Time

Fluminense FC

Sat 24 Jul 2021 · 22:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 28' Fred

Felipe Melo 75' Y

Y 75' Manoel Messias

Overview

Match Preview

SE Palmeiras vs Fluminense FC — Serie A .

SE Palmeiras 23 games · 48 pts (2026/26)
Fluminense FC 23 games · 38 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	SE Palmeiras	23	48
2	CR Flamengo	21	42
3	CA Paranaense	23	41
4	Fluminense FC	23	38
5	EC Bahia	22	33
6	Cruzeiro EC	22	33
7	RB Bragantino	22	32
8	SC Corinthians Paulista	22	32
9	Coritiba FBC	23	31
10	Botafogo FR	21	30
11	CA Mineiro	21	29
12	Sao Paulo FC	22	27
13	EC Vitoria	22	26
14	Gremio FBPA	21	25
15	SC Internacional	22	23
16	Mirassol FC	21	23
17	Santos FC	21	22
18	CR Vasco da Gama	21	22
19	Clube do Remo	22	22
20	Chapecoense AF	21	10

Head-to-Head

SE Palmeiras 20 games · Avg 2.1 goals Fluminense FC

Last 5 meetings

2021-07-24 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Fluminense FC 2020-11-15 SE Palmeiras 2–0 Fluminense FC 2020-08-13 Fluminense FC 1–1 SE Palmeiras 2019-11-28 Fluminense FC 1–0 SE Palmeiras 2019-09-11 SE Palmeiras 3–0 Fluminense FC

Recent Form

SE Palmeiras

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Jul	Fluminense FC	H	1–0	W
18 Jul	AC Goianiense	A	3–0	W
10 Jul	Santos FC	H	3–2	W
07 Jul	Gremio FBPA	H	2–0	W
04 Jul	SC Recife	A	1–0	W
30 Jun	SC Internacional	A	2–1	W

Fluminense FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Jul	SE Palmeiras	A	0–1	L
18 Jul	Gremio FBPA	H	0–1	L
10 Jul	SC Recife	A	2–1	W
08 Jul	Ceará SC	H	0–0	D
04 Jul	CR Flamengo	A	1–0	W
30 Jun	CA Paranaense	H	1–4	L

Season Stats

SE Palmeiras		Fluminense FC
#1	Position	#4
48	Points	38
23	Played	23
14 / 6 / 3	W / D / L	10 / 8 / 5
40	Scored	34
19	Conceded	28
+21	GD	+6
2.09	PPG	1.65
61%	Win %	43%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

39% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

SE Palmeiras are 1st (48 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (38 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras

0-15

3/2

16-30

4/1

31-45

4/1

46-60

1/3

61-75

5/1

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Fluminense FC

0-15

–/3

16-30

3/1

31-45

4/3

46-60

3/3

61-75

1/3

76+

9/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras

Jose Manuel Lopez	6 G	3 A
Ramon Sosa	4 G	2 A
Allan	4 G	2 A
Mauricio	4 G	1 A
Jhon Arias	4 G	1 A

Fluminense FC

John Kennedy	9 G	1 A
Agustin Canobbio	4 G	2 A
Luciano Acosta	3 G	4 A
Jefferson Savarino	3 G	2 A
Rodrigo Castillo	3 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at as SE Palmeiras face off against Fluminense FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
10' SE Palmeiras are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Fluminense FC's shape.
15' David Braz is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SE Palmeiras so far.
20' Brazil international Marcos Rocha has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
25' Weverton has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 389 appearances.
28' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Fred on 28 minutes.
33' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
38' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SE Palmeiras and Fluminense FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
43' Fluminense FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
48' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Abel Ferreira will be considering his options from the bench.
51' The crowd applauds Caio Paulista as he leaves the pitch. Luiz Henrique steps in for Fluminense FC.
54' Manoel Messias adds to his 0 season tally! SE Palmeiras lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
59' SE Palmeiras have won 583 goals from 389 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
60' Willian has so much to prove this time. He replaces Deyverson on 60 minute.
61' The SE Palmeiras bench stirs into life. Wesley is withdrawn and Breno Lopes gets his opportunity.
66' The travelling Fluminense FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
71' Fluminense FC make a change. Fred trudges off to be replaced by Abel Hernandez on 71 minutes.
75' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Felipe Melo.
76' Patrick Carreiro has so much to prove this time. He replaces Raphael Veiga on 76 minute.
81' Fluminense FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
83' Fluminense FC ring the changes. Gabriel Teixeira has done his job and it is now time for Kayky to step up.
88' Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
90' Victor Luis has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ze Rafael on 90 minute.
The referee brings this contest to a close. SE Palmeiras take all three points.

Lineups

SE Palmeiras Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

42
Jailson
12
Mayke
26
Victor Luis ↑ 90'
43
Dudu ↑ 61'
20
Lucas Lima
29
Willian ↑ 60'
18
Danilo
4
Benjamin Kuscevic
27
Gabriel Veron
19
Breno Lopes ↑ 61'
5
Patrick Carreiro ↑ 76'

Coach Abel Ferreira

Fluminense FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

3
Matheus Ferraz
11
Juan Cazares ↑ 71'
5
Wellington
14
Danilo Barcelos
32
Abel Hernandez ↑ 71'
27
Muriel
7
Lucca
31
Lucas Felipe Calegari
35
Andre
34
Luiz Henrique ↑ 51'
37
Kayky ↑ 83'
10
Paulo Ganso ↑ 83'

Coach Roger Machado

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Luiz Adriano	4
German Cano	3
Manoel Messias	2
Jhon Arias	2
Gustavo Gomez	2
Breno Lopes	2
Raphael Veiga	2
Kevin Serna	2

Head to Head

SE Palmeiras Form

2021-07-24 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Fluminense FC W 2021-07-18 AC Goianiense 0–3 SE Palmeiras W 2021-07-10 SE Palmeiras 3–2 Santos FC W 2021-07-07 SE Palmeiras 2–0 Gremio FBPA W 2021-07-04 SC Recife 0–1 SE Palmeiras W 2021-06-30 SC Internacional 1–2 SE Palmeiras W

Fluminense FC Form

2021-07-24 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Fluminense FC L 2021-07-18 Fluminense FC 0–1 Gremio FBPA L 2021-07-10 SC Recife 1–2 Fluminense FC W 2021-07-08 Fluminense FC 0–0 Ceará SC D 2021-07-04 CR Flamengo 0–1 Fluminense FC W 2021-06-30 Fluminense FC 1–4 CA Paranaense L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.65 SE Palmeiras xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.78 Fluminense FC xG

I would bet for: SE Palmeiras to win 59% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

SE Palmeiras59% Draw25% Fluminense FC16%

Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes44% 0% No56%

Avg goals/match: 2.43

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	70%	30%
± 2.5	43%	57%
± 3.5	23%	77%
± 4.5	11%	89%

Double Chance

SE Palmeiras or Draw

84%

Draw or Fluminense FC

41%

SE Palmeiras or Fluminense FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

SE Palmeiras39% Draw48% Fluminense FC13%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

Actual

1 – 1

12.1%

2 – 0

11.7%

0 – 0

10.9%

2 – 1

3 – 0

6.3%

0 – 1

5.8%

3 – 1

1 – 2

4.2%

2 – 2

3.6%

4 – 0

2.6%

0 – 2

2.6%

Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras

Handicap	SE Palmeiras covers	Push	Fluminense FC covers
-2.5	14%	—	86%
-2	14%	18%	68%
-1.5	32%	—	68%
-1	32%	25%	43%
-0.5	57%	—	43%
+0.5	84%	—	16%
+1	84%	11%	5%
+1.5	95%	—	5%
+2	95%	4%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet

46% ✗

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.