Saturday , 14 November 2026

SE Palmeiras vs CA Boca Juniors, 2025 SEMI FINALS

Copa Libertadores · 2025
3 – 5
2 – 4 pen
Full Time
Fri 6 Oct 2023 · 00:30 UTC Allianz Parque HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SE Palmeiras vs CA Boca Juniors — 0 at Allianz Parque.

Head-to-Head

1
1
SE Palmeiras 2 games · Avg 4.0 goals CA Boca Juniors

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Oct CA Boca Juniors H 3–5 L
01 Oct RB Bragantino A 1–2 L
29 Sep CA Boca Juniors A 0–0 D
22 Sep Gremio FBPA A 0–1 L
16 Sep Goiás EC H 1–0 W
03 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Oct SE Palmeiras A 5–3 W
29 Sep SE Palmeiras H 0–0 D
31 Aug Racing Club A 4–1 W
24 Aug Racing Club H 0–0 D
10 Aug Club Nacional de Football H 6–4 W
03 Aug Club Nacional de Football A 0–0 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
CA Boca Juniors this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' SE Palmeiras have kicked off against CA Boca Juniors. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CA Boca Juniors needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' SE Palmeiras are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined CA Boca Juniors backline.
  • 15' Rony has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 15.
  • 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 23' Edinson Cavani adds to his 0 season tally! CA Boca Juniors lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 28' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 33' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Luis Guilherme suffering a number of foals already.
  • 38' With 0 assists to his name this season, Valentin Barco is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SE Palmeiras.
  • 40' The referee calls foul for Gustavo Gomez. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 43' The referee has no hesitation. Raphael Veiga is booked for SE Palmeiras — Yellow card on 43.
  • 46' Time for substitution for SE Palmeiras. Artur Guimaraes is replaced by Endrick.
  • 51' The referee calls foul for Marcos Rojo. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 56' CA Boca Juniors manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Bruno Valdez is hanging Miguel Merentiel on the field on 56 minute.
  • 61' SE Palmeiras are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 66' A moment of madness from Marcos Rojo on 66 minutes earns him a Red card. CA Boca Juniors will be frustrated.
  • 68' SE Palmeiras manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jose Manuel Lopez is hanging Gabriel Menino on the field on 68 minute.
  • 69' That is a Yellow card for CA Boca Juniors. Frank Fabra will be fuming at that decision.
  • 73' Magnificent from Joaquin Piquerez! That is 14 goals in 400 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 75' Jorge Figal catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 75.
  • 76' A moment of madness from Jorge Figal on 76 minutes earns him a Yellow card. CA Boca Juniors will be frustrated.
  • 78' SE Palmeiras ring the changes. Ze Rafael has done his job and it is now time for Fabinho to step up.
  • 79' The supporters are chanting for Luis Guilherme. He replaces Mayke on 79 minute.
  • 82' CA Boca Juniors ring the changes. Frank Fabra has done his job and it is now time for Marcelo Saracchi to step up.
  • 83' Endrick was booked on 83.
  • 88' SE Palmeiras are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Cristian Medina on 90.
  • The final score is 3-5.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.59 SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.12 CA Boca Juniors xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SE Palmeiras30% Draw25% CA Boca Juniors45%
Actual: CA Boca Juniors win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes70% 0% No30%
Avg goals/match: 3.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

SE Palmeiras or Draw
54%
Draw or CA Boca Juniors
70%
SE Palmeiras or CA Boca Juniors
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SE Palmeiras24% Draw39% CA Boca Juniors37%
Actual: CA Boca Juniors win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–5 not predicted
3 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
9.1%
1 – 2
8.5%
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 1
6.4%
1 – 3
5.9%
0 – 2
5.6%
0 – 1
4.7%
2 – 3
4.7%
0 – 3
3.9%
0 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.5%
1 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras

Handicap SE Palmeiras covers Push CA Boca Juniors covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 8% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 15% 72%
-0.5 28% — 72%
+0.5 51% — 49%
+1 51% 20% 29%
+1.5 71% — 29%
+2 71% 15% 15%
+2.5 85% — 15%

Clean Sheet

SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
13% ✓
CA Boca Juniors keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.