Sunday , 16 August 2026

SC Heerenveen vs SBV Excelsior, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2023-24
Sat 23 Sep 2023 · 19:00 UTC Abe Lenstra Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 21' Couhaib Driouech
0–2 45+2' Nikolas Agrafiotis
0–3 88' Troy Parrott

Overview

Match Preview

SC Heerenveen vs SBV ExcelsiorEredivisie at Abe Lenstra Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Erwin Blank
  • Assistant 1 Richard Polman
  • Assistant 2 Frans Ozinga (Netherlands)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Sep SBV Excelsior H 0–3 L
16 Sep Feyenoord Rotterdam A 1–6 L
02 Sep Go Ahead Eagles A 2–3 L
27 Aug Sparta Rotterdam H 1–3 L
20 Aug FC Utrecht A 2–0 W
12 Aug RKC Waalwijk H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Sep SC Heerenveen A 3–0 W
17 Sep Almere City FC H 0–0 D
02 Sep Heracles Almelo A 1–3 L
26 Aug Fortuna Sittard H 2–2 D
19 Aug AFC Ajax H 2–2 D
13 Aug NEC A 4–3 W

Season Stats

SC Heerenveen SBV Excelsior
#12 Position #8
3 Points 3
2 Played 2
1 / 0 / 1 W / D / L 1 / 0 / 1
2 Scored 5
2 Conceded 2
+0 GD +3
1.50 PPG 1.50
50% Win % 50%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
SC Heerenveen this season
50% Clean Sheets
SBV Excelsior this season

SC Heerenveen are 12th (3 pts). SBV Excelsior are 8th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Heerenveen
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SBV Excelsior
0-15
/1
16-30
1/
31-45
2/
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.95 SC Heerenveen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.75 SBV Excelsior xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Heerenveen25% Draw27% SBV Excelsior48%
Actual: SBV Excelsior win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

SC Heerenveen or Draw
52%
Draw or SBV Excelsior
75%
SC Heerenveen or SBV Excelsior
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Heerenveen16% Draw45% SBV Excelsior39%
Actual: SBV Excelsior win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
0 – 1
10.9%
0 – 2
10%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 0
8.6%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
5.5%
1 – 0
5.4%
2 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
4.5%
2 – 0
3%
2 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — SC Heerenveen

Handicap SC Heerenveen covers Push SBV Excelsior covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 12% 81%
-0.5 19% 81%
+0.5 45% 55%
+1 45% 24% 31%
+1.5 69% 31%
+2 69% 17% 14%
+2.5 86% 14%

Clean Sheet

SC Heerenveen keeps clean sheet
18%
SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.