Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SC Bastia vs Montpellier HSC, Ligue 2 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2025-26
Fri 23 Jan 2026 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Bastia vs Montpellier HSC — Ligue 2 .

Match Details

  • Referee Aurelien Petit
4 games this season 🟨 2.5/game ⚽ 7.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
SC Bastia 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Montpellier HSC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jan Montpellier HSC H 0–2 L
16 Jan Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 2–0 W
03 Jan Grenoble Foot 38 H 1–0 W
13 Dec AS Saint-Étienne A 2–2 D
25 Nov Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC H 0–2 L
21 Nov FC Annecy A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jan SC Bastia A 2–0 W
16 Jan US Boulogne Côte d'Opale A 0–1 L
05 Jan USL Dunkerque H 1–3 L
13 Dec Grenoble Foot 38 A 1–1 D
06 Dec Pau FC H 0–1 L
24 Nov Stade de Reims A 0–2 L

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
57% Clean Sheets
Montpellier HSC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Montpellier HSC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Montpellier HSC
Yael Mouanga 1 G
Yanis Issoufou 1 G
Nicolas Pays 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

SC Bastia Lineups

Montpellier HSC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.83 SC Bastia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 Montpellier HSC xG
I would bet for: Montpellier HSC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Bastia27% Draw31% Montpellier HSC42%
Actual: Montpellier HSC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.12
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

SC Bastia or Draw
58%
Draw or Montpellier HSC
73%
SC Bastia or Montpellier HSC
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Bastia17% Draw53% Montpellier HSC30%
Actual: Montpellier HSC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.4%
0 – 1
14.3%
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
8.7%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
5.2%
0 – 3
4%
2 – 0
3.9%
1 – 3
3.5%
2 – 2
3.5%
2 – 3
1.6%

Asian Handicap — SC Bastia

Handicap SC Bastia covers Push Montpellier HSC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 15% 78%
-0.5 22% — 78%
+0.5 55% — 45%
+1 55% 24% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 14% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
44% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.