Sunday , 16 August 2026

Montpellier HSC vs Pau FC, Ligue 2 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2025-26
0 1
Full Time
Sat 6 Dec 2025 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
Montpellier HSC 2 games · Avg 0.5 goals Pau FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Pau FC H 0–1 L
24 Nov Stade de Reims A 0–2 L
07 Nov FC Annecy H 1–0 W
31 Oct Rodez Aveyron Football H 2–0 W
28 Oct Clermont Foot 63 A 1–1 D
25 Oct AS Nancy-Lorraine H 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Montpellier HSC A 1–0 W
21 Nov Le Mans FC H 1–2 L
08 Nov En Avant Guingamp A 2–2 D
03 Nov ES Troyes AC H 1–1 D
28 Oct AS Saint-Étienne A 0–6 L
24 Oct USL Dunkerque H 0–3 L

Season Stats

Montpellier HSC Pau FC
#5 Position #9
4 Points 3
2 Played 2
1 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 1 / 0 / 1
2 Scored 1
1 Conceded 1
+1 GD +0
2.00 PPG 1.50
50% Win % 50%

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Montpellier HSC this season
50% Clean Sheets
Pau FC this season

Montpellier HSC are 5th (4 pts). Pau FC are 9th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Montpellier HSC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Pau FC
0-15
/1
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Montpellier HSC Lineups

Pau FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.83 Montpellier HSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.57 Pau FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 83% + Montpellier HSC or Draw 76%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Montpellier HSC38% Draw38% Pau FC24%
Actual: Pau FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes26% 0% No74%
Avg goals/match: 1.4
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 73%
27%
± 1.5 41%
59%
± 2.5 17%
83%
± 3.5 6%
94%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Montpellier HSC or Draw
76%
Draw or Pau FC
62%
Montpellier HSC or Pau FC
62%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Montpellier HSC22% Draw64% Pau FC14%
Actual: Pau FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
27.5%
1 – 0
18.8%
1 – 1
12.7%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
5%
0 – 2
3.6%
1 – 2
3.3%
3 – 0
2.1%
2 – 2
1.6%
3 – 1
1.4%
0 – 3
0.7%

Asian Handicap — Montpellier HSC

Handicap Montpellier HSC covers Push Pau FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 9% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 24% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 16% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
57%
Pau FC keeps clean sheet
44%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.