Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Montpellier HSC vs Pau FC, Ligue 2 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2025-26
Montpellier HSC
0 – 1
Full Time
Pau FC
Sat 6 Dec 2025 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Montpellier HSC vs Pau FC — Ligue 2 .

Match Details

  • Referee Remi Landry
4 games this season 🟨 5.0/game ⚽ 7.5 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 AS Saint-Étienne 7 16
2 Red Star FC 7 14
3 Stade de Reims 7 13
4 Montpellier HSC 7 12
5 FC Metz 7 10
6 AS Nancy-Lorraine 7 10
7 FC Annecy 7 10
8 FC Sochaux-Montbéliard 7 10
9 Dijon Football Cote d'Or 7 9
10 Pau FC 7 8
11 USL Dunkerque 7 8
12 En Avant Guingamp 7 8
13 Grenoble Foot 38 7 8
14 Rodez Aveyron Football 7 7
15 FC Nantes 7 7
16 Clermont Foot 63 7 6
17 US Boulogne Côte d'Opale 7 5
18 Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC 7 5

Head-to-Head

1
1
1
Montpellier HSC 3 games · Avg 0.7 goals Pau FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-12-06 Montpellier HSC 0–1 Pau FC

Recent Form

Montpellier HSC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Pau FC H 0–1 L
24 Nov Stade de Reims A 0–2 L
07 Nov FC Annecy H 1–0 W
31 Oct Rodez Aveyron Football H 2–0 W
28 Oct Clermont Foot 63 A 1–1 D
25 Oct AS Nancy-Lorraine H 4–1 W
Pau FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Montpellier HSC A 1–0 W
21 Nov Le Mans FC H 1–2 L
08 Nov En Avant Guingamp A 2–2 D
03 Nov ES Troyes AC H 1–1 D
28 Oct AS Saint-Étienne A 0–6 L
24 Oct USL Dunkerque H 0–3 L

Season Stats

Montpellier HSC Pau FC
#4 Position #10
12 Points 8
7 Played 7
3 / 3 / 1 W / D / L 2 / 2 / 3
6 Scored 6
5 Conceded 6
+1 GD +0
1.71 PPG 1.14
43% Win % 29%

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
57% Clean Sheets
Montpellier HSC this season
29% Clean Sheets
Pau FC this season

Montpellier HSC are 4th (12 pts). Pau FC are 10th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Montpellier HSC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Pau FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Montpellier HSC
Yael Mouanga 1 G
Yanis Issoufou 1 G
Nicolas Pays 1 G
Pau FC
Babacar Leye 3 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Montpellier HSC Lineups

Pau FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.88 Montpellier HSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.68 Pau FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 79% + Montpellier HSC or Draw 73%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Montpellier HSC37% Draw36% Pau FC27%
Actual: Pau FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes31% 0% No69%
Avg goals/match: 1.56
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 76%
24%
± 1.5 47%
53%
± 2.5 21%
79%
± 3.5 8%
92%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

Montpellier HSC or Draw
73%
Draw or Pau FC
63%
Montpellier HSC or Pau FC
64%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Montpellier HSC23% Draw61% Pau FC16%
Actual: Pau FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
23.5%
1 – 0
16.9%
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.6%
2 – 1
5.6%
0 – 2
4.5%
1 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
2.2%
2 – 2
2.1%
3 – 1
1.7%
0 – 3
1%

Asian Handicap — Montpellier HSC

Handicap Montpellier HSC covers Push Pau FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 23% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 18% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 6% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
51% ✗
Pau FC keeps clean sheet
42% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.