SBV Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Eredivisie · 2025-26

SBV Excelsior

2 – 1

Full Time

PEC Zwolle

Sat 20 Dec 2025 · 17:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SBV Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle — Eredivisie .

SBV Excelsior 7 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
PEC Zwolle 7 games · 4 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Van der Eijk

5 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 11.6 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	AZ	7	19
2	Feyenoord Rotterdam	7	17
3	PSV	7	16
4	FC Twente '65	7	16
5	AFC Ajax	7	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	13
7	SBV Excelsior	7	11
8	FC Groningen	7	11
9	Go Ahead Eagles	7	10
10	SC Heerenveen	7	9
11	NEC	7	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	5
13	Telstar 1963	7	5
14	SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden	7	5
15	FC Utrecht	7	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	2
18	Willem II Tilburg	7	2

Head-to-Head

SBV Excelsior 6 games · Avg 3.3 goals PEC Zwolle

Last 5 meetings

2025-12-20 SBV Excelsior 2–1 PEC Zwolle 2024-04-06 PEC Zwolle 2–1 SBV Excelsior 2023-10-22 SBV Excelsior 2–4 PEC Zwolle 2019-03-17 SBV Excelsior 0–2 PEC Zwolle 2018-10-06 PEC Zwolle 2–0 SBV Excelsior

Recent Form

SBV Excelsior

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Dec	PEC Zwolle	H	2–1	W
05 Dec	FC Groningen	H	0–2	L
29 Nov	NAC Breda	H	1–0	W
22 Nov	AFC Ajax	A	2–1	W
08 Nov	Heracles Almelo	H	1–2	L
01 Nov	Telstar 1963	A	2–2	D

PEC Zwolle

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Dec	SBV Excelsior	A	1–2	L
13 Dec	Fortuna Sittard	H	1–0	W
06 Dec	Feyenoord Rotterdam	A	1–6	L
28 Nov	SC Heerenveen	H	2–1	W
23 Nov	FC Groningen	A	2–2	D
08 Nov	Sparta Rotterdam	H	1–0	W

Season Stats

SBV Excelsior		PEC Zwolle
#7	Position	#16
11	Points	4
7	Played	7
3 / 2 / 2	W / D / L	1 / 1 / 5
15	Scored	6
9	Conceded	20
+6	GD	-14
1.57	PPG	0.57
43%	Win %	14%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

29% Clean Sheets
SBV Excelsior this season

14% Clean Sheets
PEC Zwolle this season

SBV Excelsior are 7th (11 pts). PEC Zwolle are 16th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SBV Excelsior

0-15

1/2

16-30

2/–

31-45

5/2

46-60

1/2

61-75

3/1

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

PEC Zwolle

0-15

–/1

16-30

2/4

31-45

1/3

46-60

1/1

61-75

1/5

76+

1/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SBV Excelsior

Aymen Sliti	3 G	1 A
David Garden	3 G
Irakli Yegoian	2 G	5 A
Noah Naujoks	2 G
Casper Widell	1 G

PEC Zwolle

Koen Kostons

3 G

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: PEC Zwolle gets underway.
PEC Zwolle will have plenty to reflect on. SBV Excelsior were simply the better side today.

Lineups

SBV Excelsior Lineups

PEC Zwolle Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Younes Namli	2
Apostolos Vellios	2
Odysseus Velanas	2
Mike van Duinen	1
Lance Duijvestijn	1
Thomas Lam	1
Thijs Oosting	1
Mike van Duinen	1

Head to Head

SBV Excelsior Form

2025-12-20 SBV Excelsior 2–1 PEC Zwolle W 2025-12-05 SBV Excelsior 0–2 FC Groningen L 2025-11-29 SBV Excelsior 1–0 NAC Breda W 2025-11-22 AFC Ajax 1–2 SBV Excelsior W 2025-11-08 SBV Excelsior 1–2 Heracles Almelo L 2025-11-01 Telstar 1963 2–2 SBV Excelsior D

PEC Zwolle Form

2025-12-20 SBV Excelsior 2–1 PEC Zwolle L 2025-12-13 PEC Zwolle 1–0 Fortuna Sittard W 2025-12-06 Feyenoord Rotterdam 6–1 PEC Zwolle L 2025-11-28 PEC Zwolle 2–1 SC Heerenveen W 2025-11-23 FC Groningen 2–2 PEC Zwolle D 2025-11-08 PEC Zwolle 1–0 Sparta Rotterdam W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.75 SBV Excelsior xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.11 PEC Zwolle xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + SBV Excelsior to win 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

SBV Excelsior62% Draw20% PEC Zwolle18%

Actual: SBV Excelsior win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.86

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	89%	11%
± 2.5	72%	28%
± 3.5	53%	47%
± 4.5	34%	66%

Double Chance

SBV Excelsior or Draw

82%

Draw or PEC Zwolle

38%

SBV Excelsior or PEC Zwolle

80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

SBV Excelsior53% Draw35% PEC Zwolle12%

Actual: SBV Excelsior win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

8.1%

3 – 1

7.8%

1 – 1

7.2%

3 – 0

7.2%

1 – 0

5.6%

4 – 1

5.4%

4 – 0

4.9%

2 – 2

4.7%

3 – 2

4.3%

1 – 2

3.5%

0 – 0

3.2%

Asian Handicap — SBV Excelsior

Handicap	SBV Excelsior covers	Push	PEC Zwolle covers
-2.5	30%	—	70%
-2	30%	20%	50%
-1.5	50%	—	50%
-1	50%	20%	30%
-0.5	70%	—	30%
+0.5	87%	—	13%
+1	87%	8%	5%
+1.5	95%	—	5%
+2	95%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

PEC Zwolle keeps clean sheet

7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.