Saturday , 26 September 2026

São Paulo FC vs SC Recife, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 29 Mar 2025 · 21:30 UTC Morumbi HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

São Paulo FC vs SC Recife — Serie A at Morumbi.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar SC Recife H 0–0 D
08 Dec Botafogo FR A 1–2 L
04 Dec EC Juventude H 1–2 L
01 Dec Gremio FBPA A 1–2 L
24 Nov CA Mineiro H 2–2 D
20 Nov RB Bragantino A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar São Paulo FC A 0–0 D
10 Dec CA Paranaense H 1–1 D
07 Dec Chapecoense AF A 1–0 W
03 Dec CR Flamengo H 1–1 D
28 Nov São Paulo FC A 0–2 L
19 Nov EC Bahia H 1–0 W

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
20% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

São Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Morumbi. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Sao Paulo FC and SC Recife.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 15' Sao Paulo FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 20' A quiet spell here at Morumbi. Sao Paulo FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 25' It looks like no one’s ball. SC Recife is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 30' SC Recife started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
  • 35' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sao Paulo FC and SC Recife are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 40' Pablo Felipe is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SC Recife so far.
  • 45' SC Recife have won 123 goals from 240 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 46' Another change for Sao Paulo FC made on 46 minute. Jose Sabino leaves to be changed by Ferreira.
  • 51' Luiz Gustavo has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
  • 56' Rafael Monteiro, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 59' That is a card for SC Recife. Lucas Lima will be fuming at that decision.
  • 62' Carlos Alberto is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lenny Lobato at the 62 minute mark.
  • 67' Sao Paulo FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 69' Matheus is ready to make an impact after coming on for Marcos Antonio at the 69 minute mark.
  • 74' The Sao Paulo FC bench stirs into life. Jonathan Calleri is withdrawn and Andre Silva gets his opportunity.
  • 79' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 82' Matheus Alexandre is replacing Diogo Hereda for the SC Recife side.
  • 87' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 87 minutes.
  • 90' Matheus Alexandre has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • 90' Lucas Cunha is replacing Igor Carius for the SC Recife side.
  • It finishes all square. Sao Paulo FC and SC Recife share the spoils 0-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.05 São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.76 SC Recife xG
I would bet for: São Paulo FC or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 73%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
São Paulo FC43% Draw33% SC Recife24%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 1.81
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 54%
46%
± 2.5 27%
73%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

São Paulo FC or Draw
75%
Draw or SC Recife
57%
São Paulo FC or SC Recife
67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
São Paulo FC26% Draw57% SC Recife17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
15.8%
1 – 1
14%
0 – 1
10.9%
2 – 0
8.6%
2 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
3%
2 – 2
2.7%
3 – 1
2.5%
1 – 3
1.3%

Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC

Handicap São Paulo FC covers Push SC Recife covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 24% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 17% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
47% ✗
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
36% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.