São Paulo FC vs EC Juventude, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
São Paulo FC vs EC Juventude — Serie A at Morumbi.
- São Paulo FC 34 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
- EC Juventude 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov | EC Juventude | H | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 1–3 | L |
| 09 Nov | RB Bragantino | H | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Nov | CR Flamengo | H | 2–2 | D |
| 02 Nov | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Oct | EC Bahia | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov | São Paulo FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Nov | Cruzeiro EC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 08 Nov | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 3–1 | W |
| 05 Nov | SC Recife | A | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Nov | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Oct | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–3 | L |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
São Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 10 G | 2 A |
| Luciano | 9 G | 1 A |
| Artur Guimaraes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. EC Juventude get us underway at Morumbi.
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Luan Freitas suffering a number of foals already.
- 7' What composure from Damian Bobadilla! The Paraguay international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 9' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Jose Sabino.
- 14' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 19' São Paulo FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 21' Controversy at the stadium! Luiz Mandaca argues furiously but the card stands.
- 26' Marcelo Hermes is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for EC Juventude so far.
- 27' Poor challenge from Pablo Maia. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 32' EC Juventude is showing some good football. However, EC Juventude are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 37' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 42' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 46' Giovanny makes way for Lucas Fernandes at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Juventude.
- 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 56' Ruan Carneiro is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for São Paulo FC tonight.
- 61' Marcos Antonio gets the nod from Sao Paulo FC. He replaces Pablo Maia and will look to change the dynamic.
- 66' Brazil international Pablo Maia has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 69' The whistle greets Marcos Paulo as he departs to be replaced by Matheus Babi.
- 74' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 79' That is a card for Sao Paulo FC. Lucca Marques will be fuming at that decision.
- 80' Another substitution for EC Juventude to replace Caique by Edison Negueba on 80 minute.
- 85' Giovanny has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 86' EC Juventude player sees a card in front of him.
- 87' The whistle greets Gonzalo Tapia as he departs to be replaced by Emiliano Rigoni.
- 88' EC Juventude ring the changes. Lucas Fernandes has done his job and it is now time for Daniel Giraldo to step up.
- 89' Rafael Monteiro was booked on 89.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Damian Bobadilla.
- São Paulo FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
São Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 16
- 28
- 35
- 32
- 11
- 29
- 23
- 21
- 42
- 14
Bench
- 6
- 77
- 20
- 36
- 22
- 50
- 43
- 52
- 56
- 46
- 45
- 39
EC Juventude Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 19
-
11
Giovanny ↓ Lucas Fernandes 46'
-
47
Marcos Paulo ↓ Matheus Babi 69'
- 3
- 32
- 44
- 34
-
95
Caique ↓ Edison Negueba 80'
- 22
- 21
Bench
- 93
-
33
Lucas Fernandes ↑ 46'
- 25
-
97
Enio ↑ 46'
-
17
Matheus Babi ↑ 69'
- 6
- 2
- 36
- 23
- 8
- 27
-
87
Edison Negueba ↑ 80'
Coach
Thiago Carpini
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Reinaldo | 3 |
| Luciano Neves | 2 |
| Luciano | 2 |
| Ricardo Bueno | 1 |
| Damian Bobadilla | 1 |
| Jonathan Calleri | 1 |
| Marcos Vinicios | 1 |
| Paulo Henrique | 1 |
Head to Head
São Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.36
São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14
EC Juventude xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: São Paulo FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
São Paulo FC or Draw
73%
Draw or EC Juventude
54%
São Paulo FC or EC Juventude
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: São Paulo FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
10.4%
1 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
7%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC
| Handicap | São Paulo FC covers | Push | EC Juventude covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 21% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 17% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
EC Juventude keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.