Rotherham United FC vs Luton Town FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Rotherham United FC vs Luton Town FC — League One at New York Stadium.
- Rotherham United FC 46 games · 41 pts (2026/27)
- Luton Town FC 7 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Sam Mulhall (England)
- Assistant 1 Wayne Grunnill
- Assistant 2 Alex Gray (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford City AFC | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Cambridge United FC | 8 | 13 |
| 6 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Burton Albion FC | 8 | 12 |
| 8 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 12 |
| 9 | Reading FC | 7 | 11 |
| 10 | Oxford United FC | 6 | 11 |
| 11 | Leyton Orient FC | 7 | 10 |
| 12 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 13 | Stevenage FC | 7 | 9 |
| 14 | Leicester City FC | 7 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackpool FC | 7 | 8 |
| 16 | Luton Town FC | 7 | 8 |
| 17 | Mansfield Town FC | 7 | 8 |
| 18 | Barnsley FC | 7 | 8 |
| 19 | Bromley FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Notts County FC | 7 | 7 |
| 21 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 7 | 6 |
| 22 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 7 | 6 |
| 23 | Peterborough United FC | 8 | 5 |
| 24 | Wigan Athletic FC | 7 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr | Luton Town FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Apr | Leyton Orient FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Apr | Wigan Athletic FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Apr | Barnsley FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 07 Apr | Port Vale FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Apr | Stevenage FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr | Rotherham United FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | Mansfield Town FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Apr | Northampton Town FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Apr | AFC Wimbledon | A | 3–0 | W |
| 03 Apr | Peterborough United FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Mar | Stockport County FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
17%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Luton Town FC this season
Luton Town FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Luton Town FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/5
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/2
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Luton Town FC
| Nahki Wells | 4 G | 1 A |
| Kasey Palmer | 2 G | 2 A |
| Callum Marshall | 2 G | |
| Jake Richards | 1 G | 1 A |
| Gideon Kodua | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Rotherham United FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Rotherham United FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Luton Town FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 8' What composure from Kasey Palmer! The Jamaica international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 13' The energy levels are beginning to show. Jack Wilshere might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 18' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 23' Luton Town FC is showing some good football. However, Luton Town FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 28' The travelling Luton Town FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 33' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Lee Clark will be considering his options from the bench.
- 38' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 43' It’s gonna be a card for James Clarke.
- 44' Kasey Palmer with the second goal in the match!
- 46' Rotherham United FC make a change. Cohen Lee trudges off to be replaced by Dru Yearwood on 46 minutes.
- 51' Rotherham United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 56' The home supporters are growing impatient. Rotherham United FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 61' The whistle greets Shayden Morris as he departs to be replaced by Jake Richards.
- 62' Rotherham United FC ring the changes. James Clarke has done his job and it is now time for Jack Holmes to step up.
- 67' Jamal Baptiste has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 72' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 72 minutes.
- 73' Luton Town FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ali Al-Hamadi is hanging Nahki Wells on the field on 73 minute.
- 74' Luton Town FC ring the changes. Liam Walsh has done his job and it is now time for George Saville to step up.
- 79' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Rotherham United FC that had 357 games and scored 375 goals.
- 84' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Rotherham United FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 86' The supporters are chanting for Sverre Sandal. He replaces Emilio Lawrence on 86 minute.
- 88' Luton Town FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 90' A moment of madness from Josh Keeley on 90 minutes earns him a card. Luton Town FC will be frustrated.
- The points are shared — Rotherham United FC 0-2 Luton Town FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Rotherham United FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
- 2
- 3
- 15
- 44
-
11
Ar'jany Martha ↓ Denzel Hall 62'
- 13
- 36
-
37
James Clarke ↓ Jack Holmes 62'
- 24
-
51
Cohen Lee ↓ Dru Yearwood 46'
Bench
- 9
-
16
Dru Yearwood ↑ 46'
-
22
Denzel Hall ↑ 62'
-
23
Jack Holmes ↑ 62'
- 39
- 50
- 29
Coach
Lee Clark
Luton Town FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
8
Liam Walsh ↓ George Saville 74'
-
21
Nahki Wells ↓ Ali Al-Hamadi 73'
- 54
- 3
- 16
-
14
Shayden Morris ↓ Jake Richards 61'
- 24
- 17
- 6
- 38
-
32
Emilio Lawrence ↓ Sverre Sandal 86'
Bench
- 22
-
23
George Saville ↑ 74'
- 1
-
12
Ali Al-Hamadi ↑ 73'
-
27
Jake Richards ↑ 61'
-
30
Gideon Kodua ↑ 61'
-
4
Sverre Sandal ↑ 86'
Coach
Jack Wilshere
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kasey Palmer | 2 |
| Cauley Woodrow | 1 |
| Carlton Morris | 1 |
| James Collins | 1 |
| Jamie Lindsay | 1 |
| Luke Berry | 1 |
Head to Head
Rotherham United FC Form
2026-04-21
Rotherham United FC
0–2
Luton Town FC
L
2026-04-18
Leyton Orient FC
0–2
Rotherham United FC
W
2026-04-14
Wigan Athletic FC
3–0
Rotherham United FC
L
2026-04-11
Rotherham United FC
1–3
Barnsley FC
L
2026-04-07
Port Vale FC
1–0
Rotherham United FC
L
2026-04-03
Rotherham United FC
0–0
Stevenage FC
D
Luton Town FC Form
2026-04-21
Rotherham United FC
0–2
Luton Town FC
W
2026-04-18
Mansfield Town FC
2–2
Luton Town FC
D
2026-04-15
Luton Town FC
2–1
Northampton Town FC
W
2026-04-06
AFC Wimbledon
0–3
Luton Town FC
W
2026-04-03
Luton Town FC
2–1
Peterborough United FC
W
2026-03-21
Luton Town FC
1–1
Stockport County FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.85
Rotherham United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39
Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Luton Town FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.24
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Rotherham United FC or Draw
53%
Draw or Luton Town FC
76%
Rotherham United FC or Luton Town FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Luton Town FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
13.7%
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
13%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
5.1%
0 – 3
4.5%
1 – 3
4%
2 – 2
3.7%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
1.8%
Asian Handicap — Rotherham United FC
| Handicap | Rotherham United FC covers | Push | Luton Town FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 14% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +1 | 52% | 24% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 15% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Rotherham United FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.