Rotherham United FC vs Luton Town FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Rotherham United FC vs Luton Town FC — League One at New York Stadium.
- Rotherham United FC 46 games · 41 pts (2026/27)
- Luton Town FC 46 games · 74 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Sam Mulhall (England)
- Assistant 1 Wayne Grunnill
- Assistant 2 Alex Gray (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City FC | 46 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff City FC | 46 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 46 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City AFC | 46 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 46 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage FC | 46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton Town FC | 46 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 46 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 46 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield Town FC | 46 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 46 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading FC | 46 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley FC | 46 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan Athletic FC | 46 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton Albion FC | 46 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough United FC | 46 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter City FC | 46 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale FC | 46 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham United FC | 46 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton Town FC | 46 | 35 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr | Luton Town FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Apr | Leyton Orient FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Apr | Wigan Athletic FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Apr | Barnsley FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 07 Apr | Port Vale FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Apr | Stevenage FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr | Rotherham United FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | Mansfield Town FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Apr | Northampton Town FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Apr | AFC Wimbledon | A | 3–0 | W |
| 03 Apr | Peterborough United FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Mar | Stockport County FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Rotherham United FC | Luton Town FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #23 | Position | #7 |
| 41 | Points | 74 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 10 / 11 / 25 | W / D / L | 21 / 11 / 14 |
| 41 | Scored | 68 |
| 71 | Conceded | 56 |
| -30 | GD | +12 |
| 0.89 | PPG | 1.61 |
| 22% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
17%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Rotherham United FC are 23rd (41 pts). Luton Town FC are 7th (74 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at New York Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Luton Town FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 8' GOAL! Kasey Palmer scores on 8. Assisted by Shayden Morris
- 13' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 18' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 18 minutes.
- 23' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Luton Town FC that had 382 games and scored 465 goals.
- 28' Luton Town FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Kasey Palmer scoring 2 goals.
- 33' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for George Saville suffering a number of foals already.
- 38' It looks surprising Luton Town FC does not make any changes. Sverre Sandal has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 43' The referee shows Rotherham United FC player a card on 43.
- 44' Goal! Kasey Palmer scores his 24 goal in 382 matches.
- 46' Another change for Rotherham United FC made on 46 minute. Cohen Lee leaves to be changed by Dru Yearwood.
- 51' Rotherham United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 56' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Luton Town FC winning 50% of all matches.
- 61' Another change for Luton Town FC made on 61 minute. Shayden Morris leaves to be changed by Jake Richards.
- 62' The whistle greets James Clarke as he departs to be replaced by Jack Holmes.
- 67' Rotherham United FC is showing some good football. However, Rotherham United FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 72' It looks like no one’s ball. Rotherham United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 73' The Luton Town FC manager makes a substitution. Nahki Wells departs to be replaced by Ali Al-Hamadi.
- 74' It is a substitution in Luton Town FC team. Liam Walsh is replaced by George Saville on 74 minute.
- 79' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 84' The travelling Luton Town FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 86' Sverre Sandal is replacing Emilio Lawrence for the Luton Town FC side.
- 88' Hakeem Odoffin is having his name booked by the referee on 88.
- 90' Josh Keeley was booked on 90.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Rotherham United FC.
Lineups
Rotherham United FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
- 2
- 3
- 15
- 44
-
11
Ar'jany Martha ↓ Denzel Hall 62'
- 13
- 36
-
37
James Clarke ↓ Jack Holmes 62'
- 24
-
51
Cohen Lee ↓ Dru Yearwood 46'
Bench
- 9
-
16
Dru Yearwood ↑ 46'
-
22
Denzel Hall ↑ 62'
-
23
Jack Holmes ↑ 62'
- 39
- 50
- 29
Coach
Lee Clark
Luton Town FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
8
Liam Walsh ↓ George Saville 74'
-
21
Nahki Wells ↓ Ali Al-Hamadi 73'
- 54
- 3
- 16
-
14
Shayden Morris ↓ Jake Richards 61'
- 24
- 17
- 6
- 38
-
32
Emilio Lawrence ↓ Sverre Sandal 86'
Bench
- 22
-
23
George Saville ↑ 74'
- 1
-
12
Ali Al-Hamadi ↑ 73'
-
27
Jake Richards ↑ 61'
-
30
Gideon Kodua ↑ 61'
-
4
Sverre Sandal ↑ 86'
Coach
Jack Wilshere
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kasey Palmer | 2 |
| James Collins | 1 |
| Jamie Lindsay | 1 |
| Luke Berry | 1 |
| Cauley Woodrow | 1 |
| Carlton Morris | 1 |
Head to Head
Rotherham United FC Form
2026-04-21
Rotherham United FC
0–2
Luton Town FC
L
2026-04-18
Leyton Orient FC
0–2
Rotherham United FC
W
2026-04-14
Wigan Athletic FC
3–0
Rotherham United FC
L
2026-04-11
Rotherham United FC
1–3
Barnsley FC
L
2026-04-07
Port Vale FC
1–0
Rotherham United FC
L
2026-04-03
Rotherham United FC
0–0
Stevenage FC
D
Luton Town FC Form
2026-04-21
Rotherham United FC
0–2
Luton Town FC
W
2026-04-18
Mansfield Town FC
2–2
Luton Town FC
D
2026-04-15
Luton Town FC
2–1
Northampton Town FC
W
2026-04-06
AFC Wimbledon
0–3
Luton Town FC
W
2026-04-03
Luton Town FC
2–1
Peterborough United FC
W
2026-03-21
Luton Town FC
1–1
Stockport County FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.67
Rotherham United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.69
Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for:
Under — clean sheet likely 59% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Luton Town FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Rotherham United FC or Draw
45%
Draw or Luton Town FC
82%
Rotherham United FC or Luton Town FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Luton Town FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
15.1%
0 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
11.4%
1 – 1
11.4%
1 – 2
8.8%
0 – 3
7.2%
1 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
5%
2 – 1
3.4%
0 – 4
3.1%
2 – 2
3%
1 – 4
2.2%
Asian Handicap — Rotherham United FC
| Handicap | Rotherham United FC covers | Push | Luton Town FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| -1.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -1 | 4% | 10% | 87% |
| -0.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| +0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +1 | 40% | 26% | 35% |
| +1.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +2 | 65% | 19% | 16% |
| +2.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
Clean Sheet
Rotherham United FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
51%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

