Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Rochdale AFC vs Fleetwood Town FC, League One 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2020-21
Sat 3 Oct 2020 · 14:00 UTC Crown Oil Arena HT 45+3' · FT 45+6'
Jake Beesley 39' Y
Y 54' James Hill
Y 90' Ched Evans

Overview

Match Preview

Rochdale AFC vs Fleetwood Town FC — League One at Crown Oil Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Garry Maskell
  • Referee James Oldham
  • Referee Steve Rushton
  • Referee Danny Gratton

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Oct Fleetwood Town FC H 2–1 W
26 Sep Ipswich Town FC A 0–2 L
20 Sep Portsmouth FC H 0–0 D
12 Sep Swindon Town FC A 1–3 L
07 Mar Rotherham United FC H 3–1 W
28 Feb Portsmouth FC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Oct Rochdale AFC A 1–2 L
26 Sep AFC Wimbledon H 0–1 L
19 Sep Peterborough United FC A 1–2 L
12 Sep Burton Albion FC H 2–1 W
06 Jul Wycombe Wanderers FC A 2–2 D
03 Jul Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–4 L

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Crown Oil Arena as Rochdale AFC face off against Fleetwood Town FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Aaron Morley made 140 appearances and scored 22 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' Rochdale AFC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Fleetwood Town FC backline.
  • 13' Against the run of play, Matthew Lund has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 18' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 23' The energy levels are beginning to show. Joey Barton might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 28' The travelling Fleetwood Town FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 33' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Rochdale AFC and Fleetwood Town FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 38' It’s high time Brian Barry-Murphy made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 39' Rochdale AFC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 44' Rochdale AFC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 46' Paul Coutts has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jay Matete on 46 minute.
  • 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 54' James Hill picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 59' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 62' James Hill makes way for Mark Duffy at the 62 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fleetwood Town FC.
  • 63' Fleetwood Town FC make a change. Paddy Madden trudges off to be replaced by Harvey Saunders on 63 minutes.
  • 68' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 73' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 77' Harvey Saunders makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Fleetwood Town FC are in front.
  • 82' The 30-year-old Alex Newby has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 85' Fabio Tavares is ready to make an impact after coming on for Alex Newby at the 85 minute mark.
  • 90' Fabio Tavares makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and Rochdale AFC are in front.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ched Evans on 90.
  • It finishes all square. Rochdale AFC and Fleetwood Town FC share the spoils 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.54 Rochdale AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 Fleetwood Town FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Rochdale AFC46% Draw27% Fleetwood Town FC27%
Actual: Rochdale AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Rochdale AFC or Draw
73%
Draw or Fleetwood Town FC
54%
Rochdale AFC or Fleetwood Town FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Rochdale AFC32% Draw46% Fleetwood Town FC22%
Actual: Rochdale AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
9%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.4%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.6%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Rochdale AFC

Handicap Rochdale AFC covers Push Fleetwood Town FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 21% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Rochdale AFC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Fleetwood Town FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.