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Red Star FC vs SM Caen, 2017

Ligue 1 2017/18 · 2017
1 0
Full Time
Wed 21 Dec 2016 · 19:50 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Red Star FC vs SM Caen — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Red Star FC 2.25
Draw 3.20
SM Caen 3.40

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec SM Caen H 1–0 W
16 Dec Chamois Niortais FC A 2–0 W
03 Dec AC Ajaccio A 0–2 L
30 Nov ES Troyes AC H 0–6 L
26 Nov Paris FC H 0–0 D
19 Nov FC Girondins de Bordeaux A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec Red Star FC A 0–1 L
17 Dec Grenoble Foot 38 H 4–0 W
10 Dec Paris FC A 1–2 L
03 Dec FC Girondins de Bordeaux H 3–0 W
30 Nov Amiens SC A 0–1 L
26 Nov SV Wehen Wiesbaden H 0–0 D

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Red Star FC to score. At the same time, SM Caen does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • SM Caen will have plenty to reflect on. Red Star FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Red Star FC Lineups

SM Caen Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.05 Red Star FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 SM Caen xG
I would bet for: Red Star FC or SM Caen 70% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Red Star FC36% Draw30% SM Caen34%
Actual: Red Star FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.23
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Red Star FC or Draw
66%
Draw or SM Caen
64%
Red Star FC or SM Caen
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Red Star FC22% Draw52% SM Caen26%
Actual: Red Star FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
13%
0 – 1
11.4%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
7.6%
0 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4.1%
1 – 3
3%
0 – 3
2.8%
3 – 1
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Red Star FC

Handicap Red Star FC covers Push SM Caen covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 19% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 21% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Red Star FC keeps clean sheet
31%
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.