Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

Real Salt Lake

1 – 3

Full Time

FC Dallas

Thu 21 Sep 2023 · 01:30 UTC Rio Tinto Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Cristian Arango 43' 1–0

1–1 56' Paul Arriola

1–2 62' Jesus Ferreira pen

1–3 71' Jesus Ferreira

Damir Kreilach 20' Y

Marcelo Silva 60' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas — MLS at Rio Tinto Stadium.

Real Salt Lake 27 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
FC Dallas 27 games · 47 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

Real Salt Lake 18 games · Avg 3.2 goals FC Dallas

Last 5 meetings

2023-09-21 Real Salt Lake 1–3 FC Dallas 2023-04-16 FC Dallas 2–1 Real Salt Lake 2022-08-28 FC Dallas 1–1 Real Salt Lake 2022-07-24 Real Salt Lake 0–1 FC Dallas 2021-10-28 FC Dallas 1–2 Real Salt Lake

Recent Form

Real Salt Lake

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Sep	FC Dallas	H	1–3	L
17 Sep	San Jose Earthquakes	A	1–2	L
03 Sep	Colorado Rapids SC	H	2–0	W
31 Aug	Portland Timbers	A	1–2	L
27 Aug	Houston Dynamo	H	0–3	L
16 Jul	New York Red Bulls	H	3–1	W

FC Dallas

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Sep	Real Salt Lake	A	3–1	W
17 Sep	Seattle Sounders FC	H	1–1	D
03 Sep	Atlanta United FC	H	2–2	D
31 Aug	St. Louis City	A	1–2	L
27 Aug	Austin FC	H	1–0	W
16 Jul	Seattle Sounders FC	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

Real Salt Lake		FC Dallas
#27	Position	#17
32	Points	47
27	Played	27
9 / 5 / 13	W / D / L	13 / 8 / 6
40	Scored	50
44	Conceded	42
-4	GD	+8
1.19	PPG	1.74
33%	Win %	48%

Key Stats

72% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

11% Clean Sheets
Real Salt Lake this season

22% Clean Sheets
FC Dallas this season

Real Salt Lake are 27th (32 pts). FC Dallas are 17th (47 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Salt Lake

0-15

5/6

16-30

4/5

31-45

5/5

46-60

5/6

61-75

5/7

76+

6/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Dallas

0-15

4/5

16-30

8/6

31-45

10/7

46-60

3/3

61-75

2/7

76+

11/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Salt Lake

Sergi Solans	11 G	3 A
Zavier Gozo	6 G	3 A

FC Dallas

Petar Musa	18 G	5 A
Logan Farrington	9 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Rio Tinto Stadium!
5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
10' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Dallas is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
15' Real Salt Lake started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
20' Real Salt Lake player sees a card in front of him.
25' The energy levels are beginning to show. Pablo Mastroeni might look to freshen things up shortly.
30' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
35' Real Salt Lake are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Dallas backline.
40' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
43' Cristian Arango makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Real Salt Lake are in front.
48' Paraguay international Braian Ojeda has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
53' FC Dallas is showing some good football. However, FC Dallas are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
56' A stunning finish from Paul Arriola — that came from absolutely nowhere!
60' The referee shows Real Salt Lake player a card on 60.
62' Against the run of play, Jesus Ferreira has scored! This game has turned on its head.
66' The FC Dallas bench stirs into life. Ema Twumasi is withdrawn and Sam Junqua gets his opportunity.
69' The Real Salt Lake manager makes a substitution. Nelson Palacio departs to be replaced by Jasper Loffelsend.
71' Jesus Ferreira with the second goal in the match!
76' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Liam Fraser made 288 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
79' Jesus Jimenez gets the nod from FC Dallas. He replaces Jesus Ferreira and will look to change the dynamic.
84' Real Salt Lake make a change. Cristian Arango trudges off to be replaced by Rubio Rubin on 84 minutes.
86' The FC Dallas bench stirs into life. Jader Obrian is withdrawn and Dante Sealy gets his opportunity.
The referee brings this contest to a close. FC Dallas take all three points.

Lineups

Real Salt Lake Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

3
Bryan Oviedo
9
Cristian Arango ↓ Rubio Rubin 84'
8
Damir Kreilach ↓ Anderson Julio 69'
15
Justen Glad
30
Marcelo Silva
10
Jefferson Savarino ↓ Diego Luna 84'
18
Zac MacMath
6
Braian Ojeda
16
Maikel Chang ↓ Carlos Gomez 69'
19
Bode Davis
13
Nelson Palacio ↓ Jasper Loffelsend 69'

Bench

2
Andrew Brody
29
Anderson Julio ↑ 69'
14
Rubio Rubin ↑ 84'
28
Jasper Loffelsend ↑ 69'
35
Gavin Beavers
26
Diego Luna ↑ 84'
11
Carlos Gomez ↑ 69'
25
Emeka Eneli
31
Kevon Lambert

Coach Pablo Mastroeni

FC Dallas Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

1
Jimmy Maurer
5
Facundo Quignon ↑ 66'
9
Jesus Jimenez ↑ 79'
29
Sam Junqua ↑ 66'
11
Dante Sealy ↑ 86'
3
Jose Martinez ↑ 86'
16
Tsiki Ntsabeleng
24
Amet Korca
31
Eugene Ansah

Coach Nico Estevez

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jesus Ferreira	7
Anderson Julio	5
Diego Luna	4
Franco Daniel Jara	3
Albert Rusnak	3
Alan Velasco	2
Paxton Pomykal	2
Paul Arriola	2

Head to Head

Real Salt Lake Form

2023-09-21 Real Salt Lake 1–3 FC Dallas L 2023-09-17 San Jose Earthquakes 2–1 Real Salt Lake L 2023-09-03 Real Salt Lake 2–0 Colorado Rapids SC W 2023-08-31 Portland Timbers 2–1 Real Salt Lake L 2023-08-27 Real Salt Lake 0–3 Houston Dynamo L 2023-07-16 Real Salt Lake 3–1 New York Red Bulls W

FC Dallas Form

2023-09-21 Real Salt Lake 1–3 FC Dallas W 2023-09-17 FC Dallas 1–1 Seattle Sounders FC D 2023-09-03 FC Dallas 2–2 Atlanta United FC D 2023-08-31 St. Louis City 2–1 FC Dallas L 2023-08-27 FC Dallas 1–0 Austin FC W 2023-07-16 Seattle Sounders FC 1–1 FC Dallas D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.46 Real Salt Lake xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.83 FC Dallas xG

I would bet for: Real Salt Lake or FC Dallas 74% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Real Salt Lake31% Draw26% FC Dallas43%

Actual: FC Dallas win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.29

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	63%	37%
± 3.5	41%	59%
± 4.5	24%	76%

Double Chance

Real Salt Lake or Draw

57%

Draw or FC Dallas

69%

Real Salt Lake or FC Dallas

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Real Salt Lake24% Draw42% FC Dallas34%

Actual: Real Salt Lake win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.9%

1 – 2

8.8%

2 – 1

2 – 2

6.4%

0 – 2

6.2%

0 – 1

6.2%

1 – 3

Actual

0 – 0

5.3%

1 – 0

4.7%

2 – 0

2 – 3

3.9%

0 – 3

3.7%

Asian Handicap — Real Salt Lake

Handicap	Real Salt Lake covers	Push	FC Dallas covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	9%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	16%	70%
-0.5	30%	—	70%
+0.5	55%	—	45%
+1	55%	20%	25%
+1.5	75%	—	25%
+2	75%	14%	11%
+2.5	89%	—	11%

Clean Sheet

Real Salt Lake keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

FC Dallas keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.