Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

Real Salt Lake

1 – 3

Full Time

FC Dallas

Thu 21 Sep 2023 · 01:30 UTC Rio Tinto Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Cristian Arango 43' 1–0

1–1 56' Paul Arriola

1–2 62' Jesus Ferreira pen

1–3 71' Jesus Ferreira

Damir Kreilach 20' Y

Marcelo Silva 60' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas — MLS at Rio Tinto Stadium.

Real Salt Lake 34 games · 45 pts (2026/26)
FC Dallas 34 games · 58 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

Real Salt Lake 18 games · Avg 3.2 goals FC Dallas

Last 5 meetings

2023-09-21 Real Salt Lake 1–3 FC Dallas 2023-04-16 FC Dallas 2–1 Real Salt Lake 2022-08-28 FC Dallas 1–1 Real Salt Lake 2022-07-24 Real Salt Lake 0–1 FC Dallas 2021-10-28 FC Dallas 1–2 Real Salt Lake

Recent Form

Real Salt Lake

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Sep	FC Dallas	H	1–3	L
17 Sep	San Jose Earthquakes	A	1–2	L
03 Sep	Colorado Rapids SC	H	2–0	W
31 Aug	Portland Timbers	A	1–2	L
27 Aug	Houston Dynamo	H	0–3	L
16 Jul	New York Red Bulls	H	3–1	W

FC Dallas

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Sep	Real Salt Lake	A	3–1	W
17 Sep	Seattle Sounders FC	H	1–1	D
03 Sep	Atlanta United FC	H	2–2	D
31 Aug	St. Louis City	A	1–2	L
27 Aug	Austin FC	H	1–0	W
16 Jul	Seattle Sounders FC	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

Real Salt Lake		FC Dallas
#24	Position	#17
45	Points	58
34	Played	34
13 / 6 / 15	W / D / L	16 / 10 / 8
53	Scored	62
52	Conceded	51
+1	GD	+11
1.32	PPG	1.71
38%	Win %	47%

Key Stats

72% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

12% Clean Sheets
Real Salt Lake this season

24% Clean Sheets
FC Dallas this season

Real Salt Lake are 24th (45 pts). FC Dallas are 17th (58 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Salt Lake

0-15

9/7

16-30

5/7

31-45

6/6

46-60

8/7

61-75

7/7

76+

8/11

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Dallas

0-15

5/5

16-30

10/7

31-45

10/8

46-60

3/5

61-75

5/10

76+

17/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Salt Lake

Sergi Solans	15 G	4 A
Zavier Gozo	6 G	3 A

FC Dallas

Petar Musa	22 G	5 A
Logan Farrington	10 G	4 A

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Real Salt Lake and FC Dallas is underway.
5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
15' Nelson Palacio has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
20' The referee has no hesitation. Damir Kreilach is booked for Real Salt Lake — card on 20.
25' The travelling FC Dallas supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
30' It looks surprising Real Salt Lake does not make any changes. Nkosi Burgess has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
35' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
40' The energy levels are beginning to show. Nico Estevez might look to freshen things up shortly.
43' Goal! Cristian Arango scores his 73 goal in 172 matches.
48' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
53' A quiet spell here at Rio Tinto Stadium. Real Salt Lake seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
56' The deadlock is broken! Paul Arriola gets on the scoresheet on 56 minutes.
60' That looks like a foul for a card for Marcelo Silva.
62' Brilliant from the ! Jesus Ferreira makes it 1-2 with a superb finish on 62.
66' The crowd applauds Ema Twumasi as he leaves the pitch. Sam Junqua steps in for FC Dallas.
69' The Real Salt Lake bench stirs into life. Nelson Palacio is withdrawn and Jasper Loffelsend gets his opportunity.
71' The USA Jesus Ferreira breaks the deadlock on 71 minutes. 1-3!
76' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Dallas is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
79' Jesus Jimenez has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jesus Ferreira on 79 minute.
84' Rubio Rubin is ready to make an impact after coming on for Cristian Arango at the 84 minute mark.
86' Another change for FC Dallas made on 86 minute. Jader Obrian leaves to be changed by Dante Sealy.
Game over. The scoreline of 1-3 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Real Salt Lake Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

3
Bryan Oviedo
9
Cristian Arango ↓ Rubio Rubin 84'
8
Damir Kreilach ↓ Anderson Julio 69'
15
Justen Glad
30
Marcelo Silva
10
Jefferson Savarino ↓ Diego Luna 84'
18
Zac MacMath
6
Braian Ojeda
16
Maikel Chang ↓ Carlos Gomez 69'
19
Bode Davis
13
Nelson Palacio ↓ Jasper Loffelsend 69'

Bench

2
Andrew Brody
29
Anderson Julio ↑ 69'
14
Rubio Rubin ↑ 84'
28
Jasper Loffelsend ↑ 69'
35
Gavin Beavers
26
Diego Luna ↑ 84'
11
Carlos Gomez ↑ 69'
25
Emeka Eneli
31
Kevon Lambert

Coach Pablo Mastroeni

FC Dallas Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

1
Jimmy Maurer
5
Facundo Quignon ↑ 66'
9
Jesus Jimenez ↑ 79'
29
Sam Junqua ↑ 66'
11
Dante Sealy ↑ 86'
3
Jose Martinez ↑ 86'
16
Tsiki Ntsabeleng
24
Amet Korca
31
Eugene Ansah

Coach Nico Estevez

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jesus Ferreira	7
Anderson Julio	5
Diego Luna	4
Franco Daniel Jara	3
Albert Rusnak	3
Jonathan Menendez	2
Alan Velasco	2
Paxton Pomykal	2

Head to Head

Real Salt Lake Form

2023-09-21 Real Salt Lake 1–3 FC Dallas L 2023-09-17 San Jose Earthquakes 2–1 Real Salt Lake L 2023-09-03 Real Salt Lake 2–0 Colorado Rapids SC W 2023-08-31 Portland Timbers 2–1 Real Salt Lake L 2023-08-27 Real Salt Lake 0–3 Houston Dynamo L 2023-07-16 Real Salt Lake 3–1 New York Red Bulls W

FC Dallas Form

2023-09-21 Real Salt Lake 1–3 FC Dallas W 2023-09-17 FC Dallas 1–1 Seattle Sounders FC D 2023-09-03 FC Dallas 2–2 Atlanta United FC D 2023-08-31 St. Louis City 2–1 FC Dallas L 2023-08-27 FC Dallas 1–0 Austin FC W 2023-07-16 Seattle Sounders FC 1–1 FC Dallas D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.46 Real Salt Lake xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.75 FC Dallas xG

I would bet for: Real Salt Lake or FC Dallas 74% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Real Salt Lake32% Draw26% FC Dallas42%

Actual: FC Dallas win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.21

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	61%	39%
± 3.5	40%	60%
± 4.5	23%	77%

Double Chance

Real Salt Lake or Draw

58%

Draw or FC Dallas

68%

Real Salt Lake or FC Dallas

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Real Salt Lake25% Draw43% FC Dallas32%

Actual: Real Salt Lake win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.2%

1 – 2

8.7%

2 – 1

7.3%

2 – 2

6.3%

0 – 1

6.3%

0 – 2

6.1%

0 – 0

5.6%

1 – 0

5.1%

1 – 3

Actual

2 – 0

4.3%

2 – 3

3.7%

3 – 1

3.5%

Asian Handicap — Real Salt Lake

Handicap	Real Salt Lake covers	Push	FC Dallas covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	9%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	16%	69%
-0.5	31%	—	69%
+0.5	57%	—	43%
+1	57%	20%	24%
+1.5	76%	—	24%
+2	76%	13%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

Real Salt Lake keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

FC Dallas keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.