RFK Akhmat Grozny vs Churchill Brothers SC, 2016

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Serie A 2016/17 · 2016

RFK Akhmat Grozny

2 – 3

Full Time

Churchill Brothers SC

Sun 19 Mar 2017 · 12:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RFK Akhmat Grozny vs Churchill Brothers SC — Serie A .

RFK Akhmat Grozny 0 games · 0 pts
Churchill Brothers SC 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

RFK Akhmat Grozny 11.00

Draw 5.50

Churchill Brothers SC 1.29

Head-to-Head

RFK Akhmat Grozny 6 games · Avg 4.5 goals Churchill Brothers SC

Last 5 meetings

2017-03-19 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2–3 Churchill Brothers SC 2016-10-26 Churchill Brothers SC 2–0 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2016-01-31 Churchill Brothers SC 5–1 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2015-09-13 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2–2 Churchill Brothers SC 2015-04-30 RFK Akhmat Grozny 4–2 Churchill Brothers SC

Recent Form

RFK Akhmat Grozny

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Mar	Churchill Brothers SC	H	2–3	L
12 Mar	UC Sampdoria	A	0–4	L
05 Mar	ACF Fiorentina	H	0–2	L
25 Feb	Indian Arrows	A	0–2	L
18 Feb	Cagliari Calcio	H	1–2	L
12 Feb	Udinese Calcio	A	0–2	L

Churchill Brothers SC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Mar	RFK Akhmat Grozny	A	3–2	W
12 Mar	Torino FC	H	3–0	W
07 Mar	Mohun Bagan AC	H	1–3	L
04 Mar	SS Lazio	A	2–1	W
25 Feb	AC Chievo Verona	H	0–2	L
19 Feb	UC Sampdoria	A	3–1	W

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Churchill Brothers SC gets underway.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for RFK Akhmat Grozny.

Lineups

RFK Akhmat Grozny Lineups

Churchill Brothers SC Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

RFK Akhmat Grozny Form

2017-03-19 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2–3 Churchill Brothers SC L 2017-03-12 UC Sampdoria 4–0 RFK Akhmat Grozny L 2017-03-05 RFK Akhmat Grozny 0–2 ACF Fiorentina L 2017-02-25 Indian Arrows 2–0 RFK Akhmat Grozny L 2017-02-18 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–2 Cagliari Calcio L 2017-02-12 Udinese Calcio 2–0 RFK Akhmat Grozny L

Churchill Brothers SC Form

2017-03-19 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2–3 Churchill Brothers SC W 2017-03-12 Churchill Brothers SC 3–0 Torino FC W 2017-03-07 Churchill Brothers SC 1–3 Mohun Bagan AC L 2017-03-04 SS Lazio 1–2 Churchill Brothers SC W 2017-02-25 Churchill Brothers SC 0–2 AC Chievo Verona L 2017-02-19 UC Sampdoria 1–3 Churchill Brothers SC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.42 RFK Akhmat Grozny xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.91 Churchill Brothers SC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct

RFK Akhmat Grozny28% Draw25% Churchill Brothers SC47%

Actual: Churchill Brothers SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes65% 0% No35%

Avg goals/match: 3.33

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	64%	36%
± 3.5	42%	58%
± 4.5	25%	75%

Double Chance

RFK Akhmat Grozny or Draw

52%

Draw or Churchill Brothers SC

72%

RFK Akhmat Grozny or Churchill Brothers SC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

RFK Akhmat Grozny23% Draw42% Churchill Brothers SC35%

Actual: Churchill Brothers SC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.6%

1 – 2

8.9%

2 – 1

6.7%

0 – 2

6.5%

2 – 2

6.3%

0 – 1

6.2%

1 – 3

5.7%

0 – 0

5.1%

1 – 0

4.4%

2 – 3

Actual

0 – 3

4.1%

2 – 0

3.6%

Asian Handicap — RFK Akhmat Grozny

Handicap	RFK Akhmat Grozny covers	Push	Churchill Brothers SC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	8%	87%
-1.5	13%	—	87%
-1	13%	15%	72%
-0.5	28%	—	72%
+0.5	52%	—	48%
+1	52%	20%	27%
+1.5	73%	—	27%
+2	73%	15%	13%
+2.5	87%	—	13%

Clean Sheet

RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Churchill Brothers SC keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.