Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs FK Suduva Marijampole, 2016

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Premier League 2016/17 · 2016

Qarabağ Ağdam FK

1 – 2

Full Time

FK Suduva Marijampole

Mon 6 Mar 2017 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Qarabag Agdam FK vs FK Suduva Marijampole — Premier League .

Qarabag Agdam FK 0 games · 0 pts
FK Suduva Marijampole 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Qarabağ Ağdam FK 6.00

Draw 4.10

FK Suduva Marijampole 1.62

Head-to-Head

Qarabağ Ağdam FK 8 games · Avg 2.4 goals FK Suduva Marijampole

Last 5 meetings

2017-03-06 Qarabağ Ağdam FK 1–2 FK Suduva Marijampole 2016-08-15 FK Suduva Marijampole 2–1 Qarabağ Ağdam FK 2016-03-19 FK Suduva Marijampole 2–2 Qarabağ Ağdam FK 2015-10-24 Qarabağ Ağdam FK 2–1 FK Suduva Marijampole 2015-03-04 Qarabağ Ağdam FK 0–1 FK Suduva Marijampole

Recent Form

Qarabağ Ağdam FK

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Mar	FK Suduva Marijampole	H	1–2	L
25 Feb	The New Saints FC	A	1–1	D
11 Feb	Astana FK	H	2–2	D
04 Feb	FC Spartak Trnava	A	3–1	W
01 Feb	Crusaders FC	H	0–4	L
21 Jan	PSV	A	3–1	W

FK Suduva Marijampole

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Mar	Qarabağ Ağdam FK	A	2–1	W
25 Feb	HSK Zrinjski Mostar	H	3–1	W
18 Feb	PAE AEK	A	2–0	W
12 Feb	APOEL FC	A	1–1	D
04 Feb	Helsingin JK	H	3–1	W
31 Jan	Malmo FF	A	1–1	D

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Qarabağ Ağdam FK host FK Suduva Marijampole — let the battle begin!
FK Suduva Marijampole celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Qarabag Agdam FK Lineups

FK Suduva Marijampole Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

Qarabag Agdam FK Form

2017-03-06 Qarabağ Ağdam FK 1–2 FK Suduva Marijampole W 2017-02-25 The New Saints FC 1–1 Qarabağ Ağdam FK D 2017-02-11 Qarabağ Ağdam FK 2–2 Astana FK D 2017-02-04 FC Spartak Trnava 1–3 Qarabağ Ağdam FK W 2017-02-01 Qarabağ Ağdam FK 0–4 Crusaders FC W 2017-01-21 PSV 1–3 Qarabağ Ağdam FK W

FK Suduva Marijampole Form

2017-03-06 Qarabağ Ağdam FK 1–2 FK Suduva Marijampole W 2017-02-25 FK Suduva Marijampole 3–1 HSK Zrinjski Mostar W 2017-02-17 PAE AEK 0–2 FK Suduva Marijampole W 2017-02-12 APOEL FC 1–1 FK Suduva Marijampole D 2017-02-04 FK Suduva Marijampole 3–1 Helsingin JK W 2017-01-31 Malmo FF 1–1 FK Suduva Marijampole D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 3

1.18 Qarabag Agdam FK xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.5 FK Suduva Marijampole xG

I would bet for: Qarabag Agdam FK or FK Suduva Marijampole 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Qarabag Agdam FK29% Draw28% FK Suduva Marijampole43%

Actual: FK Suduva Marijampole win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.68

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	50%	50%
± 3.5	28%	72%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

Qarabag Agdam FK or Draw

57%

Draw or FK Suduva Marijampole

71%

Qarabag Agdam FK or FK Suduva Marijampole

72%

Half-Time Result

Qarabag Agdam FK22% Draw47% FK Suduva Marijampole31%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13%

0 – 1

9.3%

0 – 0

8.8%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 2

7.6%

1 – 0

7.1%

2 – 1

6.9%

2 – 2

5.2%

2 – 0

4.7%

1 – 3

4.4%

0 – 3

3.7%

3 – 1

2.7%

Asian Handicap — Qarabag Agdam FK

Handicap	Qarabag Agdam FK covers	Push	FK Suduva Marijampole covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	8%	88%
-1.5	12%	—	88%
-1	12%	16%	72%
-0.5	28%	—	72%
+0.5	57%	—	43%
+1	57%	21%	22%
+1.5	78%	—	22%
+2	78%	13%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Qarabag Agdam FK keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

FK Suduva Marijampole keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.