Qarabag Agdam FK vs Astana FK, 2016

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Premier League 2016/17 · 2016

Qarabag Agdam FK

2 – 2

Full Time

Astana FK

Sat 11 Feb 2017 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Qarabag Agdam FK vs Astana FK — Premier League .

Qarabag Agdam FK 0 games · 0 pts
Astana FK 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Qarabag Agdam FK 2.25

Draw 3.30

Astana FK 3.60

Head-to-Head

Qarabag Agdam FK 8 games · Avg 2.9 goals Astana FK

Last 5 meetings

2017-02-11 Qarabag Agdam FK 2–2 Astana FK 2016-09-17 Astana FK 4–2 Qarabag Agdam FK 2016-04-30 Astana FK 0–3 Qarabag Agdam FK 2015-11-29 Qarabag Agdam FK 1–1 Astana FK 2015-01-01 Qarabag Agdam FK 1–1 Astana FK

Recent Form

Qarabag Agdam FK

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Feb	Astana FK	H	2–2	D
04 Feb	FC Spartak Trnava	A	3–1	W
01 Feb	Crusaders FC	H	0–4	L
21 Jan	PSV	A	3–1	W
14 Jan	Cork City FC	H	3–0	W
06 Jan	Crusaders FC	H	0–5	L

Astana FK

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Feb	Qarabag Agdam FK	A	2–2	D
04 Feb	FK Crvena Zvezda	H	1–0	W
31 Jan	PSV	A	1–1	D
21 Jan	FC Midtjylland	H	2–0	W
14 Jan	Valletta FC	A	0–4	L
07 Jan	FC CFR 1907 Cluj	H	1–2	L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Qarabag Agdam FK is hosting Astana FK for another epic battle.
It finishes all square. Qarabag Agdam FK and Astana FK share the spoils 2-2.

Lineups

Qarabag Agdam FK Lineups

Astana FK Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

Qarabag Agdam FK Form

2017-02-11 Qarabag Agdam FK 2–2 Astana FK D 2017-02-04 FC Spartak Trnava 1–3 Qarabag Agdam FK W 2017-02-01 Qarabag Agdam FK 0–4 Crusaders FC L 2017-01-21 PSV 1–3 Qarabag Agdam FK W 2017-01-14 Qarabag Agdam FK 3–0 Cork City FC W 2017-01-05 Qarabag Agdam FK 0–5 Crusaders FC L

Astana FK Form

2017-02-11 Qarabag Agdam FK 2–2 Astana FK D 2017-02-04 Astana FK 1–0 FK Crvena Zvezda W 2017-01-31 PSV 1–1 Astana FK D 2017-01-21 Astana FK 2–0 FC Midtjylland W 2017-01-14 Valletta FC 4–0 Astana FK L 2017-01-06 Astana FK 1–2 FC CFR 1907 Cluj L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.56 Qarabag Agdam FK xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.46 Astana FK xG

I would bet for: Qarabag Agdam FK or Astana FK 74% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Qarabag Agdam FK41% Draw26% Astana FK33%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes61% 0% No39%

Avg goals/match: 3.02

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	57%	43%
± 3.5	36%	64%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

Qarabag Agdam FK or Draw

67%

Draw or Astana FK

59%

Qarabag Agdam FK or Astana FK

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Qarabag Agdam FK29% Draw44% Astana FK27%

Actual: Astana FK win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12%

2 – 1

8.3%

1 – 2

7.8%

1 – 0

6.7%

0 – 0

6.6%

0 – 1

6.2%

2 – 2

Actual

2 – 0

5.9%

0 – 2

5.1%

3 – 1

4.3%

1 – 3

3.8%

3 – 2

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Qarabag Agdam FK

Handicap	Qarabag Agdam FK covers	Push	Astana FK covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	12%	80%
-1.5	20%	—	80%
-1	20%	19%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	65%	—	35%
+1	65%	18%	17%
+1.5	83%	—	17%
+2	83%	10%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Qarabag Agdam FK keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Astana FK keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.