Portugal vs Ukraine, 2017
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Portugal Lineups
Ukraine Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
Portugal Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.36
Portugal xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82
Ukraine xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Portugal win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.18
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Portugal or Draw
80%
Draw or Ukraine
48%
Portugal or Ukraine
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.6%
1 – 1
13.5%
2 – 0
10%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
5%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 1
3.8%
0 – 2
3.6%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
1.7%
Asian Handicap — Portugal
| Handicap | Portugal covers | Push | Ukraine covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 15% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 24% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 14% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Portugal keeps clean sheet
44%
✗
Ukraine keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.