Portugal vs Croatia, 2017
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Portugal Lineups
Croatia Lineups
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.26
Portugal xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89
Croatia xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 2.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
Portugal or Draw
76%
Draw or Croatia
53%
Portugal or Croatia
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
14%
1 – 0
13.5%
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
5.6%
0 – 2
4.4%
2 – 2
3.7%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
1.7%
Asian Handicap — Portugal
| Handicap | Portugal covers | Push | Croatia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 13% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 23% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 16% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Portugal keeps clean sheet
42%
✓
Croatia keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.