Portland Timbers vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Portland Timbers vs Philadelphia Union — MLS at Providence Park.
- Portland Timbers 27 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
- Philadelphia Union 27 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–3 | L |
| 17 Mar | Houston Dynamo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Mar | New York City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Mar | D.C. United SC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Feb | Colorado Rapids SC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 22 Oct | Houston Dynamo | H | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar | Portland Timbers | A | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Mar | Austin FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Mar | Sporting Kansas City | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Feb | Chicago Fire FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Oct | New England Revolution | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Oct | Nashville SC | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Portland Timbers | Philadelphia Union | |
|---|---|---|
| #26 | Position | #6 |
| 32 | Points | 39 |
| 27 | Played | 27 |
| 9 / 5 / 13 | W / D / L | 11 / 6 / 10 |
| 48 | Scored | 54 |
| 51 | Conceded | 44 |
| -3 | GD | +10 |
| 1.19 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 33% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
4%
Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season
Portland Timbers this season
26%
Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
Philadelphia Union this season
Portland Timbers are 26th (32 pts). Philadelphia Union are 6th (39 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Portland Timbers
0-15
4/9
16-30
7/9
31-45
5/8
46-60
5/4
61-75
7/–
76+
10/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
4/7
31-45
6/4
46-60
9/1
61-75
14/3
76+
6/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Portland Timbers
| Kevin Kelsy | 9 G | 2 A |
| Kristoffer Velde | 8 G | 5 A |
Philadelphia Union
| Milan Iloski | 16 G | 2 A |
| Bruno Damiani | 8 G | 1 A |
| Cavan Sullivan | 7 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Providence Park. Portland Timbers are looking to make home advantage count against Philadelphia Union.
- 5' A quiet spell here at Providence Park. Philadelphia Union seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Portland Timbers in their trying to find a way past Philadelphia Union's compact .
- 15' Portland Timbers are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Philadelphia Union's shape.
- 20' Both keepers have barely been tested. Portland Timbers and Philadelphia Union are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 25' It’s gonna be a card for Diego Chara.
- 28' GOAL! Julian Carranza fires home to make it 0-1!
- 32' The referee calls foul for Quinn Sullivan. He receives a card.
- 37' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 37 minutes.
- 40' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Jack Elliott.
- 45' Philadelphia Union fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 50' Portland Timbers are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Philadelphia Union backline.
- 55' Philadelphia Union is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 58' A stunning finish from Quinn Sullivan — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 63' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 65' The Portland Timbers manager makes a substitution. Diego Chara departs to be replaced by Felipe Mora.
- 67' The deadlock is broken! Julian Carranza gets on the scoresheet on 67 minutes.
- 72' The 28-year-old Cristhian Paredes has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 75' The Portland Timbers bench stirs into life. Juan Mosquera is withdrawn and Dairon Asprilla gets his opportunity.
- 80' Assisted by Santiago Moreno with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jonathan Rodriguez makes no mistake. 1-3!
- 84' A tactical swap from Philadelphia Union — Chris Donovan on, Markus Anderson off on 84 minutes.
- 88' The referee calls foul for Oliver Semmle. He receives a card.
- 90' Controversy at the stadium! Mikkel Uhre argues furiously but the card stands.
- 90' Portland Timbers make a change. Antony trudges off to be replaced by Nathan on 90 minutes.
- Another three points for Philadelphia Union.
Lineups
Portland Timbers Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
21
Diego Chara ↓ Felipe Mora 65'
- 19
- 41
-
15
Eric Miller ↓ David Ayala 65'
- 13
- –
- 18
- 80
- 30
-
29
Juan Mosquera ↓ Dairon Asprilla 75'
Bench
- 33
-
27
Dairon Asprilla ↑ 75'
-
22
Cristhian Paredes ↑ 75'
-
9
Felipe Mora ↑ 65'
-
24
David Ayala ↑ 65'
-
99
Nathan ↑ 90'
Coach
Phil Neville
Philadelphia Union Lineups
Starting XI
- 27
- 3
- 11
- 15
- 9
- 33
- 5
- 7
- 14
- 1
-
35
Markus Anderson ↓ Chris Donovan 84'
Bench
- 2
-
25
Chris Donovan ↑ 84'
- 29
- 22
- 76
Coach
Jim Curtin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Brian Fernandez | 2 |
| Sebastian Blanco | 2 |
| Diego Valeri | 2 |
| Sergio Santos | 2 |
| Julian Carranza | 2 |
| Andrew Wooten | 1 |
| Jeremy Ebobisse | 1 |
| David Guzman | 1 |
Head to Head
Portland Timbers Form
2024-03-24
Portland Timbers
1–3
Philadelphia Union
L
2024-03-17
Houston Dynamo
1–0
Portland Timbers
L
2024-03-09
New York City FC
1–2
Portland Timbers
W
2024-03-03
Portland Timbers
2–2
D.C. United SC
D
2024-02-25
Portland Timbers
4–1
Colorado Rapids SC
W
2023-10-22
Portland Timbers
1–3
Houston Dynamo
L
Philadelphia Union Form
2024-03-24
Portland Timbers
1–3
Philadelphia Union
W
2024-03-17
Austin FC
2–2
Philadelphia Union
D
2024-03-03
Sporting Kansas City
1–1
Philadelphia Union
D
2024-02-25
Philadelphia Union
2–2
Chicago Fire FC
D
2023-10-21
New England Revolution
2–1
Philadelphia Union
L
2023-10-07
Philadelphia Union
0–0
Nashville SC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.8
Portland Timbers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.21
Philadelphia Union xG
I would bet for:
Portland Timbers or Philadelphia Union 76% + Over 2.5 goals 75%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Philadelphia Union win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.01
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 4.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
Double Chance
Portland Timbers or Draw
57%
Draw or Philadelphia Union
67%
Portland Timbers or Philadelphia Union
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Philadelphia Union win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.4%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 3
5%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3.8%
0 – 1
3.6%
0 – 3
3.2%
1 – 4
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers
| Handicap | Portland Timbers covers | Push | Philadelphia Union covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 9% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 15% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 19% | 28% |
| +1.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +2 | 72% | 14% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

