Portland Timbers vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Portland Timbers vs Philadelphia Union — MLS at Providence Park.
- Portland Timbers 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- Philadelphia Union 34 games · 50 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–3 | L |
| 17 Mar | Houston Dynamo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Mar | New York City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Mar | D.C. United SC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Feb | Colorado Rapids SC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 22 Oct | Houston Dynamo | H | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar | Portland Timbers | A | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Mar | Austin FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Mar | Sporting Kansas City | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Feb | Chicago Fire FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Oct | New England Revolution | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Oct | Nashville SC | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Portland Timbers | Philadelphia Union | |
|---|---|---|
| #22 | Position | #6 |
| 46 | Points | 50 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 13 / 7 / 14 | W / D / L | 14 / 8 / 12 |
| 62 | Scored | 66 |
| 61 | Conceded | 52 |
| +1 | GD | +14 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 1.47 |
| 38% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
9%
Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season
Portland Timbers this season
24%
Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
Philadelphia Union this season
Portland Timbers are 22nd (46 pts). Philadelphia Union are 6th (50 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Portland Timbers
0-15
7/10
16-30
8/10
31-45
9/9
46-60
6/5
61-75
10/4
76+
12/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
6/7
31-45
8/7
46-60
12/2
61-75
17/5
76+
8/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Portland Timbers
| Kristoffer Velde | 12 G | 6 A |
| Ariel Lassiter | 9 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Kelsy | 9 G | 2 A |
Philadelphia Union
| Milan Iloski | 19 G | 2 A |
| Bruno Damiani | 13 G | 3 A |
| Cavan Sullivan | 9 G | 6 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Portland Timbers and Philadelphia Union get this one started.
- 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
- 10' Philadelphia Union seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 25' Diego Chara has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 25.
- 28' Against the run of play, Julian Carranza has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 32' Quinn Sullivan has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 32.
- 37' Philadelphia Union come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 40' The referee calls foul for Jack Elliott. He receives a card.
- 45' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Phil Neville will be considering his options from the bench.
- 50' With 0 assists to his name this season, Eryk Williamson is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Portland Timbers.
- 55' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for David Ayala suffering a number of foals already.
- 58' Quinn Sullivan does the damage! The net is bulging and Philadelphia Union surge ahead!
- 63' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 65' Diego Chara makes way for Felipe Mora at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from Portland Timbers.
- 67' Julian Carranza with the second goal in the match!
- 72' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 75' A change in the Portland Timbers ranks — Juan Mosquera exits the field as Dairon Asprilla enters on 75.
- 80' Jonathan Rodriguez makes no mistake. The score reads 1-3 and Portland Timbers are in front.
- 84' It is a substitution in Philadelphia Union team. Markus Anderson is replaced by Chris Donovan on 84 minute.
- 88' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Oliver Semmle.
- 90' It’s a booking for Philadelphia Union player. Mikkel Uhre gets a card.
- 90' Another change for Portland Timbers made on 90 minute. Antony leaves to be changed by Nathan.
- Full Time. Philadelphia Union beats Portland Timbers
Lineups
Portland Timbers Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
21
Diego Chara ↓ Felipe Mora 65'
- 19
- 41
-
15
Eric Miller ↓ David Ayala 65'
- 13
- –
- 18
- 80
- 30
-
29
Juan Mosquera ↓ Dairon Asprilla 75'
Bench
- 33
-
27
Dairon Asprilla ↑ 75'
-
22
Cristhian Paredes ↑ 75'
-
9
Felipe Mora ↑ 65'
-
24
David Ayala ↑ 65'
-
99
Nathan ↑ 90'
Coach
Phil Neville
Philadelphia Union Lineups
Starting XI
- 27
- 3
- 11
- 15
- 9
- 33
- 5
- 7
- 14
- 1
-
35
Markus Anderson ↓ Chris Donovan 84'
Bench
- 2
-
25
Chris Donovan ↑ 84'
- 29
- 22
- 76
Coach
Jim Curtin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Valeri | 2 |
| Sergio Santos | 2 |
| Julian Carranza | 2 |
| Brian Fernandez | 2 |
| Sebastian Blanco | 2 |
| David Guzman | 1 |
| Jack Elliott | 1 |
| Dairon Asprilla | 1 |
Head to Head
Portland Timbers Form
2024-03-24
Portland Timbers
1–3
Philadelphia Union
L
2024-03-17
Houston Dynamo
1–0
Portland Timbers
L
2024-03-09
New York City FC
1–2
Portland Timbers
W
2024-03-03
Portland Timbers
2–2
D.C. United SC
D
2024-02-25
Portland Timbers
4–1
Colorado Rapids SC
W
2023-10-22
Portland Timbers
1–3
Houston Dynamo
L
Philadelphia Union Form
2024-03-24
Portland Timbers
1–3
Philadelphia Union
W
2024-03-17
Austin FC
2–2
Philadelphia Union
D
2024-03-03
Sporting Kansas City
1–1
Philadelphia Union
D
2024-02-25
Philadelphia Union
2–2
Chicago Fire FC
D
2023-10-21
New England Revolution
2–1
Philadelphia Union
L
2023-10-07
Philadelphia Union
0–0
Nashville SC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.76
Portland Timbers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.11
Philadelphia Union xG
I would bet for:
Portland Timbers or Philadelphia Union 75% + Over 2.5 goals 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Philadelphia Union win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.87
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 3.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 4.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
Double Chance
Portland Timbers or Draw
57%
Draw or Philadelphia Union
67%
Portland Timbers or Philadelphia Union
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Philadelphia Union win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.6%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 3
4.8%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 1
4%
3 – 1
3.9%
2 – 0
3.3%
0 – 0
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers
| Handicap | Portland Timbers covers | Push | Philadelphia Union covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 10% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 15% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +1 | 55% | 19% | 27% |
| +1.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +2 | 73% | 14% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

