Sunday , 16 August 2026

Port Vale FC vs Carlisle United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 26 Aug 2023 · 14:00 UTC Vale Park 6,997 HT 45' · FT 45'
James Wilson pen 50' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Port Vale FC vs Carlisle United FCLeague One at Vale Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Reeves
  • Assistant 1 Stephen Wade
  • Assistant 2 Mark Jones
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 5.0 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
Port Vale FC 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Carlisle United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Aug Carlisle United FC H 1–0 W
19 Aug Charlton Athletic FC A 3–2 W
15 Aug Blackpool FC A 0–0 D
12 Aug Reading FC H 1–0 W
05 Aug Barnsley FC A 0–7 L
07 May Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Aug Port Vale FC A 0–1 L
19 Aug Exeter City FC H 0–2 L
15 Aug Wigan Athletic FC H 1–1 D
12 Aug Oxford United FC A 0–1 L
05 Aug Fleetwood Town FC H 1–1 D
26 Nov Walsall FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Port Vale FC get us underway at Vale Park.
  • 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Port Vale FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 10' Port Vale FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Owen Moxon, as he is very good at scoring at Vale Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 25' It looks like no one’s ball. Carlisle United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 30' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ethan Chislett is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Carlisle United FC.
  • 35' Carlisle United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 40' Port Vale FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 45' Port Vale FC have won 112 goals from 153 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 50' James Wilson does the damage! The net is bulging and Port Vale FC surge ahead!
  • 55' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 60' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Port Vale FC and Carlisle United FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 61' Ben Garrity is replacing Ethan Chislett for the Port Vale FC side.
  • 66' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 68' The Carlisle United FC manager makes a substitution. Sean Maguire departs to be replaced by Jordan Gibson.
  • 73' Carlisle United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 76' A tactical swap from Port Vale FCAlfie Devine on, Gavin Massey off on 76 minutes.
  • 81' Jack Armer is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Carlisle United FC tonight.
  • 84' Jason Lowe is replacing Ollie Arblaster for the Port Vale FC side.
  • 85' Thomas Sang is ready to make an impact after coming on for James Plant at the 85 minute mark.
  • 90' Carlisle United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Carlisle United FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.2 Port Vale FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.67 Carlisle United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Port Vale FC51% Draw30% Carlisle United FC19%
Actual: Port Vale FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 1.87
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 56%
44%
± 2.5 29%
71%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Port Vale FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Carlisle United FC
49%
Port Vale FC or Carlisle United FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Port Vale FC31% Draw56% Carlisle United FC13%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.8%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.3%
2 – 0
10.6%
0 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
7.4%
3 – 0
4.2%
1 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 1
3%
2 – 2
2.6%
4 – 0
1.3%

Asian Handicap — Port Vale FC

Handicap Port Vale FC covers Push Carlisle United FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 14% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 26% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 14% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Port Vale FC keeps clean sheet
51%
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.