Poland vs Croatia, 2017
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Overview
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetingsRecent Form
Key Stats
50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history -
Events
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Lineups
Poland Lineups
Croatia Lineups
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H2H
Poland Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy4 / 41.37 Poland xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo0.75 Croatia xGI would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Poland winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 2.12Actual: No — clean sheetOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 86% 14% ± 1.5 63% 37% ± 2.5 35% 65% ± 3.5 17% 83% ± 4.5 7% 93% Double Chance
Poland or Draw 80%Draw or Croatia 48%Poland or Croatia 71%Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 0 Actual0 – 0 14.3%1 – 1 13.2%2 – 0 10.8%2 – 1 8.2%0 – 1 7.8%3 – 0 4.8%1 – 2 4.5%3 – 1 3.8%0 – 2 3.2%2 – 2 3.2%4 – 0 1.7%Asian Handicap — Poland
Handicap Poland covers Push Croatia covers -2.5 9% — 91% -2 9% 15% 75% -1.5 25% — 75% -1 25% 25% 50% -0.5 50% — 50% +0.5 81% — 19% +1 81% 13% 6% +1.5 94% — 6% +2 94% 5% 1% +2.5 99% — 1% Clean Sheet
Poland keeps clean sheet 48% ✗Croatia keeps clean sheet 26% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.