Sunday , 16 August 2026

Peterborough United FC vs Leeds United FC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2023-24
Sun 7 Jan 2024 · 14:00 UTC Weston Homes Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 34' Ethan Ampadu
0–2 47' Patrick Bamford
0–3 90' Ethan Ampadu

Overview

Match Preview

Peterborough United FC vs Leeds United FCFA Cup at Weston Homes Stadium.

Head-to-Head

1
Peterborough United FC 1 games · Avg 3.0 goals Leeds United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Jan Leeds United FC H 0–3 L
01 Jan Derby County FC A 3–2 W
29 Dec Barnsley FC H 2–2 D
26 Dec Reading FC H 2–2 D
23 Dec Shrewsbury Town FC A 2–1 W
16 Dec Fleetwood Town FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Jan Peterborough United FC A 3–0 W
01 Jan Birmingham City FC H 3–0 W
29 Dec West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–1 L
26 Dec Preston North End FC A 1–2 L
23 Dec Ipswich Town FC H 4–0 W
16 Dec Coventry City FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Peterborough United FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Leeds United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Leeds United FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.97 Peterborough United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.76 Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Peterborough United FC25% Draw27% Leeds United FC48%
Actual: Leeds United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Peterborough United FC or Draw
52%
Draw or Leeds United FC
75%
Peterborough United FC or Leeds United FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Peterborough United FC16% Draw45% Leeds United FC39%
Actual: Leeds United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
0 – 1
10.7%
0 – 2
9.9%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 0
8.4%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
5.6%
1 – 0
5.4%
2 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
4.6%
2 – 0
3%
2 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Peterborough United FC

Handicap Peterborough United FC covers Push Leeds United FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 12% 81%
-0.5 19% 81%
+0.5 46% 54%
+1 46% 23% 31%
+1.5 69% 31%
+2 69% 17% 14%
+2.5 86% 14%

Clean Sheet

Peterborough United FC keeps clean sheet
18%
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
38%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.