Pau FC vs ES Troyes AC, Ligue 2 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Pau FC vs ES Troyes AC — Ligue 2 .
- Pau FC 12 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
- ES Troyes AC 34 games · 67 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Aurelien Petit
6 games this season
🟨 2.8/game
⚽ 7.7 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Saint-Étienne | 12 | 28 |
| 2 | AS Nancy-Lorraine | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | Montpellier HSC | 12 | 24 |
| 4 | Stade de Reims | 12 | 21 |
| 5 | Pau FC | 12 | 20 |
| 6 | Dijon Football Cote d'Or | 12 | 18 |
| 7 | FC Metz | 12 | 17 |
| 8 | Red Star FC | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Annecy | 12 | 16 |
| 10 | USL Dunkerque | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | En Avant Guingamp | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | US Boulogne Côte d'Opale | 12 | 13 |
| 13 | Rodez Aveyron Football | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | FC Nantes | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | Clermont Foot 63 | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | FC Sochaux-Montbeliard | 12 | 11 |
| 17 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 12 | 11 |
| 18 | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | 12 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | ES Troyes AC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Oct | AS Saint-Étienne | A | 0–6 | L |
| 24 Oct | USL Dunkerque | H | 0–3 | L |
| 17 Oct | Grenoble Foot 38 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Oct | Clermont Foot 63 | H | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | Rodez Aveyron Football | A | 2–1 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
Pau FC this season
Pau FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Pau FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Pau FC
| Babacar Leye | 4 G | 2 A |
| Cheikh Fall | 3 G | |
| Hacene Benali | 3 G | |
| Lorenzo Rajot | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Pau FC Lineups
ES Troyes AC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mouhamed Diop | 2 |
| Kyliane Dong | 1 |
| Mons Bassouamina | 1 |
| Charles Boli | 1 |
| Youssouf M'Changama | 1 |
| Pape Ibnou Ba | 1 |
| Lenny Pintor | 1 |
| Cyriaque Irie | 1 |
Head to Head
Pau FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.14
Pau FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3
ES Troyes AC xG
I would bet for:
Pau FC or ES Troyes AC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Pau FC or Draw
63%
Draw or ES Troyes AC
67%
Pau FC or ES Troyes AC
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Pau FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.9%
0 – 1
10.2%
1 – 0
8.8%
1 – 2
8.1%
0 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.5%
0 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Pau FC
| Handicap | Pau FC covers | Push | ES Troyes AC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 18% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 21% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 12% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Pau FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

