Paris FC vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
Paris FC vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 .
- Paris FC 34 games · 44 pts (2026/27)
- Toulouse FC 34 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Bastien Dechepy
Standings
# Team P Pts 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC 34 76 2 Racing Club de Lens 34 70 3 Lille OSC 34 61 4 Olympique Lyonnais 34 60 5 Olympique de Marseille 34 59 6 Stade Rennais FC 1901 34 59 7 AS Monaco FC 34 54 8 RC Strasbourg Alsace 34 53 9 Toulouse FC 34 45 10 FC Lorient 34 45 11 Paris FC 34 44 12 Stade Brestois 29 34 39 13 Angers SCO 34 36 14 Le Havre AC 34 35 15 AJ Auxerre 34 34 16 OGC Nice 34 32 17 FC Nantes 34 24 18 FC Metz 34 17 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 13 Dec Toulouse FC H 0–3 L 07 Dec Le Havre AC A 0–0 D 29 Nov AJ Auxerre H 1–1 D 23 Nov Lille OSC A 2–4 L 07 Nov Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 0–1 L 01 Nov AS Monaco FC A 1–0 W Date Opponent H/A Score Result 13 Dec Paris FC A 3–0 W 06 Dec RC Strasbourg Alsace H 1–0 W 29 Nov Olympique de Marseille A 2–2 D 23 Nov Angers SCO H 0–1 L 09 Nov FC Lorient A 1–1 D 02 Nov Le Havre AC H 0–0 D Season Stats
Paris FC Toulouse FC #11 Position #9 44 Points 45 34 Played 34 11 / 11 / 12 W / D / L 12 / 9 / 13 47 Scored 47 50 Conceded 46 -3 GD +1 1.29 PPG 1.32 32% Win % 35% Key Stats
67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H historyParis FC are 11th (44 pts). Toulouse FC are 9th (45 pts).
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Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Toulouse FC players.
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Lineups
Paris FC Lineups
Toulouse FC Lineups
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Vakoun Issouf Bayo 2 Rhys Healey 2 Bafode Diakite 2 Julien Lopez Baila 1 Stijn Spierings 1 Florian Martin 1 Said Arab 1 Moustapha Name 1 Head to Head
Paris FC Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy2 / 41.2 Paris FC xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.7 Toulouse FC xGI would bet for: Both teams to score 57%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toulouse FC winBoth Teams to Score
✗ WrongAvg goals/match: 2.9Actual: No — clean sheetOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 93% 7% ± 1.5 78% 22% ± 2.5 55% 45% ± 3.5 33% 67% ± 4.5 17% 83% Double Chance
Paris FC or Draw 55%Draw or Toulouse FC 72%Paris FC or Toulouse FC 73%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Toulouse FC win at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 12.1%1 – 2 9.2%0 – 1 8.5%0 – 2 7.8%0 – 0 7.3%2 – 1 6.5%1 – 0 5.7%2 – 2 5.5%1 – 3 5.2%0 – 3 Actual2 – 0 3.9%2 – 3 3.2%Asian Handicap — Paris FC
Handicap Paris FC covers Push Toulouse FC covers -2.5 3% — 97% -2 3% 7% 89% -1.5 11% — 89% -1 11% 15% 74% -0.5 26% — 74% +0.5 52% — 48% +1 52% 22% 26% +1.5 74% — 26% +2 74% 15% 11% +2.5 89% — 11% Clean Sheet
Paris FC keeps clean sheet 19% ✓Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet 31% ✗Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.