PSV vs SK Sturm Graz, Champions League Q 2023 ROUND 3
Overview
Match Preview
PSV vs SK Sturm Graz — Champions League Q at Philips Stadion.
- PSV 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- SK Sturm Graz 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Radu Petrescu
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug | SK Sturm Graz | H | 4–1 | W |
| 28 May | AZ | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 May | SC Heerenveen | H | 3–3 | D |
| 14 May | Fortuna Sittard | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 May | Sparta Rotterdam | A | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Apr | AFC Ajax | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug | PSV | A | 1–4 | L |
| 03 Nov | FC Midtjylland | A | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Oct | Feyenoord Rotterdam | H | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Oct | SS Lazio | A | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Oct | SS Lazio | H | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Sep | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 0–6 | L |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
67%
Clean Sheets
SK Sturm Graz this season
SK Sturm Graz this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
SK Sturm Graz
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
2/1
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Philips Stadion!
- 4' The deadlock is broken! Isaac Babadi gets on the scoresheet on 4 minutes.
- 9' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 14' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 19' SK Sturm Graz fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 22' What a moment for Luuk de Jong! That strike on 22 puts his side firmly in control.
- 27' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 32' Luuk de Jong has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 32 minutes.
- 37' Patrick van Aanholt has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 40' Magnificent from Jon Stankovic! That is 1 goals in 145 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 45' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 46' Amadou Dante gets the nod from SK Sturm Graz. He replaces David Schnegg and will look to change the dynamic.
- 51' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 56' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 61' Bryan Silva Teixeira gets the nod from SK Sturm Graz. He replaces Szymon Wlodarczyk and will look to change the dynamic.
- 65' A tactical swap from PSV — Ismael Saibari on, Isaac Babadi off on 65 minutes.
- 70' Gregory Wuthrich has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 73' A goal from the Ivory Coast international Ibrahim Sangare! He fires home on 73 to make it 4-1!
- 78' Another change for SK Sturm Graz made on 78 minute. William Boving leaves to be changed by Mohammed Fuseini.
- 83' With 1 assists to his name this season, Mohammed Fuseini is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SK Sturm Graz.
- 88' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. PSV needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- With this win, PSV is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
PSV Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 3
- 30
- 7
- 6
- 18
- 1
- 5
- 23
- 11
-
26
Isaac Babadi ↓ Ismael Saibari 65'
Bench
- 20
- 21
- 16
- 29
- 24
- 14
-
34
Ismael Saibari ↑ 65'
- 2
- 32
SK Sturm Graz Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 1
- 25
- 10
-
28
David Schnegg ↓ Amadou Dante 46'
- 9
- 22
- 42
- 8
- 4
- 15
Bench
- 13
-
17
Bryan Silva Teixeira ↑ 61'
- 19
- 23
- 6
- 35
-
44
Amadou Dante ↑ 46'
- 14
- 31
- 40
-
29
Mohammed Fuseini ↑ 78'
- 2
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luuk de Jong | 3 |
| Ibrahim Sangare | 2 |
| Jon Stankovic | 1 |
| Isaac Babadi | 1 |
| William Boving | 1 |
| Jon Gorenc-Stankovic | 1 |
| Ricardo Pepi | 1 |
| Joey Veerman | 1 |
Head to Head
PSV Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.24
PSV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03
SK Sturm Graz xG
I would bet for:
PSV to win 65% + Over 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: PSV win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.27
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
PSV or Draw
85%
Draw or SK Sturm Graz
35%
PSV or SK Sturm Graz
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: PSV win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
7%
3 – 0
6.9%
0 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 2
4.4%
4 – 1
Actual
4 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
3.7%
Asian Handicap — PSV
| Handicap | PSV covers | Push | SK Sturm Graz covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -2 | 22% | 19% | 59% |
| -1.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| -1 | 41% | 22% | 37% |
| -0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 10% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
PSV keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
SK Sturm Graz keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.