PFK Arsenal Tula vs CD Nacional, 2017

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Serie B 2017/18 · 2017

PFK Arsenal Tula

2 – 1

Full Time

CD Nacional

Sun 8 Oct 2017 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

PFK Arsenal Tula vs CD Nacional — Serie B .

PFK Arsenal Tula 0 games · 0 pts
CD Nacional 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

PFK Arsenal Tula 1.73

Draw 3.40

CD Nacional 5.25

Head-to-Head

PFK Arsenal Tula 6 games · Avg 3.2 goals CD Nacional

Last 5 meetings

2017-10-08 PFK Arsenal Tula 2–1 CD Nacional 2017-05-06 CD Nacional 1–1 PFK Arsenal Tula 2016-12-16 PFK Arsenal Tula 2–1 CD Nacional 2015-03-07 CD Nacional 2–0 PFK Arsenal Tula 2014-10-19 PFK Arsenal Tula 4–2 CD Nacional

Recent Form

PFK Arsenal Tula

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Oct	CD Nacional	H	2–1	W
30 Sep	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	A	0–1	L
23 Sep	FK Rostov	H	3–0	W
19 Sep	Hanley Town FC	H	1–0	W
16 Sep	FK Orenburg	A	2–3	L
09 Sep	Cogenhoe United FC	H	0–2	L

CD Nacional

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Oct	PFK Arsenal Tula	A	1–2	L
30 Sep	RFK Akhmat Grozny	H	3–2	W
23 Sep	Sporting Clube de Braga	A	2–1	W
18 Sep	Cogenhoe United FC	H	1–1	D
15 Sep	FK Dinamo Moskva	A	1–3	L
09 Sep	Squires Gate FC	H	5–1	W

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between PFK Arsenal Tula and CD Nacional is underway.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for CD Nacional.

Lineups

PFK Arsenal Tula Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

PFK Arsenal Tula Form

2017-10-08 PFK Arsenal Tula 2–1 CD Nacional W 2017-09-30 FK Dinamo Makhachkala 1–0 PFK Arsenal Tula L 2017-09-23 PFK Arsenal Tula 3–0 FK Rostov W 2017-09-19 PFK Arsenal Tula 1–0 Hanley Town FC W 2017-09-16 FK Orenburg 3–2 PFK Arsenal Tula L 2017-09-09 PFK Arsenal Tula 0–2 Cogenhoe United FC L

CD Nacional Form

2017-10-08 PFK Arsenal Tula 2–1 CD Nacional L 2017-09-30 CD Nacional 3–2 RFK Akhmat Grozny W 2017-09-23 Sporting Clube de Braga 1–2 CD Nacional W 2017-09-18 CD Nacional 1–1 Cogenhoe United FC D 2017-09-15 FK Dinamo Moskva 3–1 CD Nacional L 2017-09-09 CD Nacional 5–1 Squires Gate FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.59 PFK Arsenal Tula xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.13 CD Nacional xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

PFK Arsenal Tula49% Draw26% CD Nacional25%

Actual: PFK Arsenal Tula win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.72

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	50%	50%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

PFK Arsenal Tula or Draw

75%

Draw or CD Nacional

51%

PFK Arsenal Tula or CD Nacional

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

PFK Arsenal Tula33% Draw46% CD Nacional21%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.8%

1 – 0

9.6%

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

8.5%

2 – 0

8.2%

0 – 1

6.5%

1 – 2

6.4%

2 – 2

5.1%

3 – 1

4.8%

3 – 0

4.2%

0 – 2

4.1%

3 – 2

2.8%

Asian Handicap — PFK Arsenal Tula

Handicap	PFK Arsenal Tula covers	Push	CD Nacional covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	14%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	22%	54%
-0.5	46%	—	54%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	15%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

PFK Arsenal Tula keeps clean sheet

33% ✓

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.