PFK Arsenal Tula vs CD Nacional, 2014

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Serie B 2014/15 · 2014

PFK Arsenal Tula

4 – 2

Full Time

CD Nacional

Sun 19 Oct 2014 · 16:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

PFK Arsenal Tula vs CD Nacional — Serie B .

PFK Arsenal Tula 0 games · 0 pts
CD Nacional 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

PFK Arsenal Tula 2.15

Draw 3.00

CD Nacional 3.80

Head-to-Head

PFK Arsenal Tula 6 games · Avg 3.2 goals CD Nacional

Last 5 meetings

2014-10-19 PFK Arsenal Tula 4–2 CD Nacional

Recent Form

PFK Arsenal Tula

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Oct	CD Nacional	H	4–2	W
12 Oct	FK Dynama-Minsk	A	3–2	W
04 Oct	Connah's Quay Nomads FC	H	1–1	D
29 Sep	Neftci PFK	A	1–1	D
23 Sep	Staveley Miners Welfare FC	A	0–1	L
20 Sep	Brantham Athletic FC	H	2–0	W

CD Nacional

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Oct	PFK Arsenal Tula	A	2–4	L
12 Oct	Sporting Clube de Portugal	H	1–0	W
06 Oct	FK Rostov	A	2–2	D
27 Sep	Brantham Athletic FC	H	2–1	W
23 Sep	FK Orenburg	A	0–0	D
20 Sep	CS Fola Esch	A	2–1	W

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: PFK Arsenal Tula gets underway.
CD Nacional will have plenty to reflect on. PFK Arsenal Tula were simply the better side today.

Lineups

PFK Arsenal Tula Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 3

2.2 PFK Arsenal Tula xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.38 CD Nacional xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct

PFK Arsenal Tula54% Draw22% CD Nacional24%

Actual: PFK Arsenal Tula win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes66% 0% No34%

Avg goals/match: 3.58

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	68%	32%
± 3.5	48%	52%
± 4.5	29%	71%

Double Chance

PFK Arsenal Tula or Draw

77%

Draw or CD Nacional

46%

PFK Arsenal Tula or CD Nacional

78%

Half-Time Result

PFK Arsenal Tula41% Draw39% CD Nacional20%

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted

4 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

9.3%

2 – 1

2 – 0

6.8%

3 – 1

6.5%

2 – 2

6.1%

1 – 2

5.7%

1 – 0

5.6%

3 – 0

4.8%

3 – 2

4.5%

0 – 0

4.1%

4 – 1

3.6%

0 – 1

3.3%

Asian Handicap — PFK Arsenal Tula

Handicap	PFK Arsenal Tula covers	Push	CD Nacional covers
-2.5	18%	—	82%
-2	18%	17%	66%
-1.5	34%	—	66%
-1	34%	21%	45%
-0.5	55%	—	45%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	13%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

PFK Arsenal Tula keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.