Oxford United FC vs Bristol Rovers FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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League One · 2023-24

Oxford United FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Bristol Rovers FC

Sat 7 Oct 2023 · 11:30 UTC Kassam Stadium 9,439 HT 45' · FT 45'

Billy Bodin 13' 1–0

Sam Long 81' 2–0

2–1 89' Aaron Collins

Cameron Brannagan 15' Y

Elliott Moore 46' Y

Y 48' Chris Martin

Y 57' Jevani Brown

YR 63' Jevani Brown

Y 78' Sam Finley

Oisin Smyth 90' Y

Oisin Smyth 90' YR

Stanley Mills 90' R

Overview

Match Preview

Oxford United FC vs Bristol Rovers FC — League One at Kassam Stadium.

Oxford United FC 1 games · 1 pts (2026/27)
Bristol Rovers FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Simon Mather
Assistant 1 Andrew Aylott
Assistant 2 Abbas Khan

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Lincoln City FC	46	103
2	Cardiff City FC	46	91
3	Bolton Wanderers FC	46	75
4	Exeter City FC	46	49
5	Port Vale FC	46	42
6	Rotherham United FC	46	41
7	Northampton Town FC	46	35
8	Huddersfield Town AFC	1	3
9	Stockport County FC	1	3
10	Bradford City AFC	1	3
11	Luton Town FC	1	3
12	Cambridge United FC	1	3
13	Mansfield Town FC	1	3
14	Sheffield Wednesday FC	1	3
15	Bromley FC	1	3
16	Oxford United FC	1	1
17	Milton Keynes Dons FC	1	1
18	Stevenage FC	1	1
19	Wycombe Wanderers FC	1	1
20	Blackpool FC	1	1
21	Burton Albion FC	1	1
22	Leicester City FC	1	1
23	Notts County FC	1	1
24	Reading FC	1	0
25	Wigan Athletic FC	1	0
26	Doncaster Rovers FC	1	0
27	Leyton Orient FC	1	0
28	Barnsley FC	1	0
29	Plymouth Argyle FC	1	0
30	Peterborough United FC	1	0
31	AFC Wimbledon	1	0

Head-to-Head

Oxford United FC 10 games · Avg 2.5 goals Bristol Rovers FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-10-07 Oxford United FC 2–1 Bristol Rovers FC 2023-02-25 Oxford United FC 0–3 Bristol Rovers FC 2022-08-13 Bristol Rovers FC 1–0 Oxford United FC 2021-11-07 Oxford United FC 2–2 Bristol Rovers FC 2021-02-09 Bristol Rovers FC 0–2 Oxford United FC

Recent Form

Oxford United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Oct	Bristol Rovers FC	H	2–1	W
03 Oct	Shrewsbury Town FC	H	3–0	W
30 Sep	Stevenage FC	A	3–1	W
23 Sep	Exeter City FC	H	3–0	W
16 Sep	Fleetwood Town FC	A	3–0	W
02 Sep	Port Vale FC	H	1–2	L

Bristol Rovers FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Oct	Oxford United FC	A	1–2	L
03 Oct	Port Vale FC	H	3–0	W
30 Sep	Peterborough United FC	A	0–2	L
23 Sep	Wigan Athletic FC	H	4–1	W
16 Sep	Shrewsbury Town FC	A	2–0	W
02 Sep	Lincoln City FC	H	1–1	D

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Oxford United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Oxford United FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/–

61-75

–/–

76+

1/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Oxford United FC is hosting Bristol Rovers FC for another epic battle.
5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Scott Sinclair is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Bristol Rovers FC.
10' A quiet spell here at Kassam Stadium. Bristol Rovers FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
13' Billy Bodin puts Oxford United FC on the lead.
15' Controversy at the stadium! Cameron Brannagan argues furiously but the card stands.
20' Bristol Rovers FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
25' Chris Martin has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
30' England international Cameron Brannagan has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
35' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Oxford United FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
40' Mark Harris, a Wales , has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
45' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Oxford United FC and Bristol Rovers FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
46' Stanley Mills is replacing Fin Stevens for the Oxford United FC side.
46' Elliott Moore was booked on 46.
48' A moment of madness from Chris Martin on 48 minutes earns him a card. Bristol Rovers FC will be frustrated.
53' It looks like no one’s ball. Bristol Rovers FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
57' Poor challenge from Jevani Brown. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
58' Josh Murphy is replacing Billy Bodin for the Oxford United FC side.
63' Controversy at the stadium! Jevani Brown argues furiously but the card stands.
68' Oxford United FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
70' A tactical swap from Oxford United FC — Gatlin O'Donkor on, Mark Harris off on 70 minutes.
75' Bristol Rovers FC make a change. Jack Hunt trudges off to be replaced by Luca Hoole on 75 minutes.
78' A meaty challenge results in booking for Sam Finley on 78.
81' Magnificent from Sam Long! That is 16 goals in 366 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
84' The crowd applauds Chris Martin as he leaves the pitch. Scott Sinclair steps in for Bristol Rovers FC.
88' Fresh legs for Oxford United FC! Oisin Smyth comes on to replace Ruben Rodrigues.
89' Against the run of play, Aaron Collins has scored! This game has turned on its head.
90' The referee calls foul for Oisin Smyth. He receives a card.
Full Time. Oxford United FC beats Bristol Rovers FC

Lineups

Oxford United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Liam Manning

Bristol Rovers FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

6
Sam Finley ↑ 58'
28
James Gibbons
7
Scott Sinclair ↑ 84'
21
Antony Evans ↑ 58'
30
Luca Hoole ↑ 75'
35
Matthew Hall

Coach Joey Barton

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Matt Taylor	3
Alex Jakubiak	2
Aaron Collins	2
Marcus McGuane	1
Luke Thomas	1
Sam Finley	1
Harvey Vale	1
Antony Evans	1

Head to Head

Oxford United FC Form

2023-10-07 Oxford United FC 2–1 Bristol Rovers FC W 2023-10-03 Oxford United FC 3–0 Shrewsbury Town FC W 2023-09-30 Stevenage FC 1–3 Oxford United FC W 2023-09-23 Oxford United FC 3–0 Exeter City FC W 2023-09-16 Fleetwood Town FC 0–3 Oxford United FC W 2023-09-02 Oxford United FC 1–2 Port Vale FC L

Bristol Rovers FC Form

2023-10-07 Oxford United FC 2–1 Bristol Rovers FC L 2023-10-03 Bristol Rovers FC 3–0 Port Vale FC W 2023-09-30 Peterborough United FC 2–0 Bristol Rovers FC L 2023-09-23 Bristol Rovers FC 4–1 Wigan Athletic FC W 2023-09-16 Shrewsbury Town FC 0–2 Bristol Rovers FC W 2023-09-02 Bristol Rovers FC 1–1 Lincoln City FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.51 Oxford United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.06 Bristol Rovers FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Oxford United FC49% Draw27% Bristol Rovers FC24%

Actual: Oxford United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.57

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	47%	53%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Oxford United FC or Draw

76%

Draw or Bristol Rovers FC

51%

Oxford United FC or Bristol Rovers FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Oxford United FC33% Draw48% Bristol Rovers FC19%

Actual: Oxford United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.2%

1 – 0

10.6%

0 – 0

9.7%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

8.5%

0 – 1

7.1%

1 – 2

6.2%

2 – 2

4.8%

3 – 1

4.5%

3 – 0

4.2%

0 – 2

4.2%

3 – 2

2.5%

Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC

Handicap	Oxford United FC covers	Push	Bristol Rovers FC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	14%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	22%	54%
-0.5	46%	—	54%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	15%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

Bristol Rovers FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.