Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS .
- Orlando City SC 18 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Nima Saghafi
- Referee Eduardo Mariscal
- Referee Geoff Gamble
- Referee Luis Guardia
- Referee Chris Elliott
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May | FC Cincinnati | H | 5–1 | W |
| 16 May | Seattle Sounders FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 12 May | Atlanta United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 04 May | Toronto FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Apr | New York City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May | Orlando City SC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 11 May | Montreal Impact FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 05 May | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 May | Philadelphia Union | A | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Apr | New York Red Bulls | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Apr | Real Salt Lake | H | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Orlando City SC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #6 |
| 20 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 6 / 2 / 10 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 6 |
| 30 | Scored | 45 |
| 47 | Conceded | 44 |
| -17 | GD | +1 |
| 1.11 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 33% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
16%
Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
Orlando City SC this season
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Orlando City SC are 11th (20 pts). FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Orlando City SC
0-15
2/2
16-30
5/6
31-45
–/6
46-60
6/3
61-75
5/2
76+
1/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Orlando City SC
| Martin Ojeda | 11 G |
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Orlando City SC to score. At the same time, FC Cincinnati does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Orlando City SC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 10' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Alvas Powell on, Greg Garza off on 10 minutes.
- 15' Trinidad and Tobago international Justin Hoyte has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lamine Sane suffering a number of foals already.
- 24' Assisted by Eric Alexander with the perfectly-timed delivery and Darren Mattocks makes no mistake. 0-1!
- 29' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Orlando City SC winning 100% of all matches.
- 34' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 37' Tesho Akindele adds to his 0 season tally! Orlando City SC lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 42' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 43' That is a Yellow card for Orlando City SC. Will Johnson will be fuming at that decision.
- 45' The referee shows Orlando City SC player a Yellow card on 45.
- 50' Sensational shot from Nani. Orlando City SC is back in the lead.
- 55' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 59' What a strike from Nani! The score is 3-1.
- 64' What composure from Tesho Akindele! The Canada international strokes it home. 4-1.
- 64' Darren Mattocks makes way for Fanendo Adi at the 64 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
- 65' FC Cincinnati make a change. Kekuta Manneh trudges off to be replaced by Kenny Saief on 65 minutes.
- 66' Dom Dwyer has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nani on 66 minute.
- 71' A moment of madness from Victor Ulloa on 71 minutes earns him a Yellow card. FC Cincinnati will be frustrated.
- 74' Orlando City SC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 75' A moment of madness from Frankie Amaya on 75 minutes earns him a Yellow card. FC Cincinnati will be frustrated.
- 78' Orlando City SC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Josue Colman is hanging Cristian Higuita on the field on 78 minute.
- 82' Brilliant from the forward! Dom Dwyer makes it 5-1 with a superb finish on 82.
- 85' Benji Michel is replacing Christopher Mueller for the Orlando City SC side.
- 87' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Emmanuel Ledesma on 87 minutes.
- Full Time. Orlando City SC beats FC Cincinnati
Lineups
Orlando City SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
- 17
- 13
- 44
- 23
- 22
-
7
Cristian Higuita ↓ Josue Colman 78'
- 4
- 9
- 6
- 8
Bench
- 20
-
14
Dom Dwyer ↑ 66'
-
10
Josue Colman ↑ 78'
- 18
- 27
- 24
-
19
Benji Michel ↑ 85'
Coach
James O'Connor
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 8
- 16
- 2
-
11
Darren Mattocks ↓ Fanendo Adi 64'
-
4
Greg Garza ↓ Alvas Powell 10'
-
31
Kekuta Manneh ↓ Kenny Saief 65'
- 18
- 32
- 45
- 24
Bench
- 33
- 22
-
92
Alvas Powell ↑ 10'
- 14
-
93
Kenny Saief ↑ 65'
-
9
Fanendo Adi ↑ 64'
- 5
Coach
Yoann Damet
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nani | 4 |
| Evander | 4 |
| Tesho Akindele | 3 |
| Junior Urso | 3 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Kenji Mboma | 2 |
| Luciano Acosta | 2 |
| Brenner da Silva | 2 |
Head to Head
Orlando City SC Form
2019-05-19
Orlando City SC
5–1
FC Cincinnati
W
2019-05-16
Seattle Sounders FC
2–1
Orlando City SC
L
2019-05-12
Atlanta United FC
1–0
Orlando City SC
L
2019-05-04
Orlando City SC
0–2
Toronto FC
L
2019-04-27
New York City FC
1–1
Orlando City SC
D
2019-04-20
Orlando City SC
1–0
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
W
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.29
Orlando City SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.37
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 91% + Both teams to score 86%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Orlando City SC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.66
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 2.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 3.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 4.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
Double Chance
Orlando City SC or Draw
74%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
44%
Orlando City SC or FC Cincinnati
82%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–1 not predicted5 – 1Actual
3 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 1
4.6%
4 – 2
4.6%
3 – 3
4.4%
2 – 3
4.1%
4 – 1
4%
4 – 3
3.6%
1 – 2
3.4%
1 – 1
3.3%
5 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Orlando City SC
| Handicap | Orlando City SC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 15% | 62% |
| -1.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 17% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 12% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 8% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
5%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.