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Olympique de Marseille vs SS Lazio, Europe 2018-19 GROUP STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2018-19
Thu 25 Oct 2018 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs SS LazioEurope .

Match Details

  • Referee Diego Barbero
  • Referee Javier Estrada
  • Referee Javier Rodriguez
  • Referee Jesus Gil
  • Referee Angel Nevado
  • Referee Ricardo de Burgos

Head-to-Head

2
2
Olympique de Marseille 4 games · Avg 2.8 goals SS Lazio

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct SS Lazio H 1–3 L
21 Oct OGC Nice A 1–0 W
07 Oct SM Caen H 2–0 W
04 Oct Apollon FC Lemesos A 2–2 D
30 Sep Lille OSC A 0–3 L
26 Sep RC Strasbourg Alsace H 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct Olympique de Marseille A 3–1 W
21 Oct Parma Calcio 1913 A 2–0 W
07 Oct ACF Fiorentina H 1–0 W
04 Oct Eintracht Frankfurt A 1–4 L
29 Sep AS Roma A 1–3 L
26 Sep Udinese Calcio A 2–1 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Olympique de Marseille launch into their encounter with SS Lazio.
  • 5' The 41-year-old Marco Parolo has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 10' The deadlock is broken! Wallace gets on the scoresheet on 10 minutes.
  • 15' Olympique de Marseille are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against SS Lazio's shape.
  • 20' Valon Berisha has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 30' Stefan Radu picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 33' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Senad Lulic.
  • 38' Olympique de Marseille are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SS Lazio backline.
  • 43' With 0 assists to his name this season, Danilo Cataldi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SS Lazio.
  • 44' Hiroki Sakai was booked on 44.
  • 45' Controversy at the stadium! Kevin Strootman argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 48' Adam Marusic is replacing Lucas Leiva for the SS Lazio side.
  • 53' Kevin Strootman is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Olympique de Marseille tonight.
  • 58' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 59' A goal from the Ecuador international Felipe Caicedo! He fires home on 59 to make it 0-2!
  • 62' The SS Lazio manager makes a substitution. Senad Lulic departs to be replaced by Valon Berisha.
  • 66' Fresh legs for Olympique de Marseille! Clinton Njie comes on to replace Morgan Sanson.
  • 68' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Dimitri Payet on 68 minutes.
  • 73' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Olympique de Marseille needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 74' A moment of madness from Marco Parolo on 74 minutes earns him a Yellow card. SS Lazio will be frustrated.
  • 74' Time for substitution for SS Lazio. Felipe Caicedo is replaced by Danilo Cataldi.
  • 79' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Rudi Garcia will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 80' The Olympique de Marseille manager makes a substitution. Jordan Amavi departs to be replaced by Bouna Sarr.
  • 85' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 86' Goal! Dimitri Payet scores his 58 goal in 178 matches.
  • 90' Adam Marusic has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 90 minutes.
  • Full Time. SS Lazio beats Olympique de Marseille

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.39 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.72 SS Lazio xG
I would bet for: Olympique de Marseille or SS Lazio 73% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille31% Draw27% SS Lazio42%
Actual: SS Lazio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.11
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
58%
Draw or SS Lazio
69%
Olympique de Marseille or SS Lazio
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Olympique de Marseille24% Draw43% SS Lazio33%
Actual: SS Lazio win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
1 – 2
8.8%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 1
6.9%
0 – 2
6.6%
0 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
6.1%
1 – 0
5.4%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.3%
0 – 3
3.7%
2 – 3
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push SS Lazio covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 16% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 56% 44%
+1 56% 20% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
19%
SS Lazio keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.