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Olympique de Marseille vs SS Lazio, Europe 2018-19 GROUP STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2018-19
Thu 25 Oct 2018 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs SS Lazio — Europe .

Match Details

  • Referee Diego Barbero
  • Referee Javier Estrada
  • Referee Javier Rodriguez
  • Referee Jesus Gil
  • Referee Angel Nevado
  • Referee Ricardo de Burgos

Head-to-Head

2
2
Olympique de Marseille 4 games · Avg 2.8 goals SS Lazio

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct SS Lazio H 1–3 L
21 Oct OGC Nice A 1–0 W
07 Oct SM Caen H 2–0 W
04 Oct Apollon FC Lemesos A 2–2 D
30 Sep Lille OSC A 0–3 L
26 Sep RC Strasbourg Alsace H 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct Olympique de Marseille A 3–1 W
21 Oct Parma Calcio 1913 A 2–0 W
07 Oct ACF Fiorentina H 1–0 W
04 Oct Eintracht Frankfurt A 1–4 L
29 Sep AS Roma A 1–3 L
26 Sep Udinese Calcio A 2–1 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Olympique de Marseille this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille
Keyliane Abdallah 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
  • 5' Olympique de Marseille are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SS Lazio backline.
  • 10' A goal from the Brazil international Wallace! He fires home on 10 to make it 0-1!
  • 15' A quiet spell here at . SS Lazio seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 20' SS Lazio fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 30' Stefan Radu is having his name booked by the referee on 30.
  • 33' Senad Lulic is having his name booked by the referee on 33.
  • 38' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Rudi Garcia will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 43' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 44' Hiroki Sakai picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 45' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Kevin Strootman on 45 minutes.
  • 48' Lucas Leiva makes way for Adam Marusic at the 48 minute mark. A tactical switch from SS Lazio.
  • 53' Danilo Cataldi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 58' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 59' Magnificent from Felipe Caicedo! That is 31 goals in 521 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 62' It is a substitution in SS Lazio team. Senad Lulic is replaced by Valon Berisha on 62 minute.
  • 66' Morgan Sanson makes way for Clinton Njie at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from Olympique de Marseille.
  • 68' It’s a booking for Olympique de Marseille player. Dimitri Payet gets a Yellow card.
  • 73' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SS Lazio needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 74' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Marco Parolo.
  • 74' It is a substitution in SS Lazio team. Felipe Caicedo is replaced by Danilo Cataldi on 74 minute.
  • 79' It’s high time Rudi Garcia made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 80' Bouna Sarr has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jordan Amavi on 80 minute.
  • 85' It looks like no one’s ball. SS Lazio is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 86' Dimitri Payet adds to his 0 season tally! Olympique de Marseille lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 90' A goal from the Montenegro international Adam Marusic! He fires home on 90 to make it 1-3!
  • Full Time. SS Lazio beats Olympique de Marseille

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.39 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.72 SS Lazio xG
I would bet for: Olympique de Marseille or SS Lazio 73% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille31% Draw27% SS Lazio42%
Actual: SS Lazio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.11
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
58%
Draw or SS Lazio
69%
Olympique de Marseille or SS Lazio
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Olympique de Marseille24% Draw43% SS Lazio33%
Actual: SS Lazio win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
1 – 2
8.8%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 1
6.9%
0 – 2
6.6%
0 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
6.1%
1 – 0
5.4%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.3%
0 – 3
3.7%
2 – 3
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push SS Lazio covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 16% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 20% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
SS Lazio keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.