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Olympique de Marseille vs FC Nantes, Ligue 1 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2018-19
Sun 28 Apr 2019 · 19:00 UTC Orange Velodrome HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs FC NantesLigue 1 at Orange Velodrome.

Match Details

  • Referee Benoit Millot
  • Referee Johan Hamel
  • Referee Stephan Pignatelli
  • Referee Mathieu Grosbost
  • Referee Sylvain Palhies

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Apr FC Nantes H 1–2 L
20 Apr En Avant Guingamp A 3–1 W
13 Apr Nimes Olympique H 2–1 W
05 Apr FC Girondins de Bordeaux A 0–2 L
30 Mar Angers SCO H 2–2 D
17 Mar Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Apr Olympique de Marseille A 2–1 W
21 Apr Amiens SC H 3–2 W
17 Apr Paris Saint-Germain FC H 3–2 W
12 Apr Olympique Lyonnais H 2–1 W
07 Apr Toulouse FC A 0–1 L
31 Mar Lille OSC H 2–3 L

Season Stats

Olympique de Marseille FC Nantes
#7 Position #1
0 Points 24
0 Played 34
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 5 / 9 / 20
0 Scored 29
0 Conceded 52
+0 GD -23
PPG 0.71
Win % 15%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Olympique de Marseille are 7th (0 pts). FC Nantes are 1st (24 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Orange Velodrome. Olympique de Marseille are looking to make home advantage count against FC Nantes.
  • 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Olympique de Marseille must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Hiroki Sakai is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Olympique de Marseille.
  • 15' Olympique de Marseille seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 17' Olympique de Marseille receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 17.
  • 22' GOAL! Samuel Moutoussamy fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 25' Mario Balotelli has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 25 minutes.
  • 30' FC Nantes have won 329 goals from 427 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 32' It’s a booking for Olympique de Marseille player. Dimitri Payet gets a Yellow card.
  • 37' FC Nantes is showing some good football. However, FC Nantes are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 41' Mario Balotelli was booked on 41.
  • 42' Charles Traore is having his name booked by the referee on 42.
  • 45' Poor challenge from Luiz Gustavo. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 50' A goal from the Brazil international Andrei Girotto! He fires home on 50 to make it 1-2!
  • 55' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 57' The Olympique de Marseille bench stirs into life. Bouna Sarr is withdrawn and Jordan Amavi gets his opportunity.
  • 62' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 67' Both keepers have barely been tested. Olympique de Marseille and FC Nantes are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 68' The Olympique de Marseille manager makes a substitution. Mario Balotelli departs to be replaced by Nemanja Radonjic.
  • 73' Olympique de Marseille currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 78' The Olympique de Marseille manager makes a substitution. Dimitri Payet departs to be replaced by Maxime Lopez.
  • 83' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 83 minutes.
  • 88' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 90' It is a substitution in FC Nantes team. Samuel Moutoussamy is replaced by Anthony Limbombe on 90 minute.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FC Nantes players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.57 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.83 FC Nantes xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 83% + FC Nantes or Draw 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille24% Draw38% FC Nantes38%
Actual: FC Nantes win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes27% 0% No73%
Avg goals/match: 1.4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 73%
27%
± 1.5 42%
58%
± 2.5 17%
83%
± 3.5 6%
94%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
62%
Draw or FC Nantes
76%
Olympique de Marseille or FC Nantes
62%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille13% Draw64% FC Nantes23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
27.2%
0 – 1
18.9%
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
12.3%
0 – 2
7.9%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 1
3.3%
0 – 3
2.2%
2 – 2
1.6%
1 – 3
1.5%
3 – 0
0.7%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push FC Nantes covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 16% 79%
-0.5 21% 79%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 24% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 10% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
44%
FC Nantes keeps clean sheet
57%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.